MLB All-Star Odds: 2023 MLB Home Run Derby Odds, Picks & Predictions
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2023 MLB Home Run Derby Picks for Today: July 10, 2023
- ⭐ Pete Alonso to Win (+300) at BetMGM Sportsbook
- ⭐ Distance of the longest HR: Under 485.5 feet (-112) at FanDuel Sportsbook
- ⭐ Julio Rodriguez to hit the longest HR (+700) at FanDuel Sportsbook
- ⭐ Over 274.5 total HRs (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook
The 2023 MLB Home Run Derby is set to light up the night sky this Monday, July 10th. The event promises to be a thrilling spectacle of power and precision, with the best sluggers in the game going head-to-head. For sports betting enthusiasts, this is an opportunity not to be missed.
With a variety of betting options available, from outright winners to longest home runs, there's a bet for everyone. Sign up with the best online betting sites today and get in on the action!
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2023 MLB Home Run Derby Bracket Picks & Odds - First Round
The Home Run Derby bracket is filled with heavy hitters, each with their own unique strengths and odds. The eight-slugger field includes two-time champ Pete Alonso, home-team star Julio Rodríguez, and plenty of slugging star power. The bracket is as follows:
Luis Robert Jr. vs. Adley Rutschman:
Robert, with odds of +400 to win the event, is a favorite in this matchup. His power and consistency give him the edge over Rutschman, who, despite being an underdog with odds of +2000, has shown impressive power in the minor leagues.
- Pick to advance: Luis Robert Jr. (-250) at FanDuel.
Adolis García vs. Randy Arozarena Odds & Pick:
This matchup is a toss-up. García, with odds of +700, has been a revelation this season, while Arozarena, with odds of +950, has continued to impress with his power. However, García's aggressive swing might give him the edge.
- Pick to advance: Adolis García (-139) at BetMGM.
Pete Alonso vs. Julio Rodríguez Odds & Pick:
Alonso, the two-time champion with odds of +300, is a favorite in any matchup. However, Rodríguez, with odds of +500, has the advantage of playing in his home park. This could be a close one, but Alonso's experience might give him the edge.
- Pick to advance: Pete Alonso (-170) at FanDuel.
Mookie Betts vs. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Odds & Pick:
Guerrero Jr., with odds of +450, is a favorite in this matchup. His natural power and quick swing make him a serious threat. Betts, while a consistent hitter, might struggle to keep up with Guerrero Jr.'s power.
- Pick to advance: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (-222) at BetMGM.
The odds for the most home runs in the first round are led by Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+300), followed closely by Julio Rodríguez and Pete Alonso (both +400). However, don't count out the underdogs. Luis Robert (+850) is a hulking presence with light-tower power, and his effortless swing could surprise many.
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Home Run Derby Odds - Full List
The odds for the Home Run Derby are as diverse as the players themselves. The players are selected based on their home run totals in the current MLB season, with the top eight home run hitters invited to participate. Here's a full list of the odds for each player to win the Derby:
- Pete Alonso, Mets (+300): Alonso, the two-time Home Run Derby champion, is the favorite to win the event. His proven track record in this competition and his impressive power make him a strong contender.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr., Blue Jays (+350): Guerrero Jr. is one of the most exciting young players in the game. His natural power and quick swing make him a serious threat in this competition.
- Luis Robert, White Sox (+400): Robert is a rising star in the MLB. His combination of speed and power make him a unique threat in the Home Run Derby.
- Julio Rodríguez, Mariners (+500): Rodríguez, the hometown favorite, has been impressive this season. His familiarity with T-Mobile Park could give him an edge in the competition.
- Adolis García, Rangers (+700): García has been a revelation this season, showcasing his power on a regular basis. His aggressive swing could lead to a high home run total in the Derby.
- Randy Arozarena, Rays (+950): Arozarena, the breakout star of the 2020 postseason, has continued to impress with his power and speed. His quick swing and raw power make him a dark horse in this competition.
- Mookie Bett, Dodgers (+1200): Betts, while not known for his power, is one of the most consistent hitters in the game. His ability to make solid contact could serve him well in this competition.
- Adley Rutschman, Orioles (+2000): Rutschman, one of the top prospects in baseball, has shown impressive power in the minor leagues. While he's the underdog in this competition, his potential makes him an intriguing bet.
These odds represent the perceived likelihood of each player winning the event. Remember, while the favorites often have the best odds, underdogs can surprise and provide a bigger payout. The Home Run Derby is an unpredictable event, and anything can happen once the players step up to the plate.
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What You Need to Know - Main Facts on the MLB Home Run Derby
The MLB Home Run Derby, a cornerstone of the All-Star Game festivities, is a thrilling showcase of the game's most powerful hitters. This event is more than just a competition; it's a celebration of the raw power and skill that make baseball so captivating. Here are some key facts about the event:
- Timing: The Home Run Derby takes place the day before the MLB All-Star Game. This year, the Derby is scheduled for Monday, July 10th, 2023. The event typically starts in the evening, under the lights, adding to the spectacle and drama.
- Format: Eight players participate in a bracket-style competition, with head-to-head matchups in each round. The players are seeded based on their home run totals in the current MLB season. Each round consists of a timed period where players try to hit as many home runs as possible.
- Rules: Each player gets a set amount of time to hit as many home runs as possible. In the current format, players have three minutes per round, with the clock stopping for any home runs hit in the final minute. Players can also earn bonus time based on the length of their home runs.
- Advancement: The player with the most home runs in each matchup advances to the next round. If there's a tie, players engage in a 60-second swing-off with no stoppage time. If the tie persists, players will have three-swing swing-offs until a winner is determined.
- History: The Home Run Derby has been a part of the All-Star Game festivities since 1985. Notable past winners include Ken Griffey Jr., Mark McGwire, and more recently, Pete Alonso, who won the event in 2019 and 2021.
This year's event will take place at T-Mobile Park in Seattle, a stadium known for its picturesque views and passionate fans. The park, which opened in 1999, is known for its retractable roof and stunning views of downtown Seattle. It's a fitting venue for an event that celebrates the best of baseball.
The Home Run Derby is more than just a competition; it's a celebration of the sport. It's a chance for fans to see their favorite players let loose and have fun, all while showcasing their incredible power. Whether you're a lifelong baseball fan or new to the sport, the Home Run Derby is an event you won't want to miss.
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2023 MLB Home Run Derby Odds, Picks & MLB Prop Bets Today
In addition to betting on the outright winner, many sportsbooks offer prop bets for the Home Run Derby. These bets can range from the number of home runs hit in a round to the distance of the longest home run. Here are some popular prop bets for this year's event:
- Most home runs in the first round: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (+300): Guerrero Jr. is known for his explosive power and quick swing. He's been in excellent form this season, and his ability to hit multiple home runs in quick succession makes him a strong contender for this prop bet.
- Longest home run in the Derby: Over/Under 485.5 feet: The longest home run in Derby history was hit by Aaron Judge in 2017, a whopping 513 feet. However, T-Mobile Park, the venue for this year's Derby, is not known for yielding such long home runs. Therefore, betting the under 485.5 feet (-112) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be a wise choice.
- Player to hit the longest home run: Julio Rodríguez (+700): Rodríguez is a young star with immense power. He's familiar with T-Mobile Park and has hit some impressive long balls this season. His comfort in the park and raw power make him a good pick for this prop bet.
- Total home runs in the Derby: Over/Under 221.5: The total number of home runs hit in the Derby can vary greatly depending on the players and the venue. With a strong lineup this year, betting the over 274.5 total HRs (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook could be a fun and potentially profitable bet.
- Will there be a swing-off in any round: Yes (+150) / No (-180): Swing-offs add an extra layer of excitement to the Derby. With the level of competition so high, it's quite possible we could see at least one swing-off this year.
Prop bets add an extra layer of excitement to the event, allowing you to bet on specific outcomes beyond just who will win. They provide more opportunities for betting and can make the Home Run Derby even more thrilling to watch.
2023 MLB Home Run Derby Picks & Best Bets Today
When it comes to betting picks, the FanDuel and BetMGM Sportsbooks offer a wide range of options. For the longest home run in the Derby, the over/under is set at 483.5 feet. Given the factors at play, including the park factor of T-Mobile Park and the time of the event, the under 485.5 feet (-112) at FanDuel Sportsbook might be a safe bet.
As for the player to hit the longest home run, Julio Rodríguez (+700) is a solid pick. He's comfortable in this ballpark and hit a 463-foot homer last year in unfamiliar territory.
For the outright winner of the Home Run Derby, Pete Alonso leads the odds at +300 at BetMGM Sportsbook. However, the home crowd could lift Julio Rodríguez (+550) to victory, much like it did for Todd Frazier and Bryce Harper in past years. A sleeper pick could be Mookie Betts at (+900), who has consistent power and could remain steady throughout the rounds.
Best Betting Pick: Pete Alonso to Win (+300) at BetMGM Sportsbook
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Updated by
Admir Aljic
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