Northumberland Plate Tips, Odds & Predictions: Calling The Wind Can't be Overlooked
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Northumberland Plate Tips, Odds & Predictions Today: July 1, 2023
✅FAVOURITE: GOLDEN RULES (+500)
✅CONTENDER: CALLING THE WIND (+1200)
✅LONGSHOT: MATCHLESS (+3000)
The highly anticipated Northumberland Plate Handicap, Newcastle's prominent flat race of the year, is set to commence at 2.05 pm on Saturday.
This heritage handicap takes place on the Gosforth Park all-weather Tapeta track, spanning an extended distance of two miles. Last year, the remarkable Trueshan emerged victorious in this race under the guidance of jockey Hollie Doyle.
Trained by Alan King, this talented stayer achieved a historic feat by triumphing with a rating of 120. Notably, Trueshan's victory marked the highest-rated handicap win in Britain in over thirty years.
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FAVORITE: GOLDEN RULES (+500)
The team behind GOLDEN RULES, trained by Deborah Faulkner, has shown remarkable confidence this week. As a result, the Golden Horn gelding's odds have significantly shortened from +500 on Thursday to as low as +250.
Previously under the tutelage of John and Thady Gosden while representing the colors of Anthony Oppenheimer, Golden Rules showcased his potential as a stayer with a victory in a Chelmsford novice race over 1 mile and 5½ furlongs in 2020.
His stamina was further confirmed by a commendable fourth-place finish in the Ascot Stakes (2 miles 4 furlongs, good to firm) during the Royal meeting in the summer of 2021. However, this would be his final race under the Gosden stable.
After a gap of 638 days, Golden Rules made a triumphant comeback for his current connections at Kempton, prevailing over two miles in March. Despite carrying more weight than his six rivals, he led from the front and secured a convincing victory with the talented Oisin Murphy in the saddle.
Following his successful return, Golden Rules has been given a well-deserved break and a 3lb rise in weight may be manageable, while the presence of Oisin Murphy in the saddle, not to mention the rapid contraction of his odds, means GOLDEN RULES can't be overlooked.
CONTENDER: CALLING THE WIND (+1200)
Among the potential strong contenders in the race are Post Impressionist, a promising contender trained by William Haggas, whose impressive victory at York in the autumn suggests he has untapped potential at this new distance. Another contender to watch is Omniscient, trained by Sir Mark Prescott, who ended last year with a convincing win at Southwell over 1 mile 4 furlongs and also has room for improvement. However, both horses lack recent race experience.
Adjuvant, a winner at Newmarket, has a connection with Post Impressionist and could put up a good performance. However, at longer odds, it may be worth considering CALLING THE WIND as a potential winner. Trained by Richard Hughes and ridden by jockey Neil Callan, this strong-staying gelding by Authorized has shown impressive form in recent turf races, including a notable second-place finish in both the Chester Cup and the Ascot Stakes, where he chased home Ahorsewithnoname at the Royal meeting.
Neil Callan has been enjoying a successful few weeks, with a Group 1 victory at Royal Ascot contributing to his impressive strike rate, which has exceeded 20 percent in two of the past three months. Calling The Wind will now wear cheekpieces, adding an extra dimension to his performance. Despite his first visit to Newcastle since his two-year-old days in 2018, he is expected to fare well, especially when the race becomes challenging in the latter stages.
LONGSHOT: MATCHLESS (+3000)
At a significantly generous price, MATCHLESS, a Galileo gelding, presents an intriguing prospect in this race. Trained by Jennie Candlish, this five-year-old enters the contest with a mark of 88, which is lighter than all but two of his rivals.
Previously under the guidance of Ivan Furtado, MATCHLESS found success twice over hurdles, including a victory at this very venue in November, following his transfer to Candlish's stable. Making his return to the flat at Doncaster (1 mile 4 furlongs, soft) in May after a break, he triumphed in impressive fashion.
His subsequent outing at Kelso saw him finish second when reverting to jumping, and he followed that up with a respectable third-place finish over a mile and a half on fast ground at Pontefract, just 19 days ago, while competing off the same mark.
Considering his reliable nature and unlikely stamina concerns, MATCHLESS remains relatively unexposed at this flat distance. Therefore, he has the potential to exceed expectations and deliver an admirable performance at a tremendous price, especially with the opportunity to secure one of the six paid places in this race.
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