NBA Player Props, Odds & NBA Picks for Monday 11/16

NBA Best Bet Today #1: ⭐Jimmy Butler Under 5.5 Assists (-165) at FanDuel

We have Jimmy Butler’s assists in this Heat vs. Nets prediction to kick things off. 

Sitting at 5.5, Butler has had six assists or more in a game just once this year, and that was a six-assist game. He’s missed two games this year but averages 3.7 assists per game. 

Over his last five games, he’s had four, three, four, three, and two. 

The Heat scored 109.6 points (24th) and recorded 25.5 assists (12th) per game. 

Butler going over 5.5 assists here seems a bit steep, considering he’s done it once all season.

Take the under on Butler’s assist total here for the first of our NBA Picks and Props. 

Betting Pick: Jimmy Butler Under 5.5 Assists (-165) at FanDuel

NBA Best Bet Today #2: ⭐Klay Thompson Under 1.5 Steals + Blocks (-195) at FanDuel

Next, we have a combo prop looking at Golden State guard Klay Thompson’s steals and blocks. Heading into this Warriors vs. Thunder prediction, Thompson averages 0.4 steals and 0.5 blocks per game. 

Looking at his game logs, he’s gone over the total on this combo prop just once this year, when he had three blocks on November 1 against Sacramento. Other than that, he’s finished with one or less in either category. 

As far as a season average, Thompson hasn’t averaged beyond one steal or one block per game since before his injuries in 2018-19, when he averaged 1.1 steals per game. He’s never averaged one block per game in a season, and he’s only averaged more than one steal per game in three seasons. 

The odds speak for themselves—Thompson just doesn’t rack up stats in the steals or blocks category. 

Betting Pick: Klay Thompson Under 1.5 Steals + Blocks (-195) at FanDuel

NBA Best Bet Today #3: ⭐Jalen Williams Under 3.5 Rebonds (+118) at BetMGM

Finally, we will take a swing at Jalen Williams’ rebounds. 

This line opened at 4.5 rebounds, so if you can find this at your favorite online betting sites, nab that. 

We’re finding plenty of 3.5 lines with a “+” line value. 

Williams is averaging four rebounds per game this season and has had four or more in a game five times this year. Over his last five games, he’s topped this total three times. 

Most of his rebounds come from the defensive side, and playing Golden State, they average 13.8 offensive rebounds per game, which is third in the league. 

We’ll take a chance on the under here, considering the “+” line value, and he’s going up against a team that performs well in a category that’s counter-intuitive to his rebounding success.

Betting Pick: Jalen Williams Under 3.5 Rebonds (+118) at BetMGM

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