Spurs vs. Nuggets Prediction, Odds & NBA Player Props for 11/26
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Spurs vs. Nuggets Prediction & NBA Picks Today:
- ⭐ Spurs +11.5 ATS (-110) at BetMGM
- ⭐ Under 228.5 points (-110) at FanDuel
- ⭐ Nikola Jokic Over 54.5 Pts + Reb + Asts (-111) at Caesars
As the 2023-24 NBA season's Week 5 wraps up, the spotlight turns to the Western Conference clash at Ball Arena in Denver, Colorado, where the Denver Nuggets will host the San Antonio Spurs on Sunday, November 26. This matchup marks the beginning of their four-game regular-season series, with the Nuggets historically holding a slight edge, having won two out of three games against the Spurs last season.
The game, scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET, features two teams struggling to find their rhythm. Denver has lost four of its last five games, while San Antonio is on an 11-game losing streak. Both teams are eager to turn things around in this encounter, with Denver being the clear favorite.
What's particularly intriguing in this Spurs vs. Nuggets showdown is the total score prediction. The opening line was set at 229.5, but there's been a slight shift since. This movement is a key factor in our NBA picks today, and it's worth exploring why the under might be the smart play in this game.
For those considering NBA player props or looking for the best online betting sites, this game offers plenty of intrigue.
Here's our expert analysis and prediction for this NBA player props and picks today.
Game details
San Antonio Spurs (3-13) vs. Denver Nuggets (10-6)
Location: Ball Arena in Denver, CO
Date & Time: Sunday, November 26, 2023 at 8:10 p.m. ET
How to watch: NBA TV
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Spurs vs. Nuggets Against the Spread Pick
NBA Pick: ⭐ Spurs +11.5 ATS (-110) at BetMGM
The Denver Nuggets, despite their strong home record of 7-0, are entering this matchup with key players nursing injuries, including their third-leading scorer, Murray. Their recent form has been shaky, with three losses in their last four games, albeit all on the road. On the other side, the San Antonio Spurs are in a slump, having lost 11 consecutive games. Despite their struggles, they have shown some resilience, covering the spread in their last two outings, while Denver has failed to cover in their last eight.
This sets the stage for an interesting Spurs vs. Nuggets ATS pick. The Nuggets might be favorites to win, but the Spurs are showing signs of competitiveness, especially in terms of covering the spread.
With Denver's recent ATS record and the Spurs' ability to stay within the spread, it seems more prudent to lean towards San Antonio in this NBA picks today scenario.
While it's not a confident endorsement of the Spurs, the current dynamics suggest they are a better choice for covering the double-digit spread, especially considering Denver's defensive struggles and their less-than-stellar ATS record this season.
⭐ Recommended Bet: Spurs +11.5 ATS (-110) at BetMGM
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Spurs vs. Nuggets Over/Under Prediction
NBA Pick: ⭐ Under 228.5 points (-110) at FanDuel
The Denver Nuggets are facing a challenging period in the absence of Jamal Murray, a key player whose injury has led to a noticeable decline in their offensive output. Initially, they managed a strong performance with 134 points in the first game without Murray, but since then, their scoring has dropped to an average of 106.8 points per game. This is a significant decrease from the 114.6 points they were averaging with Murray in the lineup.
Murray's role in the team was pivotal, and his trajectory towards All-Star status before the injury was clear. His absence has left a gap in the Nuggets' lineup, particularly affecting their synergy with star player Nikola Jokic. This impact is reflected in the team's recent performance metrics. Over the past two weeks, Denver's offense ranks 26th in efficiency during non-garbage time minutes, according to Cleaning the Glass.
In terms of Spurs vs. Nuggets prediction and statistical analysis, the Nuggets are currently averaging 111.9 points on 48.7 percent shooting, while their defense allows 108.6 points. The San Antonio Spurs, their upcoming opponents, are averaging 109.9 points on 45.5 percent shooting but have a concerning defensive record, allowing 122.8 points on 49.5 percent shooting.
The Spurs, despite their struggles, might present an opportunity for the Nuggets to regain some form. San Antonio's young and inexperienced team has one of the league's weakest defenses, both in terms of points allowed and schedule-adjusted defensive rating. However, there has been a recent improvement in their defense, moving up to 20th in the last two weeks. This improvement in defense is contrasted by a decline in their offense, now ranked 30th over the same period, leading to a series of unders in their recent games.
This analysis forms part of NBA picks today, offering insights into the offensive and defensive capabilities, and recent trends, providing a comprehensive view for those interested in NBA betting.
⭐ Recommended Bet: Under 228.5 points (-110) at FanDuel
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Spurs vs. Nuggets NBA Player Props
NBA Player Prop: ⭐ Nikola Jokic Over 54.5 Pts + Reb + Asts (-111) at Caesars
The matchup between the Denver Nuggets and the San Antonio Spurs is drawing significant attention, primarily due to the anticipated duel between Nikola Jokic and Victor Wembanyama.
Both teams are currently struggling; the Spurs are on an 11-game losing streak, while the Nuggets have lost five of their last seven games. Denver's difficulties have been compounded by the absence of Jamal Murray, but Jokic has been a standout performer, delivering impressive back-to-back 30-point games, including a triple-double.
For those interested in NBA player props, Jokic's recent form is particularly noteworthy. His ability to consistently deliver high-scoring games, coupled with his knack for racking up assists and rebounds, makes him a prime candidate for achieving another triple-double, especially considering San Antonio's defensive woes. The Spurs are currently ranked 28th in adjusted defensive ranking and are at the bottom in adjusted net rating, indicating significant vulnerabilities that Jokic could exploit.
This game is a key focus for the NBA picks today, with Jokic's performance being a critical factor to watch. His impact on the game could be decisive, making him a valuable consideration for those looking at player props and predictions for this NBA matchup.
⭐ Recommended Bet: Nikola Jokic Over 54.5 Pts + Reb + Asts (-111) at Caesars
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Updated by
Admir Aljic
Last Updated:
