How NBA Futures Odds Will Change After the Draft

Date IconLast Updated: Sep 28th, 2022
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How NBA Futures Odds Will Change After the Draft
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There were surprising picks, stunning trades and players falling down the draft board. But that's what to expect from the NBA draft.

We're going to take a look at how all of that affected the futures market for NBA betting.

Top 5 Movers After the NBA Draft

Team Win Title Pre-Draft Win Title Post-Draft Win Conference Pre-Draft Win Conference Post-Draft
Orlando Magic +250000 +200000 +100000 +40000
OKC Thunder +100000 +50000 +20000 +12000
New York Knicks +2500 +1800 +10000 +8000
L.A. Clippers +800 +600 +500 +350
L.A. Lakers +1400 +1700 +700 +900


The Orlando Magic Picked Banchero

For the 13th consecutive year, a freshman was selected No.1 overall in the NBA draft, with the Orlando Magic picking Paolo Banchero, a 6-foot-10, 250-pound power forward from Duke.

He will be the Magic’s lead scorer and will change the landscape in the Eastern Conference. He grew up playing point guard and has sensational ball-handling skills that enable him to snatch defensive boards and start the fast break. 

He can post up and use his physicality and is far too quick for any current big man in the NBA to defend him alone.

The Magic might not contend this season, but Banchero will improve them. 

Caesars had them lined at +100000 to win the Eastern Conference before the draft and I expect that price to drop to +40000 over the summer.

Keegan Murray Goes to the Kings

The Sacramento Kings surprised a lot of draft experts when they selected Iowa’s Keegan Murray with the fourth pick. He is the highest selected player in Iowa’s program history. 

Murray, an All-American, is a 6-8 forward who was fourth overall in scoring, averaging 23.5 points per game. 

The Kings could have traded down to get Murray, but he will be a terrific fit on offense playing with DeAaron Fox and Domantas Sabonis this season.

Sacramento’s selection of G-League Ignite player Jaden Hardy with the 37th pick was the best move of the night.

Hardy averaged 21 points and four assists per game with the Ignite and was one of the 25 players sitting in the draft’s green room at the start of the draft and was left alone waiting for his name to be announced. 

Those two picks should help the Kings tremendously and you should expect their odds to drop from +50000 to win the Western Conference to about +33000.

Could the Thunder Start to Turn it Around?

The Oklahoma City Thunder was the most aggressive franchise in the draft and made a massive move with the Knicks for No. 11 pick Ousmane Dieng, a forward from France. The deal involved 11 draft picks.

Dieng will join Gonzaga’s Chet Holmgren, who was selected second overall and two playmakers already on the roster in Josh Giddey and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. 

Like the Magic, OKC is on the right path. Its futures odds will be repriced lower but it will remain longshots to contend for the playoffs. 

The Thunder has a roster that could push to be a .500 team, so when the NBA wins totals come out this summer, consider a futures bet on the Over.


Golden State Front Office is Brilliant

The Golden State Warriors have won four NBA Championships in the past eight years under coach Steve Kerr, and they had the luxury to make a low-risk, high-reward pick in Patrick Baldwin, Jr. from Wisconsin-Milwaukee with the 28th pick. 

Baldwin is 6-10, with guard-like ability but went largely unnoticed playing in a small conference for a lousy team and shot 34%. 

He will not change the futures odds for the Warriors to repeat, but he’s with the perfect team to see if he can get back the skills that had him as one of the top prospects in the country two years ago.

The Warriors are the favorites to win the title at +500.