French Open Day 10 Best Bets: Djokovic vs Khachanov, Tsitsipas vs Alcaraz
2023 French Open Best Bets Day 10:
- Muchova vs. Pavlyuchenkova: Over 21.5 games (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook
- Djokovic vs. Khachanov: Djokovic -7.5 (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook
- Sabalenka vs. Svitolina: Sabalenka -1.5 (-158) at FanDuel Sportsbook
- Alcaraz vs. Tsitsipas: Tsitsipas to win at least 1 set (-154) at BetMGM Sportsbook
The top half of the draw of the 2023 French Open has seen limited upsets, with the three big names still in contention. Alcaraz, carrying the Spanish hopes in the absence of Rafael Nadal, aims to prove his title credentials against Greek fifth seed Tsitsipas.
The other quarter-final features 22-time Grand Slam champion Novak Djokovic against Russian 11th seed Karen Khachanov.
In the women's draw, Aryna Sabalenka faces the resurgent Elina Svitolina, while Karolina Muchova takes on Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova, a surprise finalist from two years ago.
Stay tuned and check our expert analysis as we bring you the best French Open Day 10 predictions and tennis odds from best online betting sites.
Karolina Muchova vs. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova: Over 21.5 games (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Expect an intense quarter-final battle between two underrated players, suggesting that there will be over 21.5 games in the match. Karolina Muchova enters the match as the favorite, displaying top form reminiscent of her peak performance in 2019. Impressive victories over strong opponents like Maria Sakkari, Nadia Podoroska, Irina-Camelia Begu, and Elina Avanesyan have solidified her position.
However, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova should not be underestimated, especially considering her past success at Roland Garros, where she finished as the runner-up in 2021. In this tournament, she has displayed resilience by winning in deciding sets against Liudmila Samsonova, Anastasia Potapova, and Elise Mertens.
Pavlyuchenkova's unexpected run to the quarter-finals after a lengthy period with limited victories makes her a dangerous opponent. Nonetheless, Muchova has been in superb form, having lost only one set in the tournament and claiming notable wins against the 8th seed Maria Sakkari and the in-form 27th seed Irina Camelia-Begu.
Considering the competitiveness of the players and their recent performances, it is likely that this crucial clash will go the distance, resulting in over 21.5 games.
Betting pick: Over 21.5 games (-125) at BetMGM Sportsbook
Aryna Sabalenka vs. Elina Svitolina: Aryna Sabalenka -1.5 Sets (-158) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Aryna Sabalenka's chances of covering the -1.5 set spread against Elina Svitolina (-158) are quite favorable for a few key reasons. While the odds may not be extraordinary, they still offer good value considering the circumstances.
Firstly, Sabalenka has been in exceptional form throughout the tournament, having won all four of her matches in straight sets. This demonstrates her dominance and ability to overpower her opponents. Such a consistent performance showcases her confidence and highlights her capability to maintain control over the match from start to finish.
On the other hand, Svitolina's appearance in the quarterfinals has come as a bit of a surprise. She is making a comeback after the birth of her first child, which undoubtedly adds a layer of complexity to her game. While Svitolina has managed to accumulate a decent number of victories leading up to Roland Garros, none of them have been particularly impressive. This suggests that she may still be adjusting to the demands of competitive tennis after a significant life event.
Additionally, Sabalenka's proficiency on clay courts further strengthens her case for covering the -1.5 set spread. Her recent performances on this surface have been remarkable. Notably, she was the runner-up in Stuttgart, where she faced a formidable opponent in Iga Swiatek. Sabalenka then went on to secure the Madrid title, defeating Swiatek in the final. These achievements illustrate her competence on clay and her ability to handle pressure in high-stakes matches.
Considering these factors, all indications point towards a one-sided affair. Sabalenka's outstanding form, combined with Svitolina's recent return and lackluster victories, suggest that the match will likely be dominated by the world #2. Therefore, betting on Sabalenka to cover the -1.5 set spread appears to be a logical choice.
Betting Pick: Aryna Sabalenka -1.5 Sets (-158) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Novak Djokovic vs. Karen Khachanov: Djokovic -7.5 (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Novak Djokovic continues his dominant run at Roland Garros, reaching his 17th quarterfinal appearance without dropping a set. In contrast, Karen Khachanov has faced more challenges and needed four sets in multiple matches to advance.
Djokovic has a superior record in their head-to-head matchups, winning all six encounters, including a recent victory at the Rolex Paris Masters. Djokovic averages more games per match on clay and has a higher overall winning percentage.
Considering their performances and Djokovic's commanding presence, it's unlikely that Khachanov will reach the same level as the 22-time Grand Slam champion. While Khachanov will give his best effort, Djokovic's skill and form put him in a different league.
Additionally, fans eagerly anticipate a potential Djokovic vs. Alcaraz semifinal, making it even less likely for Khachanov to spoil the expected matchup. With Djokovic's dominance and the favorable circumstances, the best bet for this match is to choose Djokovic to cover the -7.5
Betting Pick: Djokovic -7.5 (-110) at FanDuel Sportsbook
Carlos Alcaraz vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas: Tsitsipas to win at least 1 set (-154) at BetMGM Sportsbook
The quarterfinal match between Carlos Alcaraz and Stefanos Tsitsipas promises to be an enthralling encounter, with both players vying for a chance to win the coveted French Open title. While Alcaraz is currently favored, now priced at +110 in Bet365 French Open outrights, Tsitsipas has a strong chance of at least winning one set.
Alcaraz has been in exceptional form, displaying his potential as a rising star in the tennis world. Having dropped only one set in the tournament thus far, he comes off a dominant victory over Lorenzo Musetti, dispelling any doubts about his ability to handle challenging opponents.
On the other hand, Tsitsipas, a finalist in last year's French Open, has been somewhat overlooked in the tournament narrative, with the focus on emerging talents like Alcaraz and Rune. However, he has quietly progressed through the rounds, losing only one set in four matches.
While Tsitsipas has struggled in his previous encounters against Alcaraz, including a loss in this year's Barcelona Open final, he has the potential to make a mark in this match. As the third-best clay-court player behind Alcaraz and Novak Djokovic, Tsitsipas has the skills and experience to challenge his opponent.
Although Tsitsipas faces an uphill battle, winning at least one set is a realistic goal for him. Alcaraz has shown vulnerability by dropping a set in the tournament, and Tsitsipas has also demonstrated his resilience by losing just one set throughout the fortnight.
In conclusion, while Alcaraz may ultimately prevail in this match, Tsitsipas is likely to put up a strong fight and secure at least one set.
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Carlos Alcaraz and Iga Swiatek are favorites for the 2023 French Open with FanDuel and BetMGM. While Alcaraz is only a slight favorite on the men's side ahead of Djokovic, Iga Swiatek is an overwhelming favorite in the women's competition which begins in Paris on May 28th.
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