NFL Week 13 Early Predictions, Odds & 4 NFL Picks for Week 13

Date IconLast Updated: Nov 27th, 2023
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NFL Week 13 Early Predictions, Odds & 4 NFL Picks for Week 13
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NFL Week 13 Picks, NFL Player Props & Early NFL Predictions: 

 

As the NFL season heads towards its climax, teams are fiercely competing for a spot in the postseason, while others have varying motivations each week. One constant in this dynamic landscape is the importance of securing the best NFL odds for your bets, a fundamental aspect of profitable handicapping, regardless of the team's performance.

In analyzing the opening odds for the NFL Week 13 picks, it's crucial to identify which spreads and totals are ripe for betting right now and which ones might benefit from a wait-and-see approach. Early betting can capitalize on initial lines that may offer value before the market adjusts. On the other hand, waiting can be beneficial for certain games where upcoming news, such as player injuries or weather conditions, could significantly impact the odds.

For bettors, this means closely monitoring the developments throughout the week, understanding team dynamics, and being aware of external factors that could influence game outcomes. By doing so, you can make informed decisions on when to place your NFL best bets, ensuring you get the most favorable numbers and enhance your chances of a successful wager.

You also have the opportunity to sign up with some of the best online betting sites in the U.S., where you can claim generous offers in bonus bets from the likes of Caesars. Fanduel and Draftkings for your NFL Player Props.

 

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NFL Pick 1: Detroit Lions vs. New Orleans Saints

⭐ NFL Pick #1: Lions -4 (-110) at Caesars


The Detroit Lions, despite recent setbacks, including a loss to the Packers and a narrow win over the Bears, show promise, particularly on the road with a 4-1 record both straight-up and against the spread. Their offense is robust, ranking third in touchdowns per game and high in DVOA metrics.

The New Orleans Saints, conversely, exhibit mediocrity, especially at home with a 2-2 straight-up record and 0-4 against the spread. Their offensive struggles are evident, ranking 20th in offensive DVOA and averaging only two touchdowns per game.

ForNFL picks today the Lions, with their stronger offense and road performance, are a compelling choice. 

This game also offers interesting angles for NFL player props considering the contrasting strengths and weaknesses of both teams. Bettors should note the line movement, with the Lions still favored despite a slight shift.

⭐ NFL Pick #1: DeVonta Smith OVER 55.5 Receiving Yards (-115) at Caesars

NFL Pick 2: Miami Dolphins vs. Washington Commanders

⭐ NFL Pick #2: Dolphins -9.5 (-110) at FanDuel

The Miami Dolphins, with an 8-3 record, have emerged as strong contenders in the AFC East, closely trailing the conference's top spot. Their upcoming Week 13 game against the Washington Commanders is a significant test. Miami's recent triumph over the New York Jets, where they racked up 395 yards and showed prowess in third-down conversions, highlights their recovery from earlier struggles.

In contrast, the Washington Commanders are in a downturn, as evidenced by their loss to the Dallas Cowboys and yielding 431 yards. Their recent track record shows five losses in six games, with a low-scoring output in the last two matches.

Historically, this will be the 16th face-off between the Dolphins and Commanders, with Miami leading 9-6. Their last meeting in 2019 was a close win for Washington. Considering the NFL picks today, the Dolphins, given their current form and offensive capabilities, are the favorites in this matchup to cover the 9.5 spread (-110) at FanDuel

⭐ NFL Pick #2: Best NFL Props: Dolphins -9.5 (-110) at FanDuel

NFL Pick 3: Seattle Seahawks vs. Dallas Cowboys

⭐ NFL Pick #3: Cowboys -7.0 (-110) at Draftkings

The Dallas Cowboys, boasting an 8-3 record, are set to host the Seattle Seahawks, who stand at 6-5, at AT&T Stadium. This Cowboys vs. Seahawks prediction is notable for the Cowboys' dominant home performance, having won all five home games by at least 20 points and tying a franchise record with seven wins by 20-plus points this season.

Dallas' recent form is impressive, with three consecutive victories by 20 or more points, a feat not achieved since 1980. Their 35-point triumph over Washington marks their third division win by 30-plus points, equalling a record set since the 1970 merger. Despite a mixed record against teams over .500, the Cowboys' overall strength is evident.

The Seahawks, facing health concerns with key players like Geno Smith and Kenneth Walker III, seem less formidable. Historically, the Cowboys lead the series 11-10 against the Seahawks, but Seattle has won four of the last five encounters, though they've only met five times since 2015.

Betting trends show the Cowboys as strong performers against the spread (ATS) at home, covering in all home games this season. The Seahawks have a decent ATS record on the road. For NFL picks today, the recommendation is to take advantage of the Cowboys at -7, especially considering their home ATS record and the Seahawks' current challenges.  

⭐ NFL Pick #3: Cowboys -7.0 (-110) at Draftkings

NFL Prop Bets 4: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Green Bay Packers

⭐ NFL Pick #4: Under 42 points (-110) at BetMGM

For our final NFL pick today, we look at the Chiefs vs. Packers matchup.

The Green Bay Packers have recently shown improvement in their offense, scoring 29 points against Detroit on Thanksgiving and 23 points versus the Chargers in Week 11. This marks a notable uptick for a team that previously struggled offensively.

However, these results come with a caveat: the Packers have been facing defenses that are relatively weaker, ranking in the bottom third in EPA allowed per dropback. Their upcoming challenge against the Kansas City Chiefs presents a different scenario, especially considering the NFL Week 13 predictions. The Chiefs are not only known for their scoring ability but also boast a robust defense this season. They rank fourth in EPA allowed per dropback and have consistently kept their opponents to 20 points or less in eight out of 11 games.

In Week 12, the Chiefs demonstrated their defensive prowess by limiting the Raiders to just three points after two early touchdowns. The final score of 31-17 against the Raiders went over the total, influencing the betting line for the upcoming game against the Packers, which has risen from 42 to 43 points in some places.

Weather conditions at Lambeau Field could also play a significant role in the Chiefs vs. Packers NFL Picks for Week 13. The forecast suggests a mix of snow and rain with strong gusts of wind, potentially impacting the gameplay and scoring. This setting at Lambeau Field, known for its challenging weather, could be a crucial factor in this matchup.

⭐ NFL Pick #4: Under 42 points (-110) at BetMGM

 

As the 2023 NFL season hots up, there's another exciting development for sports betting enthusiasts. As of September 28, Kentucky launched online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new Kentucky betting apps. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.

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