Best MLB Prop Bets Today, Odds & MLB Player Prop Bets Today 06/22

Author Image Article By Admir Aljic
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Best MLB Prop Bets Today, Odds & MLB Player Prop Bets Today 06/22
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Best MLB Player Prop Bets Today, June 22:


On this second day of summer, even with a limited number of games, there are still valuable betting opportunities to explore. Our team has conducted a comprehensive analysis of the best online betting sites, and we are ready to share our expert picks for profitable MLB player prop bets.

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Seattle Mariners at New York Yankees 7:05 PM ET

Best MLB Prop Bet #1: Domingo German to record a win (+180) at BetMGM

 

Domingo German is preparing for his second start of the season against the Seattle Mariners, and his past performances indicate that he excels in such situations, especially when pitching at home. In the current season, German has faced five different teams twice. However, in the three away games against the Minnesota Twins, Toronto Blue Jays, and Boston Red Sox, he struggled, conceding 13 earned runs in a total of 11 innings. 

On the other hand, when he made his second start at home against the Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays, German displayed remarkable form, allowing only two earned runs and no home runs in 14 innings. Taking these trends into consideration, it is reasonable to expect a strong performance from German in his upcoming start against the Mariners. In his previous encounter with them on May 29 in Seattle, he gave up four earned runs in 6 ⅓ innings.

Furthermore, German's recent record indicates his ability to pitch deep into games, having recorded 18+ outs in three of his last four starts. His performance at Yankee Stadium has been particularly impressive, averaging over six innings per start, with a significantly lower opponent batting average (OBA) and nearly three runs lower ERA compared to his road games. 

Considering the Mariners' poor record of 4-14 in their last 18 games in the Bronx and their recent offensive struggles, scoring an average of only 2.5 runs per game in their last six outings, German should have the opportunity to dominate their lineup. Additionally, the Under bet has been successful in the Mariners' previous six games, further indicating the likelihood of a low-scoring affair.

Best MLB Prop Bet #1: Domingo German to record a win (+180)

 


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San Diego Padres at San Francisco Giants, 3:45 PM ET

Best MLB Prop Bet #2: Blake Snell OVER 6.5 strikeouts (-145 ) at bet365

 

Blake Snell is set to take on the San Francisco Giants in an afternoon matchup. In terms of his overall season performance, Snell has a solid 29.2% strikeout rate (K) and a respectable 13.8% swinging strike rate (SwStr). However, his recent four starts have been exceptional, with a remarkable 42.4% K and an impressive 16.8% SwStr.

Notably, Snell's last two starts were against challenging opponents: pitching in Coors Field and facing his former team, the Tampa Bay Rays. Remarkably, he managed to strike out 12 batters in both games. Today, Snell will be up against the Giants at Oracle Park. The Giants have a 25.7% K rate against left-handed pitching, which is among the bottom five in the league. This presents Snell with his most favorable strikeout matchup in his last five starts, where he has achieved seven or more strikeouts in each outing. 

Given these factors, it is reasonable to expect Snell to surpass the 6.5 strikeouts mark this afternoon against the Giants.

Best MLB Player Prop Bet #2:  Blake Snell OVER 6.5 strikeouts (-145 )

 


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Kansas City Royals at Tampa Bay Rays, 6:40 PM ET

Best MLB Prop Bet #3: Shane McClanahan Under 1.5 Walks (-185) at DraftKings

 

Shane McClanahan, the standout left-handed pitcher for the Rays, finds himself in an excellent position against the struggling offense of the Kansas City Royals. The Royals have struggled throughout the season, boasting a woeful .295 weighted on-base average (wOBA).

McClanahan has demonstrated better performance when pitching at home this season, with an impressive 2.88 expected Fielding Independent Pitching (xFIP) compared to 4.50 on the road. Additionally, his walk rate (BB%) stands at a favorable 6.0% at home, while it jumps to 12.2% on the road.

Throughout the year, McClanahan has exhibited excellent command, evidenced by his impressive 31.9% called strikes plus whiffs (CSW%) and a low 32.8% ball rate.

Considering that the Royals are known for their aggressive approach at the plate, with a meager 7% walk rate that ranks among the worst in Major League Baseball, it is reasonable to expect McClanahan to limit his walks. Therefore, it seems likely that McClanahan will record under 1.5 walks in this matchup, making it a compelling MLB bet of the day.

Best MLB Player Prop Bet #3:  Shane McClanahan Under 1.5 Walks (-185)

 


Shane McClanahan Under 1.5 Walks (-185)!!!


Pittsburgh Pirates at Miami Marlins, 6:40 PM ET

Best MLB Prop Bet #4: Braxton Garrett Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-105) at FanDuel

Braxton Garrett is an exceptional pitcher who often goes unrecognized. His impressive stats include 10.0 strikeouts per nine innings (K/9) and a 26.6% strikeout rate over 69.2 innings pitched. With a strong 2.96 expected Fielding Independent Pitching (xFIP), Garrett is primed for positive regression and improved performance.

In his upcoming game against the Pittsburgh Pirates, Garrett faces an intriguing matchup. However, the Pirates have shown a relatively low strikeout rate of 20.6% against left-handed pitching since May 1, and their strikeout rate over the past 14 days stands at 21.3%.

Garrett relies heavily on his slider, particularly against right-handed batters, which often generates numerous swings and misses. Furthermore, his changeup and cutter are also effective in inducing strikeouts.

Despite the Pirates' ability to make contact against left-handed pitchers, they struggle against Garrett's pitch mix. Additionally, there is an expectation that Garrett will have a slightly longer outing in this game. While the certainty of a 100-pitch count would make this an easy bet, there is still value in predicting that Garrett will record over 5.5 strikeouts given his pitching arsenal and the Pirates' vulnerabilities.

Best MLB Prop Bet #5: Braxton Garrett Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-105)

 


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As MLB prop betting continues to heat up, sports enthusiasts in Kentucky have something extra to look forward to. Starting this September, Kentucky sportsbooks will be launching in the state. This means you'll be able to place your bets on your favorite MLB teams and players. Be sure to keep an eye out for the best Kentucky Sportsbooks to make the most of your betting experience.

FAQ

1. What is the Bet365 MLB bonus of Bet $1 Get $200?

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2. How does the BetMGM MLB Bonus First Bet offer up to $1,000 work?

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3. What is the DraftKings MLB bonus bet of $5 to get $150?

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How does FanDuel $1,000 MLB promo code work?

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Admir Aljic
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