Inter vs Man City Best Bets & Odds for Champions League Final 06/10
2023 UEFA Champions League Final: Man City vs. Inter Match Facts
- Date: Saturday, June 10
- Kickoff Time: 3 p.m. ET / 8 p.m. BST / 5 a.m. AEST (Sun, Jun. 11)
- Location: Ataturk Olympic Stadium (Istanbul, Turkey)
- Official: Szymon Marciniak (POL)
- Last meeting: None (First-ever meeting)
- Best Bets: Man City to Win; DRAW; Inter to Win
Manchester City and Inter Milan will face off in the UEFA Champions League final this Saturday in Istanbul, Turkey. The match will kick off at 3 p.m. ET at Ataturk Olympic Stadium.
Manchester City enters the match as strong favorites after winning the English Premier League and the FA Cup. They have the opportunity to achieve a historic treble.
Inter Milan, despite finishing third in Serie A, has a rich Champions League history with three titles to their name.
According to BetMGM Sportsbook, Manchester City is listed as -204 favorites on the 90-minute money line, with Inter Milan as +525 underdogs. A draw after 90 minutes is priced at +350, and the over/under for total goals scored is set at 2.5 (-139).
Why You Should Back Manchester City?
Manchester City, led by Pep Guardiola, has never won this prestigious club competition but is the strong favorite after an impressive run in the last three months. Despite reaching the final once before, they lost to Chelsea in 2021. They have already secured the FA Cup and the Premier League titles.
They signed Erling Haaland, the best young player globally, who has scored an impressive 52 goals in 52 matches. Key midfielder Kevin de Bruyne, who led the Premier League in assists (16) and also managed to score seven goals, recovered from injury and will be ready to play in the final.
City's dominance is expected in midfield with Ilkay Gündogan in great form and goals anticipated from Erling Haaland. City's defense is formidable, conceding a maximum of one goal since January.
Man City utilizes a unique 3-5-2 system, similar to Brentford in the Premier League, the only team to defeat Manchester City twice this season. Their formation transforms into a defensive 5-3-2, denying City numerical advantages and making it challenging to penetrate the midfield. City carries the burden of expectations, aiming for their first Champions League triumph and a potential treble.
Why You Should Back Inter Milan?
However, they need to be cautious of Inter, who have been performing exceptionally well under coach Simeone Inzaghi. They have been dominant in the knockout stage, with five clean sheets in six matches.
They lost only one game in their last 13 outings, against league champions Napoli. Lautaro Martinez scored 21 goals, ranking second in Serie A, while Romelu Lukaku contributed 10 goals in 25 matches. Nicolo Barella had six goals and six assists.
Inter Milan led Serie A in total shots and Martinez had the second-highest number of shots in the league. Hakan Calhanoglu and Federico Dimarco provide crosses, with Calhanoglu also excelling in shot-creating actions.
Stefan de Vrij's aerial prowess will limit City's set-piece effectiveness. Ederson will return to the City goal, but his league save percentage was 62.7%.
Manchester City vs. Inter Milan Best Bets and Predictions:
Handicap Bet: Man City -1 (+125)
Considering Manchester City's dominance in the Premier League and their impressive Champions League campaign, they are strongly favored to win. Inter's journey to the final has been commendable, but their opponents in the knockout stages were not as formidable as those faced by Manchester City.
I recommend placing a bet on Manchester City to win, but instead of the moneyline, consider backing them on the spread for better value.
Based on these factors, Manchester City -1 handicap at +125 seems like a valuable bet. With their superior performance throughout the season and the hunger for Champions League success, Manchester City is expected to claim victory and solidify their status as the best team in the world.
Over/Under Bet: Over 3.5 goals (+180)
Expect a high-scoring match with over 2.5 goals, and there's a strong possibility that Manchester City alone will score three or more times. While domestic form doesn't always carry over to European Cup finals, it's worth noting that Manchester City had over 2.5 goals in 65.8% of their Premier League games this season, while Inter had 57.9% of their Serie A games hitting over 2.5 goals. This suggests that the final in Istanbul on Saturday will likely be a high-scoring affair.
Man City vs. Inter prop bet
- Pick: Marcelo Brozovic to be booked
- Odds: +160
- Pick: Nicolo Barella to be booked
- Odds: +180
Inter Milan's propensity for fouls and the referee's whistle-happy nature could be a cause for concern in the Champions League final. Inter has conceded the second-most fouls in the tournament, with their midfielders being the prime suspects for bookings.
Referee Szymon Marciniak has the highest average of fouls per match among all referees with three or more games called. Surprisingly, despite their involvement in fouling, forwards Lautaro Martinez and Hakan Calhanoglu have managed to avoid bookings.
However, midfielders Nicolo Barella and Marcelo Brozovic are more prone to receiving yellow cards, with Barella having been booked eight times and Brozovic booked on 10 occasions despite being whistled for fouls relatively fewer times.
These factors make the odds enticing for bookings involving these midfielders.
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