Houston Texans at Atlanta Falcons Odds, Predictions & NFL Picks 10/08
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Texans vs. Falcons Odds, Predictions & Week 5 NFL Football Picks:
- ⭐ ATS Pick: Texans +1.5 (-105) at BetMGM
- ⭐ ML Pick: Texans (+100) at Caesars
- ⭐ Totals Pick: Over 41.5 (-110) at FanDuel
- ⭐ Player Prop: Desmond Ridder Under 0.5 Passing Touchdowns (+200) at DraftKings
Heading into Week 5 of the NFL season, we have some Falcons vs. Texans NFL predictions to make as these teams clash in Atlanta.
The Texans and Falcons are 2-2 this season, while the Texans are 2-2 and the Falcons are 1-3 ATS.
The Falcons are coming off a miserable loss in London last week, where they scored just six points. Meanwhile, the Texans walloped the Steelers 30-6 at home.
Regarding Week 5 NFL predictions, we can see two offenses going differently.
Below, we’ll supply four NFL picks for this game using the best online betting sites.
Falcons vs. Texans Against The Spread Pick
Allowing 19.3 points per game, the Falcons are taking on a Texans offense scoring 24 points per game. The Texans' defense allows 19.8 points per game, while the Falcons are averaging just 15.5. We like the Texans as +1.5 underdogs.
Notably, the Falcons haven’t scored double-digit points since Week 2. They scored seven on the road against Detroit and six last week in London against the Jacksonville Jaguars.
No quarterback in the NFL is playing worse than Falcons starter Desmond Ridder as we examine this Falcons vs. Texans prediction.
He’s completing just 62.2% of his passes for 744 yards, three touchdowns, three interceptions, and a staggering ten turnover-worthy plays.
With players like Kyle Pitts and Drake London on the roster, tight end Jonnu Smit leads the team in receiving 179 yards. Running back Bijan Robinson is second with 134 yards.
Meanwhile, it seems the Texans and rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud are firing on all cylinders. Stroud is completing just 62.3% of his passes, but he has more than double Ridder's attempts. He has 1,212 passing yards, six touchdowns, and no interceptions.
Even at home, giving points to any opposing team is hard if you’re the Falcons. This offense has almost nothing going for it besides the rushing attack, which should play well against a Texans defense that allows 116.5 rushing yards per game.
Still, with how much the Texans are throwing and how Stroud is getting the most out of weapons like Nico Collins and Tank Dell, the Texans should be able to hang in there and even win this matchup.
⭐ Best ATS Pick: Texans +1.5 (-110) at BetMGM
Texans vs. Falcons Moneyline Best Bet
Getting plus NFL odds here, we like the Texans moneyline at +105 on the road in an upset.
The Falcons' defense this season has been excellent against the pass, holding teams to just 176.3 passing yards per game. They also have a respectable front seven with David Onyemata and Grady Jarrett, who should be able to pressure Stroud a bit against this so-so offensive line.
Going back to the Falcons offense, though, unless Robinson and fellow running back Tyler Allgeier can really keep things going, there’s not a defense in the league that we think Ridder can do well against.
Under pressure this season, Ridder completes just 47.1% of his passes for 160 yards (4.7 yards per attempt).
This passing offense has no juice, and while their defense has shown up in coverage, the Texans throw a ton and should be able to score here.
⭐ Best ML Pick: Texans (+105) at Caesars
Texans vs. Falcons Over/Under Best Bet
Despite how much we’ve knocked Atlanta’s offense in our Falcons vs. Texans predictions, we still recognize the power of their rushing attack and like the over of 41.5 (-115) at FanDuel.
Examining their offense, Robinson and Allgeier should be able to run well here and set the Falcons offense up positively. They’ve scored less than 10 points in back-to-back games against much tougher defenses than the Texans. We did see the Falcons score 25 back in Week 2 at home against the Packers, and a big part of that was the rushing attack, so we know this offense can score points when they can rely on their running back and perform well.
For the Texans, this offense has been rolling. Stroud is tied for second in the league in attempts at 151 and fourth in passing yards at 1,212.
In addition to his passing ability, they have a solid running back in Dameon Pierce, who scored twice in their 37-point performance against the Jaguars.
Look for the Falcons' run game and Texans' passing game to carry them over here for the third of our NFL picks today.
⭐ Best O/U Bet: Over 41.5 (-115) at FanDuel
⭐ CLICK HERE to bet on the Texans vs. Falcons game! ⭐
Texans vs. Falcons Top Player Props
Our favorite player prop for this game is Desmond Ridder Under 0.5 Passing Touchdowns (+200) at DraftKings. We’re getting some incredible NFL odds of +200, with him going under 0.5 passing touchdowns here, meaning he needs to exit this game without one.
Ridder is arguably the worst starter in the NFL, and he’s going up against a Texans defense that allows less than one passing touchdown per game this season. So far, they’ve played the Baltimore Ravens, Indianapolis Colts, Jacksonville Jaguars, and Pittsburgh Steelers. They allowed a passing touchdown to Gardner Minshew, who filled in for an injured Anthony Richardson and Trevor Lawrence. Kenny Pickett and Lamar Jackson didn’t throw one.
That could be more on them than the Texans defense, but Ridder cannot be relied on for offensive output.
For the final of our NFL picks, take Ridder under 0.5 passing touchdowns and enjoy those NFL odds of +200.
⭐ Top NFL Player Prop: Desmond Ridder Under 0.5 Passing Touchdowns (+200) at DraftKings
As we look forward to the thrilling 2023 NFL season, there's another exciting development on the horizon for sports betting enthusiasts. As of September 28, Kentucky has officially launched online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new Kentucky betting apps. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.
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