Suns vs. Lakers Prediction, Odds & NBA Player Props for 12/05
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Suns vs. Lakers Prediction & NBA Picks
- ⭐ Lakers -2 ATS (-110) at BetMGM
- ⭐ Under 227 points (-110) at Caesars
- ⭐ Kevin Durant Over 28.5 points (-113) at FanDuel
In a Pacific Division clash, the Los Angeles Lakers (12-9) are set to host the Phoenix Suns (12-8) at Crypto.com Arena, with the game tipping off at 10:00 PM ET on Tuesday, December 5, 2023. This encounter marks the third matchup between these teams this season.
For NBA picks today considering the recent performances and historical context is crucial. The Lakers, led by LeBron James, secured the West's No. 1 seed with a perfect 4-0 record in group play. On the other hand, Kevin Durant's Suns clinched a wild card spot with a 3-1 record and a +34 point differential. Phoenix's last game saw them beat Memphis 116-109 at home, although they didn't cover the spread as a 9.5-point favorite. The Lakers, meanwhile, won their last game against Houston 107-97, covering as a 4.5-point favorite.
Historically, the Lakers have a significant lead in the regular-season series against the Suns, with a 150-115 record, including victories in the last four meetings and both encounters this season. The most recent game between these teams resulted in a 122-119 win for the Lakers on November 10.
In this upcoming game, the Lakers are a slight 2-point favorite in what oddsmakers anticipate to be a closely contested matchup. The over/under for the game is set at 224.5 (-110) at Caesars.
For those considering NBA Player Props or looking for the best online betting sites, this game offers plenty of intrigue.
Game details
Phoenix Suns (12-8) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (12-9)
Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, California
Date & Time: Tuesday, December 5, 2023 at 10:00 p.m. ET
How to watch: TNT
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Suns vs. Lakers Against the Spread Pick
NBA Pick: ⭐ Lakers -2 ATS (-110) at BetMGM
The Los Angeles Lakers, coming off a win against the Houston Rockets on Saturday, have shown strong form at home this season with an 8-2 record. They face the Phoenix Suns, who have been a formidable road team with a 7-3 record. This competitive dynamic between the two teams is a key reason why the spread for this game is the closest among the four quarterfinals.
In our Suns vs. Lakers prediction the health of the Lakers' roster is a significant factor. As of Monday, their injury list is unusually short, with only Gabe Vincent out. This rare clean bill of health, including Jarred Vanderbilt being active for Tuesday's contest, puts the Lakers in a strong position. Conversely, the Suns have had a less consistent run, as reflected in their 9-10-1 record against the spread. They had a streak of covering four consecutive games but failed to do so in their last three matches.
Given these factors, the prediction is that the Lakers, with their strong home record and healthier lineup, will cover the 2-point spread (-110) at BetMGM in what is expected to be a closely contested game. This matchup, likely to be decided in the final moments, leans towards the Lakers taking advantage of their home court and improved health situation.
⭐ Recommended Bet: Lakers -2 ATS (-110) at BetMGM
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Suns vs. Lakers Over/Under Prediction
NBA Pick: ⭐ Under 227 points (-110) at Caesars
The Phoenix Suns come into this game ranked 11th in the NBA in scoring offense, averaging 116.2 points per game. This season, they have seen their games, combined with their opponents, exceed 227 points in 12 out of 20 games. Defensively, the Suns are positioned 17th in the league, allowing an average of 113.2 points per game. The average total score in Suns games this season is 229.4, which is slightly higher than the over/under for this matchup. In their last 10 games, Phoenix has been performing well, with an 8-2 record and an average of 120.5 points, 41.5 rebounds, and 27.0 assists per game, while shooting 48.9% from the field. Their opponents during this stretch have averaged 114.4 points.
On the other side, the Los Angeles Lakers rank 20th in scoring offense, averaging 112.5 points per game. In terms of defense, they are 18th in the league, allowing 113.5 points per game. Over their last 10 games, the Lakers have a 6-4 record, averaging 111.9 points, 44.6 rebounds, and 27.2 assists per game, with a field goal percentage of 49.1%. Their opponents have averaged 111.7 points per game during this period.
Given these statistics, our Suns vs. Lakers prediction suggests a closely contested game, with both teams likely to focus more on defense, especially with the semifinals at stake. Therefore, leaning towards the Under 227 points (-110) at Caesars seems like a prudent choice, considering the recent defensive efforts and scoring trends of both teams.
⭐ Recommended Bet: Under 227 points (-110) at Caesars
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Suns vs. Lakers NBA Player Props
NBA Player Prop: ⭐ Kevin Durant Over 28.5 points (-113) at FanDuel
The Los Angeles Lakers have not yet faced the Durant/Booker duo this season. Kevin Durant's scoring prowess, even alongside Devin Booker, has been impressive this season. In their nine games together, Durant has averaged 30.4 points with remarkable shooting splits of .544/.581/.869. Known for his versatility, Durant excels in handling the ball, rebounding, and scoring from all three levels. This season, he's averaging 31 points per game, with an even higher average of 30.8 points against Western Conference teams.
There are a few more things to consider in our Suns vs. Lakers player props, making the Durant's upcoming performance particularly noteworthy. Given the high stakes of this elimination game, it's expected that both teams' starters, including Durant, will see extended playing time. This increased workload should provide Durant with more scoring opportunities. Notably, he has surpassed the Over in 11 of his first 18 games.
Therefore, our final prediction is for Kevin Durant to score Over 28.5 points (-113) at FanDuel. This prediction is based on Durant's consistent scoring ability, his performance against Western Conference teams, and the likelihood of increased playing time in this crucial matchup.
⭐ Recommended Bet: Kevin Durant Over 28.5 points (-113) at FanDuel
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Updated by
Admir Aljic
Last Updated:
