NFL Picks: How to Bet Baltimore Ravens at New Orleans Saints
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Here are our NFL betting picks for Monday Night Football. We'll start with our prop bets, then pick the game.
Prop Bet Options to Consider Tonight
For the season, player prop bets are 49-33 for 61% winning bets, making $1,024 per $50 bet.
Baltimore Ravens at New Orleans Saints
Today, 8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN
Line: Ravens –1 | Total: 46.5 points
I am betting on the Saints +1 points as offered at PointsBet.
Over the first eight games, the Saints have struggled with consistency under first-year coach Dennis Allen. Yet, at 3-5, they have a great opportunity to win the NFC South since they have the easiest remaining schedule of any team in the NFL. A win tonight would really enhance their playoff chances.
The Ravens are 5-3 but have had their last five games decided by five or fewer points. They are 3-2 and 1-3-1 against the spread in these games and before this had lost seven consecutive games decided by five or fewer points. So, despite having a great quarterback to lead the offense, the Ravens are a team that is just not as good as their record indicates right now.
The Ravens have struggled in the red zone, ranking 15 and converting 56% of these opportunities into touchdowns.
The Saints rank ninth allowing a touchdown to be scored in the red zone 50% of the time and third-best allowing only 10 red zone touchdowns.
Situational Trends and Angles
- The Saints are 19-9 ATS facing a below-average defense that allows 260 or more passing yards per game after the eighth game in each of the past eight games.
- The Saints are 12-5 ATS when facing defenses allowing a completion percentage of 60% or higher in the second half of each of the past three seasons.
- Ravens coach John Harbaugh is just 23-37 ATS in weeks 5 through 9 of the regular season.
Remember, sports betting is a marathon, not a get-rich scheme for one weekend. There will be losing weeks here on these pages and although I have had nine profitable seasons in the past 10, there is no guarantee I will hit 65% ATS again this season.
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