UFC Fight Night Odds: Grant Dawson vs. Bobby Green Prediction & UFC Picks
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UFC Predictions & Dawson vs. Green UFC Predictions & UFC Odds
- ⭐ Dawson to win via submission (+140) at BetMGM
- ⭐ Dawson via KO/TKO (+500) at FanDuel
- ⭐ Dawson to win in Round 2 (+550) at DraftKings
The start of a mouthwatering few months in the UFC begins this weekend with another fight card at the Apex, and we have rounded up all the UFC odds from the best online betting sites and put together our UFC predictions for Saturday.
The veteran figure of Bobby Green will meet with Grant Dawson this Saturday night in the main event, and the UFC best bets with DraftKings puts Dawson at +550 to win in round two.
Dawson has put together a sensational record of 20-1-1 in his mixed martial arts career, finishing 13 of those victories via submission - he is now +140 to get submission #14 against Green.
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Dawson vs. Green UFC Odds, Details & Form
With the Fight Night card starting a little earlier at 8pm (ET), Grant Dawson and Bobby Green will headline another battle at the Apex in Las Vegas.
- 🏟 Location: UFC Apex, Las Vegas, United States
- 📅 Date: Saturday, October 7th, 2023
- 🕙 Time: 8:00 pm ET
- 🥊 Main Event: Grant Dawson vs. Bobby Green
- 🔥 Top Favorite: Dawson to win via submission (+140) at BetMGM
- 📊 Fighter Stats: Grant Dawson 20-1-1 | Bobby Green 30-14-1
- 📺 TV Channel: ESPN + PPV
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Grant Dawson Form Prior to UFC Fight Night
At the UFC odds of -440 with FanDuel, Dawson is a massive favorite to defeat Green on Saturday.
The American has amassed a fantastic record of 20 wins and just one defeat, securing eight of those wins in the UFC to remain unbeaten in the world-leading MMA organization.
There is one draw on his record too, as a controversial draw against Ricky Glenn saw a majority decision go that way.
However, many argue Dawson won that fight too, but nevertheless, this did help extend his unbeaten run in MMA to 11 fights, meaning it's now been over seven years since he suffered a loss to Hugh Pulley.
The most impressive aspect of Dawson's game has been his submission skillset. The 29-year-old has managed to rack up submission wins over well-known figures like Mark Madsen and Jared Gordon in the past two years, while he has also earned 11 more submission wins since his debut win in 2014 aged just 18.
Dawson's last win was just five months ago, beating the impressive contender, Damir Ismagulov, via unanimous decision.
Bobby Green Form Prior to UFC Fight Night
After a return to the win column for Bobby Green, the MMA veteran has now secured 30 wins from 46 fights ever since his debut back in 2008.
However, despite beating the legendary figure of Tony Ferguson earlier in 2023, Green has had a tough run since 2020.
The American has managed to win just three fights in his past seven, convincingly losing on points to Thiago Moises and Rafael Fiziev before being knocked out by Islam Makhachev and Drew Dober.
In reality, despite all he has achieved and his status as a cultural icon in MMA, Green has always fallen short of things when matched up against top contenders like Dawson, and we expect the same in this fight.
Dawson vs. Green UFC Best Bets
We’ve put together the UFC best bets from our UFC picks for this weekend’s Fight Night card from the best online betting sites for UFC odds.
UFC Best Bet #1: Dawson via submission points (+140) at BetMGM
After securing his 19th win against Mark Madsen, Dawson has now put together 13 wins via submission. What's more, as a black belt under the legendary James Krause, he is no doubt one of the best submission specialists in the lightweight division.
Up against someone like Green, Dawson is no doubt favored towards getting another submission. Green has won just nine of his 30 fights via submission, and prior to beating Ferguson via an arm-triangle choke, 19 fights had passed since he last racked up a submission win over Jacob Volkmann in 2013.
If this fight gets into range, Dawson will likely shoot for a takedown, and once he takes control of the grappling exchange, the rising star in the lightweight rankings will get to work and snap up another submission over Green.
⭐ UFC Picks: Dawson via submission points (+140) at BetMGM
UFC Best Bet #2: Dawson via KO/TKO (+500) at FanDuel
Although much less likely to do so than winning via submission, Dawson still has managed to put together one KO/TKO victory in his UFC career and won four of his fights in this manner from a total of 22.
However, given the boxing excellence of Green and his constant desire to keep things on the feet, Dawson has a chance to get a knockout win. What’s more, we really don’t give the 37-year-old veteran much of a chance in this fight, so at +500, you can get odds of a KO/TKO for Dawson.
There is also the idea that when Dawson takes Green down, his superior strength and power could force him to completely smash him on the ground and force the stoppage.
⭐ UFC 293 Picks: Dawson via KO/TKO (+500) at FanDuel
UFC Best Bet #3: Dawson to win in Round 2 (+550) at DraftKings
From 20 wins, there have been 17 finishes for Dawson so far, and seven of those have been in the second round, while only three of those finishes have been executed in the third round.
Given the age of Green, youthful nature of Dawson and the lack of wins for the 37-year-old in recent years, Dawson will no doubt put the pressure on Green and could work his magic in the second round.
⭐ UFC Picks: Dawson to win in Round 2 (+550) at DraftKings
Why Grant Dawson Will Win by Submission at UFC Fight night
There is a huge difference between these two fighters in the grappling department. Dawson has now secured 65% of his fights via submission, while Green has won only 30% of his victories in this manner.
Dawson will no doubt be aware of this and throughout a five-round fight, we don’t see how Green avoids getting locked in a submission for 25 minutes.
Dawson vs. Green UFC Fight Night Predictions & Final Thoughts
This is a fight story as old as time in MMA, as a rising star aiming to make a name for himself takes on a veteran fighter nearing the end of his career. With this in mind, Dawson is the only winner here.
At 29 and with an unbeaten UFC career and one loss across 22 fights, Dawson will surely get himself into title contention over time and move into the top five of the lightweight rankings.
A win over Green could move him even higher than his 10th spot in the rankings at 155 lbs, and at odds of -440 just to win the fight, the betting for his one is merely down to how he manages to secure his 21st victory.
However, our UFC predictions for this one head towards another submission, for what will be Dawson’s 14th time doing so.
UFC Best Bet: ⭐ Dawson via submission (+140) at FanDuel
As we look forward to another UFC Fight Night, there's another exciting development for sports betting enthusiasts. Back in September, Kentucky launched online sports betting, paving the way for the emergence of new sports betting apps in Kentucky. This opens up a new realm of opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Stay tuned for more updates on this front.
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