Best MLB Prop Bets Today, Analysis & BONUS Offers for 05/27
Best MLB Player Prop Bets Today:
- Starling Marte UNDER 1.5 total bases (-118) at BetMGM Sportsbook
- Mike Trout prop Over 0.5 hits (-160) at bet365 Sportsbook
- Shohei Ohtani, over 7.5 strikeouts (-105) at DraftKings Sportsbook
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Best MLB Prop Bet #1: Starling Marte UNDER 1.5 total bases (-118 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
We typically avoid taking the UNDER on total base props, but this particular situation favors a bet on Marte recording under 1.5 total bases. The experienced outfielder has struggled at the plate this season, with a slugging percentage of .235 along with only two home runs and 14 RBI. Over his last five games, Marte has been in a 2-for-15 slump, although he has only struck out once.
In the series opener against the Rockies on Friday, Marte went 0-for-4. While historical trends suggest that Marte could break out against tonight's starter Chase Anderson, with a .437 batting average, two home runs, and three RBI in his career against him, it's important to consider Marte's performance against right-handed pitching this season. Against righties, Marte has struggled, slashing only .213/.292/.287.
Given Marte's recent struggles and his overall performance against right-handed pitching this season, we are inclined to take the chance that he will fall short of 1.5 total bases in the game, especially as he tries to find success at the challenging Mile High City ballpark.
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Best MLB Prop Bet #2: Mike Trout prop Over 0.5 hits (-160 at bet365 Sportsbook)
When it comes to Mike Trout's hitting prowess, there are several reasons to believe he will record over 0.5 hits in the upcoming game. In his last outing, Trout went 2-4 at the plate, extending his hitting streak to seven out of the last eight games. As a three-time AL MVP, Trout is widely recognized as one of the best hitters in the world. While his current batting average of .280 is lower than his career average, it is still a respectable figure.
Throughout his career spanning nearly 1,500 games, Trout has maintained an impressive .302 batting average. This season, he has recorded hits in 35 out of 48 games, boasting a success rate of 72.9%. With such consistent performance, the odds of Trout achieving at least one hit in the game appear stronger than the implied probability of 61.54% offered at -160 for the Over 0.5 hits prop bet.
Furthermore, the Los Angeles Angels will be facing Edward Cabrera of the Miami Marlins, who is not considered an elite pitcher. Cabrera's statistics, such as average exit velocity, hard-hit rate, and barrel rate, place him in the bottom 40th percentile. Additionally, he has a 5.05 ERA and a 1.51 WHIP over his ten starts. These factors indicate that Trout will surpass 0.5 hits in the game.
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Best MLB Prop Bet #3: Shohei Ohtani, over 7.5 strikeouts (-105 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Despite the high total set for strikeouts, we are confident in taking the over for Ohtani. The Los Angeles Angels' standout has consistently surpassed this number in six out of his ten starts this season. If we exclude a rain-shortened two-inning outing in April, he has achieved this feat in six out of nine starts.
In the upcoming game against the Miami Marlins, Ohtani will face a predominantly right-handed lineup, with only Joey Wendle and Luis Arraez as the left-handed batters likely to be in the lineup. Ohtani has been dominant against right-handed hitters this year, holding them to a mere .138/.283/.266 slash line. Considering that the Marlins rank in the bottom third of the league in OPS and strikeout rate against right-handed starters, Ohtani should easily accumulate at least eight or nine strikeouts in this game.
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