NY Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces WNBA Finals Predictions, Odds & WNBA Picks for Game 1

Date IconLast Updated: Oct 6th, 2023
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NY Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces WNBA Finals Predictions, Odds & WNBA Picks for Game 1
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New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces Predictions & WNBA Player Props 10/08


The WNBA Finals are set and it's a marquee matchup between the defending champion Las Vegas Aces and the newly-formed super team in the New York Liberty. Game 1 is set for Sunday and we're breaking down the matchup to highlight what betting angles you should target. 

We're giving you our best bets and WNBA picks for Game 1 with our spread bet and two player props all hitting for winners. 

We're going to also break down the WNBA player props for that matchup. The Aces and Liberty will play Game 1 on Sunday in Las Vegas.

Make sure you keep reading to see our best bets and player props for our favorite WNBA matchups on Sunday. Also, check out the latest updated WNBA playoffs odds.

Be sure to take advantage of the sportsbook bonuses offered by three of the best online betting sites: BetMGM, FanDuel, and bet365. 

Check out our WNBA predictions, including the detailed analysis and our best WNBA betting picks below, giving you the information necessary to make informed bets and give you a fun viewing experience. 

Get ready to hone your betting skills and dive into the high-energy atmosphere of the action-packed WNBA season. Become educated and place your WNBA best bets to give you a better chance to win more bets. 

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WNBA Best Bets Today: New York Liberty vs. Las Vegas Aces

  • Date:  Sunday, October 8, 3:00 p.m. EDT
  • Location: Michelob Ultra Arena in Las Vegas, Nevada
  • TV:  ABC
  • My best betLiberty +4.5 (-110) at BetMGM
Betting MarketNew York LibertyLas Vegas Aces
ATS+4.5 (-110)-4.5 (-110)
TotalsOver 172.5 (-110)Under 172.5 (-110)

The Aces have been dominant this postseason, winning all five of their games after sweeping the Chicago Sky and Dallas Wings. But the Aces have failed to cover in their last two games, edging out the Wings 91-84 in Game 2 and a 64-61 victory in Game 3. We're going to continue to fade the Aces for Game 1 of the WNBA Finals. 

We like Liberty +4.5 (-110) at BetMGM. New York has won three of the last four meetings against the Aces, including a dominant 82-63 win in Las Vegas on on Aug. 15. 

We've seen New York beat Las Vegas in different ways, including holding Wilson to just nine points on two occasions, but we've also seen the Liberty go off from the perimeter, making 17 of 38 3s in a 99-61 win over Las Vegas. Given New York's ability to beat the Aces in different ways, we feel confident in taking the Liberty spread in Game 1.

⭐ Liberty +4.5 (-110) at BetMGM


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WNBA Player Prop No. 1: A'ja Wilson Under 23.5 Points

⭐ A'ja Wilson Under 23.5 Points (-110) at bet365

If there's a team that's been able to limit Las Vegas' A'ja Wilson, it's the New York Liberty. We've been riding the over on Wilson's point prop this postseason and have profited with Wilson averaging 25.8 points per game in the playoffs. But we're going to go the other way on her prop in Game 1 against the Liberty. 

We like A'ja Wilson Under 23.5 Points (-110) at bet365. In five games against the Liberty this season, Wilson has not scored more than 23 points in a game. Wilson has actually struggled against New York, being held to 16, nine and nine points in three games, while scoring 21 and 23 points in the other two contests against New York. 

Wilson is also coming off the lowest-scoring game of the postseason for her, finishing with 13 points on 4 of 10 shooting in the low-scoring 64-61 closeout Game 3 win over the Dallas Wings. Given her history against the Liberty this season, we like the under on her point prop.

Recommended Bet: A'ja Wilson Under 23.5 Points (-110) at bet365


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WNBA Best Prop No. 2: Jackie Young Over 16.5 Points

⭐ Jonquel Jones Over 11.5 Rebounds (-114) at FanDuel

If the Liberty are going to have success in the WNBA Finals against the Aces, former MVP forward Jonquel Jones will have to play well. With New York's Breanna Stewart and Las Vegas' A'Ja Wilson likely to defend each other on both ends of the floor, it will be down to Jones to dominate her matchup against Kia Stokes. 

One area we are looking to back Jones is on the boards. We like Jonquel Jones Over 11.5 Rebounds (-114) at FanDuel. She's cleared this number in five of the Liberty's six postseason games this year. The only time she didn't get more than 11 rebounds is when she finished with 11 exactly, which was her lowest rebounding total so far in the playoffs. 

Jones is averaging 12.8 rebounds per game in the playoffs. She's also had double-figure rebound totals in three of the last four games against the Aces. 

⭐ Jonquel Jones Over 11.5 Rebounds (-114) at FanDuel


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Final Words on the WNBA Best Bets Today

Don't miss the thrill! Learn how to claim the enticing bonus offer at FanDuel Sportsbook  by exploring our detailed article. Additionally, we provide all the necessary details to get started with the bet365 sportsbook, enabling you to seize these two incredible welcome bonuses.

To optimize your WNBA betting journey today, it's crucial to engage in responsible gambling and manage your budget effectively. As your trusted provider of daily free predictions, we're committed to delivering valuable tips and insights. Keep an eye out for more useful information to enhance your betting experience.

Join in the thrill and leverage FanDuel Sportsbook's generous bonus offer to boost your WNBA betting strategy. Remember, betting responsibly ensures a more enjoyable and long-lasting adventure in the betting world.

As we look forward to the thrilling WNBA matchups for today, there's another exciting development on the horizon for sports betting enthusiasts. As of September 28, Kentucky has officially launched online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new Kentucky betting apps. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.


1. How does the BetMGM Bonus First Bet offer up to $1,500 work?

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2. Does bet365 have ongoing promotions for the WNBA?

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3. How does the FanDuel bonus bet promotion work?

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