Best NBA Prop Bets Today & Nuggets vs. Heat Predictions for Game 2

Article By Admir Aljic

Last Updated: Mar 14^th, 2024

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Best NBA Prop Bets Today, June 4, 2023:

• Jamal Murray OVER 26.5 points (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook
• Nikola Jokic to get a triple-double: YES (+105) at bet365 Sportsbook
• Bam Adebayo Over 18.5 points (-105) at BetMGM Sportsbook
• Jimmy Butler Over 6.5 Assists (+110) at bet365 Sportsbook

• Date: June 4, 2023
• Game Time: 8:00 pm ET
• Where: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
• Where to Watch: ABC

As they gear up for Game 2, , all the while looking to rally behind Jimmy Butler for a much-needed comeback performance. While it may not be a do-or-die situation, the Heat, as underdogs in the NBA odds, will undoubtedly pull out all the stops on Sunday, June 4, to avert the perilous 0-2 series deficit.

The Miami Heat and Denver Nuggets are slated to clash again for Game 2 of the NBA Finals. The tip-off from Ball Arena is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET (ABC). The Denver Nuggets maintained their perfect record at home during the playoffs with a decisive victory in Game 1 against the dynamic Miami Heat. The Heat find themselves tasked with solving the complex challenge of guarding the formidable duo of Nikola Jokic and Jamal Murray

 In this article, we delve into the lates odds available with the best online betting sites in the U.S. concerning the Heat vs. Nuggets, providing expert NBA picks and predictions.

For Game 2 of the NBA Finals between the Heat and the Nuggets, our best NBA prop bets and predictions anticipate Bam Adebayo maintaining his scoring prowess against Denver's drop defense. Furthermore, we look into more prop bets featuring Jimmy Butler, Michael Porter Jr, and Jamal Murray. 

Jamal Murray has been nothing short of spectacular in this postseason, having led the Nuggets in scoring during both the first round and the Western Conference Finals. 

In Game 1, he displayed his scoring prowess with a smooth 26 points, effortlessly playing off of Jokic in the two-man game. Expectations are high for him to replicate or even exceed this performance in Game 2, particularly if Miami continues its strategy of limiting Jokic's influence and forcing the ball from his hands. 

Murray's capability to lead in scoring and potentially clinch the Finals MVP title — a proposition we happily bet on modestly before Game 1 — makes him a player to watch closely. His stellar performance under high-pressure situations is only starting to come to light, suggesting a promising outlook. 

Therefore, it's quite feasible to predict Murray will exceed the 26.5 points threshold in the forthcoming games.

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Examining Michael Porter Jr.'s three-point shooting stats ahead of the upcoming game is revealing. When faced with Miami's defense, it's anticipated that Nikola Jokic will be compelled to pass to perimeter players, among which Porter is Denver’s most consistent three-point shooter. Porter has been impressive with an average of seven three-point attempts per game, shooting over 40%.

Game 1 showcased this dynamic, as Miami adjusted their defense to Jokic’s presence, leading him to pass to perimeter shooters like Porter. As a result, Porter ended up with 11 three-point attempts but made only two, an outcome that deviates from his typical performance.

According to ShotQuality, based on the quality of attempts, Porter should have made at least two more. Moreover, NBA.com reports that Porter shot 1-for-7 on open or wide-open threes. These facts suggest positive regression is on the horizon for Porter.

Given that the three-point volume is there for Porter, it's highly probable that he'll hit more in future games. Therefore, it's reasonable to predict that Porter will exceed the mark of 2.5 three-point field goals in the upcoming games.

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Game 1 saw Bam Adebayo setting a new personal best for field goal attempts, a fact that should not be surprising given the defensive approach adopted by the Nuggets. The Nuggets' strategy to have Nikola Jokic drop deep against Adebayo in every pick and roll proved successful, despite Adebayo managing to score 26 points from 52% field shooting.

However, with 26 points coming from 25 shots, Adebayo failed to make a significant impact in the game. The key to breaking Denver's defensive strategy may lie in Adebayo aggressively driving and challenging Jokic, forcing him to the line more often in Game 2. Such a tactic would not only enhance Adebayo's efficiency but also possibly draw more fouls on Jokic, disrupting the Nuggets' long-term defensive plan.

With these considerations, Adebayo is expected to be in a prime scoring position in Game 2, indicating a strong likelihood that he will cross the 18.5 points threshold. Adebayo has a successful track record against Jokic, having scored 19 or more points in seven of their last nine head-to-head matches. Given this trend, it's reasonable to predict Adebayo will continue to shine and score more than 18.5 points on Sunday.

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Despite a less than stellar performance in the previous game, scoring just 13 points from 14 shots, Jimmy Butler remains a crucial asset to the Miami team. His notable strength lies not solely in his scoring ability but also his exceptional talent for involving his teammates, a skill that has been instrumental in the team's improved shooting performance this postseason.

In the previous game, Butler displayed a shift in strategy by focusing more on assisting his teammates rather than directly going for the shots. Although this strategy didn't pan out perfectly, Butler still managed to rack up seven assists. Over the course of the playoffs, Butler has surpassed the 6.5 assists mark six times.

If Miami finds itself lagging early in the game, it's likely they'll once again turn to three-point attempts, a tactic that has proven successful throughout the playoffs. This shift in strategy will inherently create more opportunities for Butler to assist, thereby increasing his chances of exceeding the 6.5 assists mark. Given Miami's likely dependence on their sharpshooters, this prop bet holds considerable value. Therefore, Butler recording over 6.5 assists in the next game is a plausible prediction.

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⭐More Nuggets vs. Heat Articles: ⭐ 

•  NBA Finals Picks: Betting Advice and Analysis for Denver vs. Miami 
•  NBA Finals Betting Preview: Who Will Win MVP?

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Updated by

Admir Aljic

Last Updated:   Mar 14^th, 2024

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