NBA Picks: Bet on Doncic, Mavericks Against Struggling Pistons

NBA Picks: Bet on Doncic, Mavericks Against Struggling Pistons
© USA Today

To help with your NBA betting, here are our picks for tonight's games. We'll start with our prop bet picks, then to our game picks.

Prop Bets to Consider Today

BOOK ODDS BET DESCRIPTION
FanDuel -105 Mavericks Spencer Dinwiddie Over 16.5 points
DraftKings +340 Pistons Isaiah Stewart to record a double-double

The player prop bets are 62-51 making $818 for the season wagering $50 per prop. 

Dallas Mavericks vs the Detroit Pistons

7:30 EDT Tip-Off 

Line: Mavericks - 8, Total 220

I am betting on the Mavericks -8 points at DraftKings and is a valid bet up to and including –9.5 points tonight 

Thanks to a herculean 40-point triple-double by superstar Luka Doncic, the Mavericks have climbed their way back to .500 with a 10-10 straight-up record. They covered the spread in their three-point win over their playoff nemesis Golden State Warriors, but still has the worst against the spread mark in the Association at 5-14-1 ATS (26%). 

Doncic recorded his third 40-point triple-double this season which was his 51st career triple-double, ranking him 10th all-time and ninth behind the Celtics' Larry Bird. He has an excellent opportunity to notch his 52nd triple-double when he takes to the courts against the Detroit Pistons, who have the worst record in the NBA.

The Pistons' top player Cade Cunningham has been sidelined and his return is unknown due to a shin injury. His absence has made it nearly impossible for the Pistons to be competitive on any given night. Several other key players have missed games due to injury, including starting point guard Jaden Ivey. This is a monumental mismatch and I am not concerned about laying the points up to 9.5 points on the Mavericks.

Situational trends and angles that support a betting opportunity on the Mavericks:

  • The Mavericks are 6-2 ATS when on the road and having lost five or more of their last seven games over the past five seasons.
  • The Mavericks are 15-6 ATS (71%) after their 20th game of the season, on the road, and facing a foe that has won 33% or fewer of their games in games played over the past five seasons. 
  • The Pistons are 5-10 ATS (67%) in home games when facing an opponent averaging two or fewer fouls called per game over the past five seasons.
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