UFC 289 Best Bets: Nunes vs. Aldana Picks & Predictions

Date IconLast Updated: Jul 26th, 2023
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UFC 289 Best Bets: Nunes vs. Aldana Picks & Predictions
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Best Bets for the UFC 289 Main Event: 

Amanda Nunes will face Irene Aldana in a five-round bantamweight championship fight in the main event of the UFC 289. Nunes, the only two-division female champion in UFC history, aims to enhance her legacy. The event will take place at Rogers Arena in Vancouver and will be the highlight of the main UFC 289 card starting at 10 p.m. ET. 

Nunes has an impressive 12-fight winning streak spanning over seven years. Aldana, ranked No. 5, has won four of her last five fights and will be competing for her first title. Many observers see similarities between Aldana's skillset and tenacity and Nunes, making this women's title bout highly anticipated.

With Nunes being a significant favorite, the betting landscape is intriguing. Let's delve into the odds available at BetMGM Sportsbook, one of the best online betting sites, and take a look at the predictions, and best bets for this highly anticipated match-up.

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UFC 289 Best Bets: Aldana vs. Nunes Odds


  • Where: Rogers Arena, Vancouver
  • When: June 10, 2023
  • Early prelims: ESPN/ESPN+, 7 p.m. ET
  • Prelims: ESPN/ESPN+, 8 p.m. ET
  • Main card: ESPN+ PPV, 10 p.m. ET

The betting odds heavily favor Nunes, with most sportsbooks offering odds around -350 for her victory. Aldana, on the other hand, is the underdog with odds around +260. Despite this, Aldana's recent performances suggest she could pose a challenge to Nunes. Let's take a look at the UFC 289 odds available at BetMGM Sportsbook:

Betting MarketAmanda NunesIrene Aldana
Fight Result (2-way)(-333)(+260)
Total RoundsOver 2.5 (-135)Under 2.5 (-105)
By KO/TKO, DQ or Submission-130+425
By Decision or TD+300+750

UFC 289 Main Event: The Fighters 

Amanda Nunes, the reigning champion, is known for her dominant performances in the ring. She's a two-division champion with a record of 22 wins and 5 losses. Nunes is a powerful striker, landing an average of 4.4 significant strikes per minute. She's also a skilled grappler, with a takedown average of 2.61 per 15 minutes.

Amanda Nunes displayed improved cardio in her rematch against Julianna Pena at UFC 277, which allowed her to secure a comfortable victory. For her upcoming fight against Irene Aldana at UFC 289, Nunes is expected to employ a similar, albeit more cautious, approach. 

She will likely utilize low kicks and incorporate level changes to keep Aldana on her toes. While Nunes is considered the superior fighter, she must maintain her aggression and respond with powerful hooks when Aldana presses forward. Given Aldana's relentless nature as a Mexican fighter, she remains a formidable opponent throughout the bout.

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Irene Aldana, stepping in for the injured Juliana Peña, is ranked fifth in the division. Despite her underdog status, Aldana's striking prowess shouldn't be underestimated. She lands an impressive 5.39 significant strikes per minute. However, her grappling stats are less impressive, with a takedown average of just 0.20 per 15 minutes.

To have a chance at winning, Aldana must maintain an active fighting style. Her ferocious boxing skills and solid takedown defense, paired with an upright and tight stance, give her an edge. 

However, Amanda Nunes, known as "The Lioness," possesses exceptional strength and strategic abilities. Aldana tends to absorb significant damage, so her best strategy is to land powerful strikes on Nunes early in the fight.


Best Bets for UFC 289 Main Event: Amanda Nunes vs. Irene Aldana

While Irene Aldana has shown she's a formidable fighter, the stats and odds favor Amanda Nunes. However, despite participating in 11 UFC fights, Irene Aldana has never been knocked out. Although Amanda Nunes remains a formidable opponent, some question if she possesses the same level of dominance as before. 

However, considering Nunes' advantage in wrestling, our betting pick is for Nunes to retain her title, likely winning in the later rounds, therefore we predict that she will secure a victory via decision (+300), leading to the fight going the distance with over 2.5 rounds (-135).


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UFC 289 Fight Card

ESPN+ PPV, 10 p.m. ET

  • Women's bantamweight: Amanda Nunes (c) vs. Irene Aldana
  • Lightweight: Charles Oliveira vs. Beneil Dariush
  • Welterweight: Mike Malott vs. Adam Fugitt
  • Men's featherweight: Dan Ige vs. Nate Landwehr
  • Middleweight: Marc-Andre Barriault vs. Eryk Anders

ESPN/ESPN+, 8 p.m. ET

  • Middleweight: Nassourdine Imavov vs. Chris Curtis
  • Women's flyweight: Miranda Maverick vs. Jasmine Jasudavicius
  • Men's bantamweight: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Aoriqileng
  • Men's featherweight: Kyle Nelson vs. Blake Bilder

ESPN/ESPN+, 7 p.m.

  • Men's flyweight: David Dvorak vs. Stephen Erceg
  • Strawweight: Diana Belbita vs. Maria Oliveira

(c) = defending champion


Amanda Nunes UFC


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