Pelicans vs. Kings Prediction, Odds & NBA Player Props for 12/04

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Pelicans vs. Kings Prediction, Odds & NBA Player Props for 12/04
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Pelicans vs. Kings Prediction & NBA Picks


The NBA In-Season Tournament continues with a crucial quarterfinal matchup between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Sacramento Kings on Monday night. The Pelicans, with a record of 11-10 SU and 12-8-1 ATS, advanced to the knockout rounds by topping Group B with a 3-1 record, thanks to three consecutive wins. The Kings, holding an 11-7 SU and 10-8 ATS record, impressively swept Group C with a 4-0 mark. This high-stakes game, where the winner advances and the loser is eliminated, is set to tip off at 10:00 EST at Golden 1 Center in Sacramento.

For NBA picks today it's worth noting New Orleans' recent performance and Sacramento's momentum. The Pelicans are coming off a 124-118 road loss to Chicago, where they lost outright as a 1.5-point favorite. Conversely, Sacramento secured a 123-117 home victory over Denver, covering the spread as a 3.5-point favorite. Historically, the Pelicans have a 41-33 advantage in the regular-season series against the Kings and have won the first two meetings this season, including a 117-112 victory on November 22.

In this upcoming game, the Kings are 4.5-point favorites (-110) at BetMGM against the Pelicans, with a total point matchup set at 233.5.  

For those considering NBA Player Props or looking for the best online betting sites, this game offers plenty of intrigue. 

 

Game details

New Orleans Pelicans (11-10) vs. Sacramento Kings (11-7)

Location: Golden 1 Center in Sacramento, CA

Date & Time:  Monday, December 4, 2023 at 10:00 p.m. ET

How to watch: TNT


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Pelicans vs. Kings Against the Spread Pick

NBA Pick: ⭐ Kings -4.5 ATS (-110) at BetMGM

The New Orleans Pelicans, facing challenges on the road with three consecutive losses, enter the play-in quarterfinals with some concerns, especially as the game is not in their home arena. Despite this, they can draw optimism from having beaten the Sacramento Kings twice this season, although both victories were at the Smoothie King Center. In their last seven road games, the Pelicans have managed only one win. C.J. McCollum's return to the lineup has been a boost, with him scoring 20 and 19 points in the two games since his comeback, but these were also home games. Notably, New Orleans ranks low in three-point scoring in the NBA, averaging just 10.8 per game.

For Pelicans vs. Kings ATS picks the Kings' recent form and home advantage are key factors. Sacramento has been performing well, winning three of their last four games, including a victory over the Denver Nuggets. De’Aaron Fox's exceptional play has been a highlight for the Kings, who have a solid 11-7 record, particularly strong at home with only two losses in eight games. Historically, the Kings have covered the spread in four of their last six home meetings against the Pelicans and have an 8-3 SU record in their last 11 games against Western Conference opponents.

Despite the Pelicans winning both season meetings so far, the Kings' current form and home-court advantage are likely to be decisive. Sacramento's proficiency in three-point shooting, hitting at least 15 threes in four of their last five games, contrasts with the Pelicans' struggle in this area. Therefore, the recommendation is to take Sacramento to cover the 4.5 spread in this matchup.

⭐ Recommended Bet: Kings -4.5 ATS (-110) at BetMGM


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Pelicans vs. Kings Over/Under Prediction

NBA Pick: ⭐ Under 234 points (-110) at Caesars

In the recent matchups between these two teams, the trend has been towards lower scoring games. In the two meetings this season, the games have landed under the total, with an average of 225.5 points scored. Historically, the under has been prevalent, with a 7-2-1 record over the last ten meetings between these teams. This trend is reflective of both teams' balanced performance across various statistical categories, where their offenses score adequately, but their defenses keep the games tight.

For NBA picks today it's important to note the recent scoring trends of both teams. New Orleans has scored 118 points or less in five of their last seven games, while Sacramento has scored 117 points or less in two of their last five games. Additionally, Sacramento hasn’t scored more than 117 points against New Orleans this season. With the stakes higher in this official matchup, a slower pace of play is expected from the start. The under has a strong record in recent meetings, being 4-0 in the last four encounters.

Given these factors, the recommendation for NBA picks today is to take the under 234 points (-110) at Caesars for this matchup. The consistent trend of lower-scoring games between these teams, combined with their recent scoring patterns and the significance of the game, suggests that a more cautious and defensively focused approach is likely, leading to fewer total points scored.

⭐ Recommended Bet: Under 234 points (-110) at Caesars


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Pelicans vs. Kings NBA Player Props

NBA Player Prop: ⭐ Zion Williamson Over 24.5 pts (-125) at FanDuel

In the two encounters between the New Orleans Pelicans and the Sacramento Kings this season, the Pelicans emerged victorious both times. The first game on November 20 saw a decisive 129-93 win for New Orleans, followed by a closer 117-112 victory on November 22. A key factor in these wins was Zion Williamson's performance, who posed a significant challenge for the Kings.

For NBA player props, Williamson's recent form is particularly noteworthy. In the two-game series against Sacramento, he averaged 25.5 points, 4.0 rebounds, and 5.5 assists while shooting an impressive 68.8% from the field. This level of performance could be a crucial advantage for the Pelicans in their upcoming game. Over his last eight games, Williamson has maintained a high standard, averaging 25.9 points, 4.9 rebounds, and 5.6 assists with a 62.7% shooting accuracy.

Sacramento's defensive capabilities, or lack thereof, further highlight Williamson's potential impact. The Kings, ranking 19th in non-garbage time defensive efficiency with a rating of 115.6, struggle defensively and lack a true match for Williamson. This scenario sets the stage for Williamson to potentially exploit the Kings' defensive weaknesses once again, making him a key player to watch in NBA player props for this matchup.

⭐ Recommended Bet: Zion Williamson Over 24.5 pts (-125) at FanDuel

 


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FAQ

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Admir Aljic
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