Phillies vs Braves NLDS Game 2 Prediction, Odds & MLB Player Props 10/09

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Phillies vs Braves NLDS Game 2 Prediction, Odds & MLB Player Props 10/09

Phillies vs Braves NLDS Game 2 Picks & Predictions

 

Aftr an impressive victory for the Phillies in Game one in Philladelphia, two NL East adversaries continue the series in Atlanta on Monday night. 

The Phillies clinched a 3-0 victory in the NLDS opener on Saturday. They moved on to the NLDS after a clean 2-0 sweep over the Miami Marlins in the NL Wild Card Series. Since September 18, the Phillies boast a 12-4 record, which includes two victories against the Braves in Atlanta from September 18-20.

Despite having baseball's leading offense, averaging 5.85 runs per game, and holding the best record in the MLB during the regular season, the NL East-champion Braves were limited to merely five singles in Saturday's defeat.

We've used the best online betting sites to find these bets, including BetMGM, Caesars, and DraftKings. 

Below are our top three MLB predictions for today’s slate. 

 

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Phillies vs. Braves Game 1 Recap: Phillies won 3-0

In the series opener, the Phillies secured a 3-0 shutout victory, snatching home-field advantage from the season's top-performing team. 

Now, the question looms: Can the Phillies extend their lead with a 2-0 series advantage, or will the Braves bounce back to level the series?

The Braves, with their 104 wins and a tie for the major-league record with 307 home runs, are under intense pressure. 

Despite not playing significant baseball for a while, except to secure their considerable lead over the Dodgers, they have tried to keep in form. To combat the lengthy gap, Braves' manager Brian Snitker introduced intrasquad games with audience attendance for better preparation.

The Phillies, who knocked out the Braves last year, have given Atlanta a run for their money in 2023. Although Atlanta clinched the regular-season series 8-5, five games saw their fate decided in the eighth inning or beyond.

Phillies vs. Braves: Pitching Matchup Game 2

Phillies at Braves projected starters

The Braves go with Max Fried (8-1) as their starter against the Phillies for the NLDS Game 2 matchup, who will be up against Zack Wheeler (13-6).

Max Fried (8-1) vs Zack Wheeler (13-6)

Zack Wheeler is set to make his second postseason start for the Phillies after 32 regular-season starts. He ended the regular season 13-6, with a 3.61 ERA, and 212 strikeouts over 192 innings. In the postseason, he's 1-0 with a 1.35 ERA and eight strikeouts. His recent win was in Game 1 of the NL Wild Card Series against the Marlins, where he pitched 6.2 innings in a 4-1 victory.

Max Fried will make his debut postseason start for the Braves after a season hindered by injuries spanning 14 regular outings. He concluded the year with an 8-1 record, a 2.55 ERA, and 80 strikeouts in 77.2 innings. Fried's last regular-season win was on September 21 against the Nationals away from home.

Braves vs Phillies Betting Trends

  • The Braves have come away with 94 wins in the 145 contests they have been listed as the favorites in this season.
  • This season Atlanta has been victorious 68 times in 95 chances when named as a favorite of at least -158 on the moneyline.
  • The Braves and their opponents have gone over the total this season in 88 of their 158 opportunities.
  • The Phillies have put together a 23-29 record in games they were listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 44.2% of those games).

Best Over/Under Bets Today: Phillies vs. Braves

⭐ Under 8 Runs (-108) at BetMGM

On Saturday, the Phillies secured a surprising 3-0 win against the Braves. The Phillies' pitchers were on fire, contrasting the Braves' stuttering offense. 

Although the Braves' batting might bounce back, they're up against a pitcher who's been dominant at Truist Park this year. 

The Phillies' batters also face a challenge, given the Braves' starter's recent performance against them, hinting at a low-scoring match tonight.

Zack Wheeler (13-6, 3.61 ERA) will pitch for the Phillies, and he's been particularly impressive in Atlanta, conceding just one run in 14 innings over two games. 

In contrast, Atlanta's Max Fried (8-1, 2.55 ERA) ended the season in top form, holding the Phillies to a single run in one of his September starts. 

Given his five consecutive postseason appearances, Fried looks set for a solid performance tonight.

⭐ Best MLB PickUnder 8 Runs (-108) at BetMGM

Best Moneyline Bets Today: Phillies vs. Braves

⭐ Phillies ML (+136) at Caesars

Wheeler consistently maintained an ERA below 3.00 from 2020-22. This season's elevated ERA might be deceptive due to a .337 batting average when opponents had runners in scoring position. 

This seasoned Phillies pitcher, with a notable October track record, recently showcased his skills in a playoff match. Including his recent Wild Card game against Miami, 

Wheeler's ERA stands at 2.28 over his last 23 2/3 innings. Fried, after a long break, may face different challenges on the October mound. 

With the Phils currently in top form, their confidence might translate into Monday night's performance.

⭐ Best MLB PickPhillies ML (+136) at Caesars

Best Player Prop Bets Today: Phillies vs. Braves

⭐  Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Bases (+145)  at DraftKings


Bryce Harper has showcased a consistent ability to hit throughout this season, registering hits in 68.2% of his 129 games, with 33.3% being multi-hit games. 

His power at the plate is evident, as he's homered in 16.3% of his games, with a homer in 3.8% of his at-bats. 

He's touched base, scoring in 53.5% of the games, and has successfully driven in runs in 39.5% of his games. 

However, he's struck out in 65.1% of the matches, with 24.0% involving two or more strikeouts. 

His performance this year indicates good odds for Harper achieving over 1.5 bases.

⭐ Best MLB Pick Bryce Harper Over 1.5 Bases (+145)  at DraftKings 

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As we look forward to the thrilling 2023 MLB post season, there's another exciting development on the horizon for sports betting enthusiasts. As of September 28, Kentucky has launched online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new sports betting apps in Kentucky. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.

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Matthew Crist

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