Penn State vs. Ohio Prediction, Odds & College Football Best Bets for Week 8

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Penn State vs. Ohio State Prediction and CFB Picks for 10/21:

No. 7 Penn State visits No. 3 Ohio State in the game of the week with massive Big Ten and College Football Playoff implications. We're breaking down this matchup with a spread pick and two player props that are worth backing.

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⭐ Penn State +4.5 (-110) at BetMGM

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Penn State vs. Ohio State Predictions, Betting Tips

Date: Saturday, October 21, 12:00 PM EDT
Location: Ohio Stadium in Columbus, Ohio
TV: FOX
My best bet: ⭐ Penn State +4.5 (-110) at BetMGM

In a game that's set up to be a low-scoring, drawn out contest, we're going to back the road team getting the points. We're going with Penn State and its experience to keep it close against Ohio State in the battle of top 10 teams. Penn State is a perfect 6-0 record against the spread this season, and that streak should continue on Ssaturday.

We like Penn State +4.5 (-110) at BetMGM. The Nittany Lions have an experienced linebacker and secondary group that should be able to limit the explosiveness of Ohio State wide receiver Marvin Harrison Jr. Penn State allows just 121.2 passing yards per game, which is 20 yards better than any other team.

The Nittany Lions also rank first in yards allowed per game (204.4) and ninth in limiting opponents on third-down conversions (29%). When it comes to backing a team in this matchup, we're going with the better defense and taking the points.

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Penn State vs. Ohio State Picks & CFB Player Props

⭐ Best Bet: Kyle McCord Under 238.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM

Given how dominant Penn State is against the pass, we are going to look to fade Ohio State quarterback Kyle McCord. We're going to target McCord in the passing prop market.

We like Kyle McCord Under 238.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM. McCord has thrown for more than 239 yards in every game this season, but he is about to face a Nittany Lions defense that has stifled opponents all year long.

Penn State ranks second in points allowed (8.2) and is first in yards allowed per game (204.4) and ninth in opponents' third-down conversion rate (29%). The Nittany Lions rank first in passing yards allowed average (137) and in completion percentage, allowing opponents to complete just 51% of passes. Penn State is also elite at rushing the quarterback with the second-highest sack rate in the country (14%).

There are too many strengths for the Penn State defense where we don't expect a big game from McCord. We like Penn State to continue its form on defense and make it a grind-it-out battle, keeping McCord's yardage total low.

Best Bet: Kyle McCord Under 238.5 Passing Yards (-115) at BetMGM

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⭐ Nicholas Singleton Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel

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Penn State vs. Ohio State Picks & CFB Player Props

Nicholas Singleton is the lead back for Penn State and has had at least 15 carries in each of his last three games. We're going to target Singleton's rushing prop number against Ohio State since we believe he is in for another big workload against the Buckeyes.

We like Nicholas Singleton Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel. Singleton has eclipsed this number in his last two games, gaining 80 yards against Northwestern and 79 versus Massachusetts. Two teams who won't be confused for Ohio State, but we feel there's still value in taking the over on Singleton's rushing prop.

Ohio State was vulnerable against the run in last week's 41-7 win over Purdue. The Boilermakers' Devin Mockobee gained 110 yards on 18 carries. The only other competitive game Ohio State has been in before this week's showdown with Penn State was against Notre Dame, and the Fighting Irish's lead back, Audric Estime managed to pick up 70 yards rushing.

For a Penn State team committed to running the ball, ranking 15th in the country in rush attempts per game (41.6), we expect Singleton to get plenty of carries and have the opportunity to clear this rushing prop.

Best Betting Pick: Nicholas Singleton Over 59.5 Rushing Yards (-114) at FanDuel

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