NFL Week 12 Player Props: Odds, Predictions & Best Player Props
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NFL Player Props Week 12: NFL Predictions & Best NFL Picks
- ⭐ Alvin Kamara Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at FanDuel
- ⭐ Joe Mixon Over 66.5 Rushing Yards (-119) at Caesars
- ⭐ Aidan O’Connell Over 199.5 passing yards (-115) at Draftkings
- ⭐ D’Andre Swift OVER 58.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at FanDuel
- ⭐ Hunter Renfrow Under 23.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at bet365
- ⭐ C.J. Stroud Over 272.5 passing yards (-113) at BetMGM
Dive into the excitement of NFL Week 12 with my latest player prop picks, ready to enhance your betting experience. We start the day with the Saints vs. Falcons and Steelers vs. Bengals games and look at some promising player props. This week's NFL slate is brimming with opportunities, making it an ideal time to explore NFL player props.
As you relish a football-filled weekend, I've sifted through the Week 12 odds, serving up a feast of my top NFL player prop selections. Despite a recent rough patch in my NFL picks, I'm optimistic about turning things around this weekend. The lineup features a quarterback duel as enticing as cherry pie and a running back whose value is as underestimated as cornbread at Thanksgiving.
For those looking to place their bets, head over to the best online betting sites, where confidence meets convenience.
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Saints vs. Falcons Week 12 NFL Props
⭐ Week 12 NFL Props #1: Alvin Kamara Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at FanDuel
In this upcoming NFL clash, the New Orleans Saints have a prime opportunity to exploit the Atlanta Falcons' vulnerable run defense, especially in the absence of Grady Jarrett. The spotlight is on Alvin Kamara, the Saints' key running back, who's been averaging 3.7 yards per carry in 2023. Despite his recent underwhelming performances against Chicago and Minnesota, Kamara is poised for a rebound. His track record this season, aside from the last two games, has been impressive, with at least 51 rushing yards in each of his other five appearances.
Considering Kamara's capabilities and the Falcons' defensive struggles, it's a strategic move to bet on Alvin Kamara exceeding 48.5 rushing yards in this matchup. His recent tally stands at 68 yards over 18 carries in the past two games, but given his history as a five-time Pro Bowl running back, a third consecutive subpar performance seems unlikely. Therefore, adding Alvin Kamara to your NFL picks could be a wise decision, anticipating a strong comeback from him against the Falcons' defense.
⭐ Best Betting Pick: Alvin Kamara Over 48.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at FanDuel
Steelers vs. Bengals Week 12 NFL Props
⭐ Week 12 NFL Props #2: Joe Mixon Over 66.5 Rushing Yards (-119) at Caesars
The Cincinnati Bengals face a crucial task: ensuring effective protection for Jake Browning. A key strategy for Cincinnati in this scenario is to focus on their ground game. The Pittsburgh Steelers, their opponents, have been allowing an average of 127.7 rushing yards per game, along with 4.4 yards per carry. This vulnerability presents an ideal opportunity for Joe Mixon, the Bengals' lead running back, to take charge.
Despite experiencing a challenging season, Mixon remains Cincinnati's best bet in the rushing department. Although he hasn't reached the 90-yard mark in any game this season, he has managed to surpass 66.5 yards in four of his last seven games. As a one-time Pro Bowl player, Mixon has the potential to turn his season around, starting with Week 12. Therefore, a smart move would be to include Joe Mixon in your NFL player props, betting on Mixon Over 66.5 rushing yards (-119) at Caesars. This could be the game where Mixon reasserts his prowess on the field, making the most of the Steelers' defensive gaps.
⭐ Best Betting Pick: Joe Mixon Over 66.5 Rushing Yards (-119) at Caesars
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Chiefs vs. Raiders Week 12 NFL Props
⭐ Week 12 NFL Props #3: Aidan O’Connell Over 199.5 passing yards (-115) at Draftkings
Aidan O'Connell's upcoming performance in the Chiefs vs. Raiders game is shaping up to be a highlight, especially for those considering Chiefs vs. Raiders Player Props. His recent form, including a notable 273-yard outing last week, suggests he's well-positioned to exceed 199.5 passing yards, aligning with NFL Week 12 Predictions.
The game environment further enhances O'Connell's prospects. Playing in a dome negates any weather concerns, creating an ideal setting for a quarterback to thrive in the passing game. O'Connell's track record this season reinforces this expectation, having surpassed the 196.5-yard mark in three of his four starts.
Facing the Chiefs' defense, which is robust yet potentially fatigued from a short week, O'Connell finds himself in an advantageous position. Regardless of whether the Raiders are trailing or maintaining pace, he's likely to see plenty of opportunities to throw. This is echoed by THE BLITZ's projection of 230 passing yards for him.
For those exploring Chiefs vs. Raiders NFL Picks, wagering on O'Connell to surpass 199.5 passing yards emerges as a savvy choice. His consistent performance, combined with favorable game conditions, positions him as a prime candidate to reach and potentially exceed this yardage threshold.
⭐ Best Betting Pick: Aidan O’Connell Over 199.5 passing yards (-115) at Draftkings
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Vikings vs. Broncos Week 12 NFL Props
⭐ Week 12 NFL Props #4: D’Andre Swift OVER 58.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at FanDuel
In the realm of NFL player props, D'Andre Swift's performance in the upcoming Bills vs. Eagles game is a focal point. Swift has been consistent this season, averaging 69.0 yards per game on the ground. Impressively, he has surpassed the 58.5-yard rushing prop bet in five of his 10 games, showcasing his reliability as a rusher.
On the defensive side, the Buffalo Bills present a moderate challenge. Their defense has been allowing an average of 110.5 rushing yards per game, ranking them 16th in the league against the run. This statistic suggests a potential opportunity for Swift to exploit.
Meanwhile, the Philadelphia Eagles, Swift's team, have been formidable in their rushing game, ranking eighth in the league. More notably, their defense is the league's best against the run, yielding only 76.5 rushing yards per game. This defensive prowess could play a significant role in the game's dynamics, potentially influencing the Bills' offensive strategy and, in turn, Swift's opportunities on the ground.
For those considering Bills vs. Eagles NFL picks, Swift's rushing performance, coupled with the Bills' mid-tier rush defense, makes him an intriguing option in player prop bets. His track record this season indicates a strong possibility of him exceeding the 58.5-yard mark once again.
⭐ Best Betting Pick: D’Andre Swift OVER 58.5 Rushing Yards (-115) at FanDuel
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Chiefs vs. Raiders Week 12 NFL Props
⭐ Week 12 NFL Props #5: Hunter Renfrow Under 23.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at bet365
Hunter Renfrow's recent performance suggests a great opportunity for the NFL player props selection in Week 12. Despite coming off his best game of the season with five receptions and 42 yards, there are reasons to be cautious about his prospects in the upcoming matchup.
Renfrow's playing time has diminished under the new coaching regime, with his route running reduced to just 43% of dropbacks. This change coincides with Aidan O’Connell's rise as the starting quarterback since Week 9. While Renfrow has experienced an uptick in target rate, the upcoming game against the Chiefs presents a challenging scenario.
The Chiefs employ man coverage at a high rate, seventh-highest in the league, which has historically impacted Renfrow's effectiveness. His targets per route run drop significantly against man coverage, from 1.25 against zone to a mere 0.17. Furthermore, he has only managed one catch against man coverage all season.
Renfrow's matchup with Trent McDuffie in the slot is particularly daunting. O'Connell may be hesitant to force the ball to Renfrow in such a tough matchup. Additionally, Raiders interim head coach Antonio Pierce's intention to return to a run-heavy approach could further diminish Renfrow's role.
With Davante Adams, Jakobi Meyers, and Michael Mayer also vying for targets, Renfrow's high target rate seems unsustainable. My projection places Renfrow's median closer to 17.5 yards, with a 62% likelihood of staying under 23.5 receiving yards (-110) at bet365.
⭐ Best Betting Pick: Hunter Renfrow Under 23.5 Receiving Yards (-110) at bet365
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Eagles vs. Chiefs Week 12 NFL Props
⭐ Week 12 NFL Props #6: C.J. Stroud Over 272.5 passing yards (-113) at BetMGM
For NFL player props and Jaguars vs. Texans NFL picks, C.J. Stroud is a standout choice to exceed his 267.5 passing yards total. Stroud, the Offensive Rookie of the Year favorite, has been exceptional, averaging 387.3 passing yards over his last three games and surpassing his Week 12 total in six of his last nine games.
The Jaguars' defense, which struggles against competent passing attacks, allows an average of 292.9 passing yards per game to teams with strong quarterbacks. Stroud's proficiency, especially when unpressured, positions him well against Jacksonville's defense, which is weak in generating quarterback pressure.
Considering Stroud's recent form and the Jaguars' defensive vulnerabilities, betting on him to go over 272.5 passing yards (-113) at BetMGM is a sound decision. His performance and the game's dynamics make this a favorable bet for NFL enthusiasts.
⭐ Best Betting Pick: C.J. Stroud Over 272.5 passing yards (-113) at BetMGM
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As we look forward to the thrilling 2023 NFL season, there's another exciting development on the horizon for sports betting enthusiasts. Come this September, Kentucky will be launching online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new Kentucky betting apps. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.
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Updated by
Admir Aljic
Last Updated:
