NBA Parlay Picks & Predictions: Top 4 NBA Parlay Picks for 12/11
NBA Parlay Picks for December 11, 2023:
- ⭐ Knicks -5.0 vs. Raptors (-106) at FanDuel
- ⭐ Heat -3.5 vs. Hornets (-106) at FanDuel
- ⭐ Jokic Under 28.5 points vs. Hawks (-118) at FanDuel
- ⭐ Trail Blazers vs. Clippers: Under 220.0 points (-110) at FanDuel
The NBA resumes its regular schedule following a thrilling inaugural in-season tournament, which saw the Los Angeles Lakers emerge victorious over the Indiana Pacers on Saturday night. The history has been written and LeBron James, who was named the MVP, and the Lakers will always be remembered as the team who won the first-ever NBA In-Season tournament title.
Now we are back to business, which means that I will take a look at the best NBA predictions and single out the top picks for the start of the week.
The Toronto Raptors, dealing with a losing streak of their own, are listed as 5-point underdogs going into the matchup with the New York Knicks.
Among the matchups set for Monday night is an intriguing Western Conference encounter between the Miami Heat and the Charlotte Hornets.
The Denver Nuggets are currently aiming to break a three-game losing streak when they go against the Atlanta Hawks, who are also looking to snap their 3-game losing streak. Historically, Nikola Jokic has not performed well against the Hawks, so I will take a closer look and see if there is any value in the Under 28.5 points offered for Jokic.
The final prediction on our NBA parlay picks for Monday night will see the Portland Trail Blazers lock horns with the Los Angeles Clippers.
Summing up the odds for this 4-leg NBA parlay pick selection, I am looking at +1232 odds...not a bad number, if you ask me!
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New York Knicks vs. Toronto Raptors Prediction & Odds
NBA Parlay Pick #1: ⭐ Knicks -5.0 (-106) at FanDuel
The Raptors are in a tricky spot this season, especially when it comes to road games. They recently overcame the Phoenix Suns as 3.5-point home underdogs, but this win doesn't overshadow their nine-game losing streak against Atlantic Division teams. Their inability to cover the spread in six straight road games against divisional rivals further complicates their position.
On the flip side, analyzing the New York Knicks reveals a more stable team, particularly on their home court with a 6-3 SU record. Their recent performance, a 13-point win against the Raptors and a victory over the Detroit Pistons, adds to their credibility, although they didn't cover as 14.5-point home favorites against the Pistons.
In this Raptors vs. Knicks prediction, it's crucial to examine the current form and track records of both teams. The Knicks' season ATS record is 9-7-2, but they've had a 1-4 ATS run in their last five games. Interestingly, they've covered three of their last four road games, maintaining a strong 5-3-1 ATS record on the road.
For our NBA picks today, the Knicks seem like a safer bet. Their solid performance at home and ability to cover spreads on the road make them a more reliable choice against a Raptors team struggling with consistency and performance in away games.
Betting Pick: Knicks -5.0 (-106) at FanDuel
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Miami Heat vs. Charlotte Hornets Prediction & Odds
NBA Parlay Pick #2: ⭐ Heat -3.5 (-106) at FanDuel
Next up on our NBA parlay picks seletcion, the Miami Heat, who have hit a rough patch recently, are set to face the Charlotte Hornets at 7:10 PM ET. The struggling Hornets, notably underdogs at +3.5, have had a tough time both at home and overall this season. The game's point total is set at 222.5, pointing towards a potentially high-scoring affair.
Delving into the Heat's recent form, they have managed only 2 wins in their last 7 games. Their overall record against the spread stands at 10-11-1. However, Miami shows a stronger trend when restricting opponents to under 113.4 points, with a 7-7-1 record against the spread and a 9-6 overall record in such games. Interestingly, the Heat have been favorites in 12 games this season, securing wins in 9 of those.
On the Hornets' side, they face challenges, especially in the absence of their top scorer LaMelo Ball, who's out with an ankle injury until mid-December. Despite a capable roster, Charlotte's record against the spread this year is just 7 wins in 20 games. As underdogs by 4 points or more in 14 matchups, they've managed a 6-7-1 record against the spread.
When it comes to the Heat vs. Hornets prediction, the statistics lean towards the Heat covering the spread. Given Miami's capacity to perform well in games where they limit scoring and Charlotte's struggles without Ball, the Heat have the edge in this matchup.
Betting Pick: Heat -3.5 (-106) at FanDuel
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Denver Nuggets vs. Atlanta Hawks Player Props & Odds
NBA Parlay Pick #3: ⭐ Jokic Under 28.5 points (-118) at FanDuel
The Denver Nuggets (14-9) are set to confront the Atlanta Hawks (9-12) in an effort to end their three-game losing streak, with both teams facing off at 7:30 PM ET on Monday, December 11, 2023. The Hawks are also on a three-game skid. In this matchup, the Nuggets are favored by 3 points, and the point total is a substantial 239.5.
In Denver's last outing, a loss to the Rockets, Nikola Jokic led the team with 23 points. However, Jokic's performance historically dips against the Hawks, with an average of just 18.1 points per game in 16 encounters, including scores of 14 and 24 points in two games last season. This trend could be crucial for NBA player props today.
The Hawks, with a 3-6 record in home games, are ninth in the league in rebounds, spearheaded by Clint Capela's 10.5 per game. Denver, 5-8 on the road, excels in scoring in the paint, averaging 55.0 points per game, largely thanks to Jokic's contributions.
Considering these dynamics, my Nuggets vs. Hawks prediction leans towards a Nuggets win, especially given their 11-game winning streak in Monday games and the Hawks' seven-game losing streak against teams with a winning record. However, betting against Jokic to surpass the 28.5 points (-118) at FanDuel seems wise, as he has only exceeded this mark once in 16 games against the Hawks.
Betting Pick: Jokic Under 28.5 points (-118) at FanDuel
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Portland Trail Blazers vs. Los Angeles Clippers Prediction & Odds
NBA Parlay Pick #4: ⭐ Under 220.0 points (-110) at FanDuel
The Portland Trail Blazers, sitting at a 6-15 record, are looking to halt a three-game losing streak as they face the Los Angeles Clippers (11-10) tonight at 10:30 PM ET at Crypto.com Arena. For NBA picks today, the Clippers appear to be a solid choice to win and cover the 12.5-point line. with the total points line set at 220.
Portland currently struggles offensively, ranking last in the NBA in offensive efficiency with an average of just 102.6 points per 100 possessions. This makes their matchup against the Clippers, who boast the fifth-ranked defense in the league, limiting opponents to only 107.5 points per 100 possessions, particularly challenging. The Clippers have demonstrated their defensive prowess in recent games, holding teams like Denver and Utah to 102 and 103 points, respectively.
In terms of game tempo, both teams are among the slowest in the NBA. Portland averages 100.9 possessions per game (21st), while Los Angeles is slightly slower at 23rd with 100.7 possessions. Given these statistics, my Trail Blazers vs. Clippers prediction is that the Clippers, with their experienced roster, will effectively contain Portland's already struggling offense, ending the game with the Under 220.0 points (-110) at FanDuel. Additionally, they are likely to extend their lead sufficiently to cover the spread.
Betting Pick: Under 220.0 points (-110) at FanDuel
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