MLB Picks and Parlays for NLCS Game 3 Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

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MLB Picks and Parlays for NLCS Game 3 Phillies vs. Diamondbacks

Best MLB Picks & Parlays for Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Game 3

 

Game 3 of the NLCS features the Philadelphia Phillies against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Phoenix's Chase Field. 

The Phillies dominated Game 2 with a flurry of home runs and another strong performance by Aaron Nola. 

Historically, teams winning the first two games in a best-of-seven series have a strong 84% chance of winning it all. 

The Diamondbacks must put Game 2 behind them to avoid falling 3-0 in the series, bringing them perilously close to elimination.

In Thursday's matchup the odds favor Philadelphia, who are -132 on the moneyline. Meanwhile, Arizona are at +112.

The total runs expected for Thursday's game between the Phillies and Diamondbacks is set at 9, with a -115 favoring the over and -105 for the under

Regarding the run line, the Phillies hold a -1.5 spread with +122 odds, while the Diamondbacks are at +1.5 with odds of -146.

Across these games are many opportunities for the best MLB picks and MLB prop picks.

We used the best online betting sites to find these bets, including BetMGM, Caesars, and DraftKings. 

Below are our top three MLB picks & parlays for tonight's NLCS game. 

 

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MLB Picks 1: Arizona Diamondbacks on the Moneyline

⭐ Diamondbacks on the ML (+115) at BetMGM

Over the past two Octobers, the Phillies have exhibited their formidable prowess and passion, although not without enduring challenges. 

In the previous season, they experienced a road loss in the NLCS, and it appears history may repeat itself. We anticipate that they will encounter at least one defeat this time around as well.

In Game 3, our prediction is for the Diamondbacks to secure a hard-fought victory, overcoming the Phillies, possibly with a come-from-behind effort. 

The key factor may be the Phillies' bullpen, which could prove to be their Achilles' heel. Expect a closely contested matchup where the Diamondbacks manage to seize the win, further intensifying the NLCS competition.

The Diamondbacks are likely to fare better on their home turf compared to their challenging outings at Citizens Bank Park. 

While Pfaadt may not be a widely recognized name, there's a reasonable expectation for the Diamondbacks to exhibit improved offensive performance with Suárez on the mound, especially when contrasted with the formidable duo of Phillies' aces, Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola.

⭐ Best MLB PickDiamondbacks on the ML (+115) at BetMGM

MLB Picks 2: Randy Suarez Over 2.5 strikeouts

⭐ Randy Suarez Over 2.5 strikeouts (-195) at Caesars

The Philadelphia Phillies maintain their postseason dominance, boasting a 2-0 lead in the NLCS series against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Their latest triumph came in the form of a resounding 10-0 victory this past Tuesday.

A primary factor behind Philadelphia's success has been the exceptional pitching performances of Zack Wheeler and Aaron Nola. 

Now, as the series shifts to Arizona, left-handed pitcher Randy Suarez has the opportunity to further bolster the Phillies' pitching prowess on Thursday.

Suarez has been a standout with an impressive 1.04 ERA across 8.2 innings in the two postseason wins against the Atlanta Braves. 

In these appearances, he allowed just one hit and one run, which came in the form of a home run by Braves' third baseman Austin Riley. Additionally, Suarez recorded six strikeouts in these postseason outings for Philadelphia.

Given Suarez's remarkable postseason performance and the Phillies' dominance on the mound, I think this prop bet appears to be one of the most favorable wagers on Thursday's postseason slate.

⭐ Best MLB PickRandy Suarez Over 2.5 strikeouts (-195) at Caesars

MLB Picks 3: Over 0.5 Runs in First Inning

⭐ Over 0.5 Runs in First Inning (-135) at DraftKings

First-inning scoring had been rare in earlier postseason rounds. However, the Phillies' power-hitting approach and the use of back-end starters in Game 3 raise the prospect of early action. 

Ranger Suarez and Brandon Pfaadt's presence on the mound suggests first-inning runs are likely.

Pfaadt's start is a concern for the Diamondbacks, despite his solid 3.00 first-inning ERA in the regular season. 

He allowed a first-inning run in three of his seven starts since early September, including the Wild Card Round. 

Facing a new lineup with power hitters, betting on Pfaadt keeping the Phillies scoreless early seems challenging.

Doubts also surround Suarez's ability to stifle the Diamondbacks in the opening frame. While he allowed just one run over 8.2 postseason innings, his regular-season first-inning ERA was a troublesome 4.91. 

Facing a potent trio of hitters, including Marte with a strong record against Suarez, Arizona's aggressive first-inning approach could pose a challenge in this crucial home game.

⭐ Best MLB Pickver 0.5 Runs in First Inning (-135) at DraftKings

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As we look forward to the thrilling 2023 MLB postseason, there's another exciting development for sports betting enthusiasts. As of September 28, Kentucky has launched online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new sports betting apps in Kentucky. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.

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Matthew Crist

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