Broncos vs. Bills NFL Player Props, Week 10 Odds & Monday Night Football Picks
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Broncos vs. Bills NFL Player Props & Monday Night Football Picks:
- ⭐ Bills -7.0 ATS (-110) at BetMGM
- ⭐ Under 44.5 points (-110) at FanDuel
- ⭐ Russell Wilson Under 211.5 passing yards (-117) at Caesars
Diving into the Week 10 Monday Night Football showdown, we find the Buffalo Bills hosting the Denver Broncos at Highmark Stadium. The Bills are 7-point favorites (-110) at BetMGM with an over/under of 47.5, according to the latest NFL odds. This game is not just about rankings; it's a tale of contrasting fortunes and strategies.
The Bills boast an unblemished home record this season (4-0), a fortress they've maintained since their last home defeat on November 13, 2022, against Minnesota. On the flip side, the Broncos, 1-2 on the road in 2023, are trying to shake off a seven-game losing streak in Monday Night Football. Despite these stats, the Broncos are showing signs of an offensive revival, which could challenge the Bills' currently underperforming offense. This context shapes our NFL picks today, with a lean towards the Under.
Buffalo's season has been a rollercoaster. If the season had ended after Week 9, the Bills, shockingly, would have been outside the playoff picture. This adds an extra layer of intensity to their upcoming games, starting with the Broncos and then facing the Jets, Eagles, and Chiefs. The Bills urgently need to pivot, and a win against a Broncos team riding high from beating the Chiefs could be the catalyst.
As we analyze the Broncos vs. Bills prediction, it's crucial to consider these dynamics alongside NFL player props offered by the best online betting sites, to craft well-informed and strategic bets for this pivotal game.
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Broncos vs. Bills ATS Picks & Predictions
How to Watch Denver Broncos vs Buffalo Bills
- Date: Monday, Nov. 13, 2023
- Kick Off: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Location: Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York
- Where to Watch: ESPN | ABC
In the upcoming Broncos vs. Bills matchup, the focus is on whether the Denver Broncos can cover their +7.0 point spread. Analyzing the NFL odds and considering the teams' recent performances, there's a compelling case for Denver.
Firstly, reflecting on their last encounter in 2020, the Bills secured a commanding 48-19 victory. However, the current season paints a different picture for both teams, with each struggling to meet expectations. Russell Wilson's form has been a concern for Denver, showing a regression from his peak performances. On the other side, Josh Allen, while generally solid, has made costly errors for Buffalo.
The Broncos have recently found their stride, clinching straight wins both SU and ATS, including notable victories over the Packers and Chiefs. Their defense, in particular, has been a standout in these games. Moreover, Denver has had an extra week to prepare, which could be a significant advantage.
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Buffalo's performance has been inconsistent, with their running game and defense not living up to the hype. They rank 17th in total defense and 18th in rush defense. Additionally, the Bills are grappling with key injuries, including LB Matt Milano and CB Tre’Davious White. These factors could hinder their ability to contain Denver's offense.
Given these insights, my NFL picks today lean towards the Broncos covering the spread. Denver's defense, rejuvenated and more cohesive, is likely to pressure Allen, potentially leading to mistakes. The Broncos, playing with renewed vigor and strategic preparation, are poised to keep the game closer than many might anticipate.
Therefore, in our Broncos vs. Bills prediction, while Buffalo might edge out a win, the smart bet, considering the NFL player props and overall dynamics, is on Denver to cover the +7.0 spread. Final score prediction: Buffalo Bills win narrowly, 24-23.
⭐ NFL ATS Pick: Broncos +7 ATS (-110) at BetMGM
Broncos vs. Bills NFL Over/Under Picks
⭐ Best NFL Over/Under Bet: Under 47.5 points (-110) at FanDuel
Analyzing the upcoming Broncos vs. Bills game, the NFL odds set the total at 47.5 points, but there are compelling reasons to expect a lower-scoring affair, leading to an under on this total.
Firstly, the Denver Broncos' defense has been exceptionally stingy, allowing just 15 points per game over their last three games. This defensive resurgence, led by coordinator Vance Joseph, has seen the Broncos jump from 22nd to second in red zone defense, significantly reducing their EPA allowed per play. This tightening of defense is crucial, especially against a Bills team that has struggled with turnovers and finishing drives.
Josh Allen, despite his talent, has been interception-prone, throwing 14 picks over his last 13 games. Denver's defense, which has forced six turnovers in the past three games, including interceptions off Patrick Mahomes, poses a significant threat to Allen and the Bills' offense. The Broncos' improved secondary and zone-heavy schemes are likely to limit Buffalo's big-play ability, forcing them to settle for shorter gains.
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On the other side, Denver's offense, while efficient under Sean Payton, has been methodical rather than explosive. Ranking 28th in seconds per play, the Broncos have shown a tendency to control the clock, as evidenced by their time of possession in recent games. This slower pace of play could limit the overall number of scoring opportunities for both teams.
Buffalo's defense, despite being weakened by injuries, might not face a high-powered threat from Denver's offense, which hasn't scored more than 24 points in their past four games. Additionally, the Bills' struggles against the run could be mitigated by facing Denver's methodical offense.
Considering these factors, our NFL picks today lean towards an under on the 47.5 total points. In this Broncos vs. Bills prediction, the key is Denver's resurgent defense and methodical offense, combined with Buffalo's turnover issues and limited big-play ability, setting the stage for a game where scoring could be at a premium. Both teams have trended under in recent weeks, further supporting this prediction.
⭐ Best NFL Over/Under Bet: Under 47.5 points (-110) at FanDuel
Broncos vs. Bills NFL Player Props
⭐ Best NFL Player Props: Russell Wilson Under 211.5 passing yards (-117) at Caesars
In the upcoming Broncos vs. Bills matchup, the focus on Russell Wilson's performance is crucial, especially in the context of NFL player props. The betting line at Caesars for Wilson's passing yards is set at under 211.5 (-117), and there are several reasons to support this prediction.
Firstly, the Broncos' game plan under Sean Payton is expected to emphasize the running game. Coming off a bye week, Denver's running back duo should be well-rested and ready to exploit the Bills' defense. This strategy aims to control the clock and keep Josh Allen and the potent Bills offense off the field, reducing the need for Wilson to carry the team through his passing.
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Additionally, Wilson has only surpassed this passing yardage mark in specific scenarios this season - against the weakest pass defense in the league (Washington), in a high-scoring game against the Dolphins, and in a shootout with the Bears. These situations are not reflective of the upcoming game against Buffalo's zone defense, which is likely to limit big plays on the perimeter. Receivers like Jeudy and Sutton might find it challenging to accumulate yards in large chunks against this setup.
Given these factors, the Broncos vs. Bills player props lean towards Wilson recording under 211.5 passing yards. Denver's game plan, coupled with the nature of Buffalo's defense and Wilson's performance trends this season, all point towards a more conservative passing game. When considering NFL picks, going with the under on Wilson's passing yards seems a prudent choice, aligning with the overall strategy and matchup dynamics.
⭐ Best NFL Player Props: Russell Wilson Under 211.5 passing yards (-117) at Caesars
As we look forward to the thrilling 2023 NFL season, there's another exciting development on the horizon for sports betting enthusiasts. As of September 28, Kentucky has officially launched online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new Kentucky betting apps. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.
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Updated by
Admir Aljic
Last Updated:
