Women's French Open 2023 Preview and Betting Advice
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According to the top sports betting apps, the French Open should essentially be renamed the Iga Swiatek Invitational.
Swiatek, who has won two of the last three French Opens, is an overwhelming favorite to win this year’s event on all the sportsbooks, including at -135 on FanDuel Sportsbook.
Swiatek is deserving of being that large of a favorite, given her success on clay. Over the past four years, she’s 42-4 on the surface with just one loss on clay each season.
Swiatek Has Been Dominant on Clay
In 2022, Swiatek also had one of the most dominating runs in the history of tennis, recording a 37-match win streak that included a French Open title. She had another 14-match win streak this year before having to withdraw from the Italian Open in the third set in her quarterfinal match against Elena Rybakina.
“I felt pain in my right thigh,” she told press members on Friday. “It was pretty sudden. At the beginning, I didn’t really know if it was serious or not. We did an examination with the physio afterward. It shouldn’t be anything serious, so I’m pretty positive I’ll be back soon.”
Even with the injury concern, sportsbooks haven’t made sizable changes to Swiatek’s odds.
One of the only minor adjustments came at Caesars Sportsbook where Swiatek is now -125 after previously at -137.
As it stands, Swiatek appears set to go for the French Open, reiterating to her Twitter followers her plans to compete.
🤞🏼Quick update.A couple of days off for sure. And booking my flight to Paris, so...fingers crossed, please! Hopefully, see you soon.
— Iga Świątek (@iga_swiatek) May 18, 2023
🤞🏼Update.Potrzebuję na pewno kilku dni odpoczynku. Bilety do Paryża rezerwujemy, więc... trzymajcie kciuki. Mam nadzieję - do zobaczenia niedługo pic.twitter.com/k8TO8cuROr
Sabalenka, Rybakina Could Contend at the French Open
Women’s tennis has traditionally held more parity than the men’s side, given how dominant Rafael Nadal, Novak Djokovic and Roger Federer have been throughout their careers.
But we’ve recently started to see an upper-echelon form in the women’s game. Swiatek, Rybakina and Aryna Sabelenka have combined to win the last four grand slams with Swiatek winning the French and U.S. Open, while Rybakina was victorious at Wimbledon before Sabalenka captured her first grand slam this year at the Australian Open.
Sabalenka has already beaten Swiatek this year, topping her in the Madrid final this year. She is coming off a strange first-round exit to Sofia Kenin at the Italian Open, but a clay title and a win over Swiatek instantly make her a contender at Roland Garros. Sabalenka’s French Open odds are +600 at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Rybakina took advantage of Swiatek’s withdrawal against her and ended up winning the Italian Open with a semifinal victory over Jelena Ostapenki and a walkover in the final against Anhelina Kalinina. And except for the weird first-round loss at the U.S. Open, her form in recent grand slams has been impressive. She was victorious at Wimbledon and finished as the runner-up to Sabalenka at the Australian Open. Rybakina is +650 at the French Open this year.
If Swiatek’s injury issues flare up or is dealt an early exit, Sablanka and Rybakina will become the tourney favorites.
French Open Pick: Swiatek
It has to be Swiatek. If health is not a concern, expect the best clay player in the world, who is in the prime of her career to win her third French Open.
Last year she lost only one set, 6-7, to Qinwen Zheng in the fourth round. She ended up winning the next two 6-0, 6-2. Her form was nearly flawless a year ago here, and I wouldn’t expect anything different.
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