Best MLB Prop Bets Today | MLB Bonus Offers and Player Props for 06/12
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Best MLB Player Prop Bets Today:
- ⭐ Anderson Under 17.5 outs recorded (-139) at BetMGM Sportsbook
- ⭐ Luzardo Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+120) at bet365 Sportsbook
- ⭐ McMahon under 0.5 total bases (+150) at DraftKings Sportsbook
- ⭐ Matthew Liberatore over 3.5 strikeouts (-155) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Today's MLB schedule offers a thrilling lineup of 8 games, presenting numerous opportunities for sports betting enthusiasts. Our team of experts has conducted a thorough analysis of the odds provided by the best online betting sites to uncover prop betting options with the potential for substantial profits.
To enhance your MLB prop betting experience, we have compiled a list of the finest MLB betting sites available on Gambling.com.
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Los Angeles Angels vs. Texas Rangers, 8:05 PM ET
Best MLB Prop Bet #1: Anderson Under 17.5 outs recorded (-139) at BetMGM
The Los Angeles Angels have struggled with starting pitching, and Tyler Anderson was expected to help address those issues. However, he hasn't been able to maintain his All-Star-level performance from last season. Anderson's command has been a problem, leading to a decrease in his strikeout rate and opponents hitting him more frequently. In 11 starts this season, he has a 5.05 expected ERA and opponents have a .270 expected batting average against him.
In his upcoming game against the Texas Rangers, who have one of the best lineups in baseball, Anderson faces a tough challenge. The Rangers excel against left-handed pitchers, ranking fifth in batting average and third in OPS and wRC+. Considering Anderson's regression and the formidable matchup, it is expected that he will have a shorter outing. His prop bet for outs recorded is set at 17.5, and he has gone under that mark in seven of his 11 starts this season.
Best MLB Player Prop: Anderson recording under 17.5 outs (-139)
Miami Marlins vs. Seattle Mariners, 9:40 PM ET
Best MLB Prop Bet #2: Luzardo Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+120) at bet365
Jesus Luzardo has been displaying impressive strikeout numbers and maintaining good form in his recent starts. Over his last four starts, spanning 22.1 innings, he has recorded 31 strikeouts, equating to a K/9 of 12.49, a K% of 35.6, and a SwStr% of 13.8. Notably, in three of those four starts, he surpassed 7.5 strikeouts.
Moreover, Luzardo has shown his prowess on the road since last year. In 84.1 innings away from home since 2022, he has accumulated 102 strikeouts, with a K/9 of 10.89 and a K% of 30.1.
The upcoming game against the Seattle Mariners presents a prime opportunity for Luzardo to add to his strikeout total. The Mariners have the third-highest strikeout rate (26.7 K%) against left-handed pitchers. Furthermore, in the previous 14 days, they have maintained the third-highest strikeout rate (27.3 K%). Additionally, they hold the third-highest strikeout rate (25.3 K%) when playing at home this year. Considering these factors, it is expected that Luzardo will record over 7.5 strikeouts in tonight's game.
Best MLB Player Prop Bet #2: Luzardo Over 7.5 Strikeouts (+120)
Colorado Rockies vs. Boston Red Sox, 7:10 PM ET
Best MLB Prop Bet #3: McMahon under 0.5 total bases (+150) at DraftKings
McMahon has been performing exceptionally well recently, with an impressive slash line of .323/.404/.594 over the last month. However, there are reasons to believe he will struggle in Monday's game. McMahon has historically struggled against left-handed pitching, and he will face Boston Red Sox lefty James Paxton, who has been in good form lately.
Another factor working against McMahon is the Coors Field effect. Like many Colorado Rockies players, McMahon's offensive numbers significantly decline when playing away from the high-altitude Coors Field. Combining his struggles against left-handed pitchers and the challenges of playing outside Coors Field, the odds are not in McMahon's favor.
Throughout his career, McMahon has slashed just .215/.280/.343 on the road against left-handed pitching, with a high strikeout rate of over 30%. Given these factors, it is likely that McMahon will record under 0.5 total bases in tonight's game.
Best MLB Prop Bet #3: McMahon under 0.5 total bases (+150)
San Francisco Giants vs. Saint Louis Cardinals, 7:45 PM ET
Best MLB Prop Bet #4: Matthew Liberatore over 3.5 strikeouts (-155) at BetMGM
In tonight's game between the St. Louis Cardinals and the San Francisco Giants, left-handed pitcher Liberatore is expected to excel, especially considering the Giants' vulnerability on the road against lefties. The Giants rank tied for 17th with a .315 wOBA on the road against left-handed pitching, and their 24.6% K% in these situations is tied for 22nd.
While Liberatore has a relatively low 15.5% K% this season, his performance at Triple-A indicates the potential for positive strikeout rate regression, with a 30.3% K% there. Furthermore, despite the limited sample size in the big leagues, Liberatore has demonstrated stark home/road splits. He boasts a 2.45 ERA and 22.8% K% in 18 1/3 innings at home, while struggling with an 8.04 ERA and a meager 13.7% K% in 31 1/3 road innings.
Considering these factors, Liberatore has a favorable home matchup that suggests he will record over 3.5 strikeouts tonight.
Best MLB Prop Bet #4: Matthew Liberatore over 3.5 strikeouts (-155)
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Updated by
Admir Aljic
Last Updated:
