UFC 290 Predictions: Volkanovski vs Rodriguez UFC Odds & UFC Picks
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BEST UFC 290 Predictions, Bets & UFC Picks
- ⭐ Alexander Volkanovski to Win: -370
- ⭐ Fight to Go the Distance YES: +100
- ⭐ Total Rounds - Over 3.5: -149
The highly anticipated UFC 290 on Saturday night features Alexander Volkanovski defending his featherweight championship for the fifth time, this time against Yair Rodriguez. After a recent unsuccessful title challenge at lightweight, Volkanovski aims to solidify his dominance in the 145-pound division and make a strong case for being the Featherweight GOAT.
According to the best online betting sites, Volkanovski is heavily favored, with the champ opening at -370 at BetMGM Sportsbook, while Rodriguez stands at +290.
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With this in mind, lets analyze the best UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodríguez picks and predictions for the event taking place at the T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas on July 8th.
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UFC Best Bets for Alexander Volkanovski vs. Yair Rodriguez Odds
How To Watch UFC 290
- 🥊 UFC FIGHT NIGHT: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Yair Rodriguez
- 📅 Date: July 8, 2023
- 🕙 Time: Main Card at 10:00 PM ET, Prelims at 8:00 PM ET
- 🏟 Location: T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas, United States
- 📺 TV Channel: pay-per-view (main card) + ABC/ESPN/ESPN2/ESPN+ (early prelims & prelims)
- 🏆 Main Event: Alexander Volkanovski vs. Yair Rodriguez (Featherweight bout)
- 📊 UFC Stats: Alexander Volkanovski - 22-1-0, Yair Rodriguez - 14-3-0
Before we delve into the specific odds and betting options, let's take a moment to acknowledge the reliable and user-friendly platform provided by BetMGM Sportsbook. Offering a wide range of betting markets and competitive odds, BetMGM is a top choice for UFC enthusiasts.
UFC Fight Night Main Event: The Fighters
Alexander Volkanovski, despite being shorter than his opponents, has experience in dealing with reach disadvantages against taller kickboxers. He employs leg kicks and feints to create openings for his punches. With superior boxing skills, Volkanovski aims to utilize leg kicks early on to immobilize Rodriguez, who has a vulnerability to strikes (53% striking defense).
In terms of striking efficiency, Volkanovski holds the advantage with 56% accuracy and 59% defense, compared to Rodriguez's 46% accuracy and 53% defense. Over the course of a 25-minute fight, Volkanovski out-lands his opponents by 2.95 strikes per minute, resulting in a significant 74-strike differential. However, Volkanovski's chin has shown some vulnerability in the past, having been knocked down or wobbled by opponents like Chad Mendes and Max Holloway.
If Volkanovski opts for grappling, it could justify his status as the favorite. However, even without relying on wrestling, he should still have the upper hand as the superior striker. Volkanovski's finishing style leans more towards attrition rather than power punches.
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Yair Rodriguez's advantage lies in his kickboxing range, utilizing his long legs and a wide range of strikes. His dynamic kicking game is particularly effective when striking from the outside.
On the other hand, Volkanovski excels in close-quarters combat, where his superior hand skills can neutralize the leg reach difference. However, Rodriguez maintains a +0.75 strike differential per minute, giving him a 19-strike advantage over the course of a 25-minute fight.
Volkanovski showcases excellent cardio and applies constant pressure, using feints and movement to overwhelm his opponents and disrupt their decision-making process.
While Rodriguez may not possess the same level of power or precision in his punches as some other fighters, he possesses the potential to catch Volkanovski off-guard with strikes like elbows, head kicks, or flying knees. His unorthodox offensive style could result in landing significant blows that could affect the champion. Rodriguez is known for his durability and has solid cardio conditioning.
Best Bets for UFC 290: Strickland vs. Magomedov
- ⭐ Alexander Volkanovski to Win: -370
- ⭐ Fight to Go the Distance YES: +100
- ⭐ Total Rounds - Over 3.5: -149
Volkanovski's granite chin and fight IQ make him well-prepared to handle Rodriguez's dangerous head kicks, despite previous instances of being tagged by them.
Volkanovski's impressive speed and ability to move in and out of range were evident in his dismantling of Holloway, showcasing his capability to match Rodriguez's quickness.
Being a more well-rounded fighter, Volkanovski can utilize his wrestling to disrupt Rodriguez's comfort zone, taking advantage of the latter's subpar defensive wrestling.
Rodriguez's past fights, including losses to Holloway and Edgar, a close split decision against Rosa, and a likely loss to the Korean Zombie, suggest vulnerabilities compared to Volkanovski's undefeated featherweight record.
With Volkanovski's well-rounded skillset, physical abilities, and unbeaten career in featherweight, he is favored to secure a victory over Rodriguez.
Best UFC 290 Bet: Volkanovski to win (-370)
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UFC 290 Las Vegas Main Card
While Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez will be the main fight, here we bring you the rest of the fights featured on the UFC 290 fight card alongside the latest odds available at BetMGM Sportsbook:
- Brandon Moreno (c) -210 vs. Alexandre Pantoja +175, flyweight championship
- Robert Whittaker -380 vs. Dricus du Plessis +300, middleweights
- Jalin Turner -280 vs. Dan Hooker +230, lightweights
- Bo Nickal -2800 vs. Valentine Woodburn +1300, middleweights
- Niko Price -230 vs. Robbie Lawler +190, welterweights
- Jack Della Maddalena -900 vs. Josiah Harrell +600, welterweights
- Yazmin Jauregui -380 vs. Denise Gomes +300, women's strawweights
- Jimmy Crute -135 vs. Alonzo Menifield +115, light heavyweights
- Tatsuro Taira -1000 vs. Edgar Chairez +650, flyweights
- Vitor Petrino -240 vs. Marcin Prachino +200, light heavyweights
- Cameron Saaiman -550 vs. Christian Rodriguez +400, bantamweights
- Jesus Aguilar -140 vs. Shannon Ross +120, flyweights
- Esteban Ribovics -150 vs, Kamuela Kirk +125, lightweights
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Updated by
Admir Aljic
Last Updated:
