NFL Betting: NFC West Situation Angles

Article By John Ryan

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John Ryan founded a cutting-edge sports technology company more than 25 years ago. John has utilized many of the machine learning tools that have applications in other industries to successfully build simulation models, neural networks, and many types of algorithms that have earned strong predictive results. To identify a betting opportunity the fundamental research must support the mathematical projections. John has a proven track record of success as shown in his season records and numerous Top-10 finishes in all Major Sports.

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Last Updated: Mar 14^th, 2024

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Here is an NFL analytical resource that provides the top situational angles, spanning the past 10 seasons that many teams will find themselves in through the 2022 season. 

These are starting points to the handicapping process each week of the NFL season. 

As you will see below "Best Situational Angle" means that the angle might be a high winning or low losing percentage for the team and situation involved.

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NFC West

Arizona Cardinals

• 7-13 against the spread (ATS) for 35% when coming off three or more straight up (SU) and ATS wins.
• 15-7 Under for 68% when coming off a game in which their defense allowed 34 or more points.
• 17-7 ATS for 71% following two consecutive games in which they passed for 7.5 or more yards per pass attempt.
• 15-6 ATS for 71% in road games and facing an opponent that has lost 67% of their games in the current season.
• 2-8 ATS for 20% in home games playing with revenge and with that opponent coming off a straight-up loss priced as the favorite.

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Los Angeles Rams

• 7-18-3 ATS for 28% following two consecutive games in which they passed for 7.5 or more yards per pass attempt in each game.
• 3-7 ATS for 30% when priced as an underdog and facing an opponent coming off an upset road win.
• 11-3-1 ATS for 79% when coming off a divisional matchup at home and now facing an opponent with a winning record.
• 1-8 ATS for 13% when a favorite of not more than 4.5 points and playing with revenge, having lost that game priced as the favorite.
• 10-20 ATS for 33% when playing with revenge from a double-digit road loss.

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San Francisco 49ers

• 10-4-1 Over when having won three or more of their previous games ATS and now favored against a divisional foe.
• 22-12-1 ATS for 65% as an underdog of six or fewer points and facing a conference opponent.
• 13-5 Over for 72% when priced as a favorite and coming off a game in which their defense held that opponent to 25% or lower third-down conversions.
• 15-8-2 ATS for 65% following two consecutive games in which they passed for 7.5 or more yards-per-pass-attempt.
• 2-9 ATS for 18% in home games playing with revenge and with that opponent coming off a straight-up (SU) loss priced as the favorite.

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Seattle Seahawks

• 8-3-1 Over for 73% priced as a dog and coming off a game in which their defense held that opponent to 25% or lower third-down conversions.
• 14-4-1 Over for 78% after Week 4 and facing an elite offense posting a yards-per-point ratio of 13 or lower.
• 13-5-1 ATS for 72% when coming off two consecutive games in which they gained five or more rushing yards per attempt in each game.
• 25-13 ATS for 66% following two consecutive games in which they passed for 7.5 or more yards per pass attempt.
• 12-6 Under for 67% in road games and facing an opponent that has lost 67% of their games in the current season.

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Url copied!

John Ryan founded a cutting-edge sports technology company more than 25 years ago. John has utilized many of the machine learning tools that have applications in other industries to successfully build simulation models, neural networks, and many types of algorithms that have earned strong predictive results. To identify a betting opportunity the fundamental research must support the mathematical projections. John has a proven track record of success as shown in his season records and numerous Top-10 finishes in all Major Sports.

Read Full Bio

John Ryan

Last Updated:   Mar 14^th, 2024

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