Kansas City Chiefs at Minnesota Vikings Odds, Picks & NFL Week 5 Predictions
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Chiefs at Vikings picks and predictions:
As part of our NFL Week 5 Predictions, we're zeroing in on the highly anticipated interconference duel between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Minnesota Vikings. Slated for Sunday, October 8, at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis, this matchup is one you won't want to miss. We've compiled the top betting insights for this Chiefs at Vikings Prediction, including the freshest odds available.
This contest is especially intriguing as it marks the first showdown between Kansas City and Minnesota since their 2019 face-off. In that memorable game, the Chiefs pulled off a 26-23 win, defying the odds as 5.5-point home underdogs. Fast forward to now, and the Chiefs are 3.5-point road favorites, with the over/under for the game set at a tantalizing 52.5 points.
Below are our NFL picks we discovered after reviewing the best online betting sites.
Minnesota Vikings Looking for 2nd W of the Season
In Week 4, the Vikings secured their first win of the season, defeating the Carolina Panthers 21-13 despite running only 44 offensive plays. Quarterback Kirk Cousins finished the game with 12 completions out of 19 attempts, throwing for 139 yards along with two interceptions, but connected with wide receiver Justin Jefferson for two touchdowns.
Running backs Alexander Mattison and Cam Akers collectively rushed 22 times, accumulating 135 yards on the ground. Trailing by 10 points early on, Minnesota's defense clamped down in the second half, securing their first win against the spread (ATS) with a 1-2-1 record.
Ranking 9th in the NFL with an average of 370.8 yards per game, their passing game is particularly strong, averaging 287.3 yards and placing them 3rd in the league. However, their defense is a concern, allowing 23.8 points per game and ranking 19th. They also rank 21st in passing yards allowed per game at 233.5. Penalties have been an issue, with the team ranking 26th in the NFL due to 142 yards on 21 infractions. These statistics could be pivotal in shaping the NFL week 5 predictions for the game against the Chiefs.
Vikings Injuries
- LB Brian Asamoah (toe) questionable
- LB Marcus Davenport (ankle) questionable
Chiefs Flying High On a Three-Game Winning Streak
Meanwhile, the Chiefs narrowly defeated the New York Jets 23-20, despite squandering a 17-0 lead in the first quarter. Surprisingly, Kansas City amassed more yards on the ground (204) than through the air (197), bringing their ATS record to 2-2.
Patrick Mahomes had an uncharacteristically subdued performance, completing 18 out of 30 passes for 203 yards, along with one touchdown and two interceptions.
Isiah Pacheco spearheaded the Chiefs' ground game with 20 rushes for 115 yards and a touchdown, complemented by Travis Kelce, who hauled in six catches for 60 yards.
With a 3-1 record, the Chiefs are averaging 25.3 points per game and rank 9th in the league for rushing with 137.0 yards per game. Their total offense has amassed 1,572 yards and 47 first downs but has been marred by 23 penalties for 180 yards and 8 turnovers.
Defensively, they rank 8th in the NFL, allowing 294.5 yards per game and 15.0 points per game. They've been particularly strong against the pass, conceding just 190.5 passing yards per game with a 60.9% completion rate. These stats could play a significant role in shaping the NFL Picks for their matchup against the Vikings.
Chiefs Injuries
- LB Nick Bolton (ankle) questionable
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Chiefs at Vikings picks and predictions
The Kansas City Chiefs are poised to cover the 36.5 spread against the Minnesota Vikings for several compelling reasons. First, the Vikings' defense, while strong in bursts, has shown vulnerabilities, particularly when blitzing. This strategy is unlikely to be effective against Patrick Mahomes, who thrives under pressure. Additionally, Minnesota's turnover-prone offense - 11 turnovers in just four games - could spell disaster against the Chiefs' opportunistic defense.
Kansas City's own defensive strategy is also noteworthy. They rank fifth in the NFL in blitzes per dropback at 35.0%, which could be a significant factor given Kirk Cousins' known struggles under pressure.
ATS records further tilt the scale in favor of Kansas City. The Vikings are 2-7-1 ATS in their last ten games and 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. Conversely, the Chiefs are 4-2 ATS in their last six games and have an impressive 8-1 ATS record in their last nine meetings with NFC teams.
Given these factors, and considering the Vikings' early-season struggles, a bet on Kansas City to cover the -3.5 spread -115 at Caesars seems like a wise choice for this Sunday's showdown.
⭐ Best NFL Pick: Chiefs -3.5 (-115) at Caesars
Chiefs vs. Vikings Over/Under Pick
The Chiefs are averaging 25.3 points per game, while the Vikings are allowing 23.8 points per game, ranking them 19th in the NFL. Kansas City's offense, which has been inconsistent but potent, is poised to capitalize early, potentially reaching 30 points. On the other side, the Vikings' defense is not deep in quality but compensates by blitzing on over 50% of snaps.
This aggressive approach could open up big-play opportunities for both teams. Additionally, the Vikings may resort to a one-dimensional offensive strategy as the game progresses, potentially adding "garbage time" points. All these factors contribute to the likelihood of a high-scoring game, making the over 51.5 total points a compelling pick.
⭐ Top NFL Over/Under Pick: Over 51.5 total points (-110) at FanDuel
As we look forward to the thrilling 2023 NFL season, there's another exciting development on the horizon for sports betting enthusiasts. As of September 28, Kentucky has officially launched online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new Kentucky betting apps. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.
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Updated by
Admir Aljic
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