Chiefs vs. Packers NFL Player Props, Odds & NFL Week 13 Predictions
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Chiefs vs. Packers NFL Player Props & NFL Prediction for Week 13:
- ⭐ Kansas City Chiefs -6.0 (-110) at BetMGM
- ⭐ Under 42.5 points (-110) at FanDuel
- ⭐ Jordan Love Under 219.5 passing yards (-113) at FanDuel
- ⭐ Travis Kelce Under 69.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at DraftKings
The Sunday Night Football game presents a compelling matchup with the Kansas City Chiefs, led by the NFL's top quarterback Patrick Mahomes, aiming to reclaim their spot at the top of the AFC Playoff Picture. The Chiefs' strong position contrasts with the Green Bay Packers, who, with Jordan Love showing recent improvement, are looking to make their mark in the playoff race.
An interesting subplot to this game is the reported attendance of Taylor Swift, who is known to be a motivating factor for Chiefs' tight end Travis Kelce. Kelce's performance tends to elevate when his pop star girlfriend is watching from the stands, adding an extra layer of intrigue to the game.
Considering these dynamics, it's worth exploring which NFL player props offer the best opportunities for this Chiefs vs. Packers showdown. With Mahomes' consistent excellence and Love's ascending form, along with Kelce's potential for an inspired performance, there are several intriguing player prop bets to consider for Sunday Night Football predictions.
You can check out the best online betting sites available in the U.S. to get the latest NFL odds update for all Week 13 matchups and claim generous bonuses along the way.
Now, let’s take a closer look at our best NFL picks for the Chiefs vs. Packers showdown.
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Chiefs vs. Packers Picks, Predictions & Player Props
How to Watch Chiefs vs. Packers
- Date: Sunday, December 3, 2023
- Kick Off: 8:20 PM ET
- Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI
- Where to Watch: NBC
The Kansas City Chiefs, holding an 8-3 record, are preparing for their second consecutive road game against the Green Bay Packers. The Chiefs are just half a game behind the Ravens for the top spot in the AFC, while the Packers, at 5-6, are still in contention for an NFC playoff spot following their Thanksgiving victory over the Lions.
Green Bay's recent offensive success against Detroit is an outlier compared to their season performance. They now face a formidable Chiefs defense, ranked fourth against the pass and in total defense. This game is a perfect opportunity for all NFL fans to jump in on the betting action and make their Chiefs vs. Packers ATS picks on this Sunday night football clash!
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Kansas City's offense, led by Patrick Mahomes, has shown consistent success, blending power running with effective short passing. Mahomes' connection with rookie Rice could be a key factor, especially considering the Packers' injury concerns. Green Bay's secondary is notably weakened, with five defensive backs on the injury report, a significant disadvantage against Mahomes' passing game.
The Packers' record against the AFC West this season stands at 1-2, while the Chiefs have a 2-1 record against the NFC North. This matchup's dynamics, particularly the Chiefs' defensive strength and the Packers' injury challenges, suggest that the Chiefs will cover the 6-point spread (-110) at BetMGM.
⭐ NFL ATS Pick: Kansas City Chiefs -6.0 (-110) at BetMGM
Kansas City Chiefs vs. Green Bay Packers Player Props & NFL Picks
⭐ NFL Over/Under Prop: Under 42.5 points (-110) at FanDuel
The Over/Under total for the upcoming Sunday night game between the Kansas City Chiefs and Green Bay Packers opened at 41.5 and has since risen to 42.5, with 66% of picks favoring the Over according to Covers Consensus.
Despite this, the Chiefs' offense, averaging 23.3 points per game in 2023, isn't as explosive as in previous seasons, contributing to their 3-8 Over/Under record. The Chiefs' defense is a strong point, ranking third in points allowed per game and fourth in total yards allowed.
The Packers, with a 5-6 Over/Under overall and a 1-4 Over/Under at Lambeau Field, have shown some offensive improvement but face a challenge against Kansas City's defense. Green Bay's defense, ranking 11th in EPA allowed per play since Week 9, will also be tested. Green Bay, now led by QB Jordan Love, is averaging 21 points per game. However, with both Aaron Jones and AJ Dillon not at full health, their offensive efficiency might be impacted.
Considering these factors, the best Chiefs vs. Packers prediction is under 42.5 points (-110) at FanDuel.
Game-time temperatures are expected to feel like 25 degrees, with snow forecasted earlier in the day but likely clearing before the 8:20 p.m. ET kickoff.
⭐ NFL Player Prop #1: Jordan Love Under 219.5 passing yards (-113) at FanDuel
The prospects of Green Bay Packers quarterback Jordan Love having a significant passing game against the Kansas City Chiefs seem slim, especially considering the weather conditions and the strength of the Chiefs' defense. Kansas City ranks third in the NFL against the pass, allowing only 176.6 yards per game and a mere 6.2 yards per attempt. This defensive prowess poses a formidable challenge for Love, who has been inconsistent in his passing yardage, staying under 230 yards in half of the last 10 games.
Love's performance against other defenses known for their blitzing strategies also raises concerns. His outings against Minnesota, Pittsburgh, and Denver were marked by interceptions and limited yardage, indicating struggles against strong defensive units. Returning to Lambeau Field, where he averages just 6.9 yards per attempt, Love faces a daunting task against one of the league's top pass defenses in freezing conditions.
Additionally, the potential absence of key offensive players like receiver Jayden Reed and running back Aaron Jones further hampers the Packers' offensive capabilities. Given these factors – the opponent's defensive strength, adverse weather, and injury concerns – it's likely that Love will record Under 219.5 passing yards (-113) at FanDuel in this matchup.
⭐ NFL Player Prop #2: Travis Kelce Under 69.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at DraftKings
The receiving yards total for Travis Kelce in the upcoming game against the Green Bay Packers appears to be set higher than what his season performance might justify. Kelce, renowned as the NFL's top tight end, has surpassed 70 receiving yards in only three out of ten games this season. This statistic becomes more significant when considering the Packers' defense, which allows the fifth-lowest average depth of target.
Kelce's explosiveness seems to have diminished this season, with an average of 10.5 yards per reception, the lowest of his career by a margin of 1.7 yards. For him to exceed the receiving yards total in this matchup, he would require a significant number of opportunities. However, the Packers' defense has been particularly effective against tight ends, allowing the eighth-fewest targets to players in this position. This defensive strategy by the Packers could limit Kelce's chances to accumulate substantial receiving yards, suggesting that betting on Travis Kelce to record Under 69.5 receiving yards (-115) at DraftKings certainly looks like the wiser choice here.
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As we look forward to the thrilling 2023 NFL season, there's another exciting development on the horizon for sports betting enthusiasts. As of September 28, Kentucky has officially launched online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new Kentucky betting apps. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.
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Updated by
Admir Aljic
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