Wimbledon Betting Preview: Players Worth Betting Further Down the Odds Board
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Wimbledon Best Bets
- Petra Kvitova +1300 at DraftKings Sportsbook
- Alexander Bublik +11000 at FanDuel Sportsbook
Where is the Value in Wimbledon Betting?
I don’t blame anyone for wanting to take a single shot in the futures betting market for tennis grand slams.
We’ve typically seen the favorites come out on top, especially on the men’s side, recently.
If you want to put all of your Wimbledon betting bankroll on Novak Djokovic to win at -155, I’m not going to try to stop you. He probably will win. That’s what happens when you’re one of the best grass players of all time going against a weaker field with many of the top grass players out of form or dealing with injuries.
Alexander Bublik
Similar to Nick Kyrgios, there have always been concerns about Alexander Bublik’s ability to keep it together mentally in a five-set grand slam atmosphere. Facing adversity, Bublik has had a tendency to get careless and blast through matches with unforced errors as if he was ready for a contest to be over. It’s a legitimate concern if he has the mental fortitude to keep it together for seven five-set matches in order to win a grand slam.
We only find out if he has changed if he does it in a grand slam. But there are signs he may be playing some of the best tennis of his career. Bublik just won his second singles title and did it by beating some of the best players in the world.
- No. 14 Borna Coric
- No. 21 Jan-Lennard Struff
- No. 9 Jannik Sinner
- No. 22 Alexander Zverev
- No. 7 Andray Rublev
“It really means the world to me,” Bublik said. “I’ve been struggling for half a year and now having this a reward, I don’t take it for granted. It was hard work. I was walking through the little hall of fame here before entering the court for the very first time against Struff [in the second round], and I was like ‘Wow, the different names, a lot of guys I’m familiar with. That would be nice maybe to have it one day.'
“But I could not even imagine that I would win this tournament, and I’m really, really happy.”
Bublik has a game that fits the grass; he has a big serve and is a solid volleyer. In the final against Rublev, Bublik had 42 winners and 21 aces.
Similar to Kyrgios at this time last year, Bublik seems to have turned a corner in his career. Bublik will still be a volatile player, which could still lead to an early exit. But his all-or-nothing style can be fun to watch, and if he’s on, he has the shot-making ability to hang with anyone in the field.
But if you’re looking to back some players with longer tennis betting odds who enter with momentum and could make a deep run, there are two players I’m looking at.
Last year I managed to grab Nick Kyrgios at 50/1 before he made it to the finals where he would lose to Djokovic. With longshots, all you’re looking for is a shot at it, and with Kyrgios making it that far, I was content with how it played out,
Maybe one of these two players can get that far and over the finish line.
Petra Kvitova
There aren’t many women in better form on the grass than Petra Kvitova. The two-time Wimbledon champion captured the sixth grass court title of her career in Berlin on Sunday and did so in dominant fashion. Kvitova didn’t lose a set, and four of her five wins came against top 25 players, including a quarterfinal win over No. 4 Caroline Garcia. Dating back to her title run in Eastbourne last season, Kvitova has now won 12 of her last 13 matches on grass and lost just four sets during that span.
Kvitova’s powerful serve was on display in the final against Donna Vekic (6-2, 7-6). She lost just eight points behind her serve in the first set and was not broken. In the second set, it was Kvitova’s return game that was the difference. Vekic won just 29% of her second-serve points and was broken three times.
With both her serve and return in form, and given her recent success, Kvitova is one of the players outside the favorites worth a look this week. It also helps she has experience in grand slams having won at Wimbledon in 2011 and 2014.
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