2023 Tour de France Stage 13 Picks & Predictions: Bastille Day Glory for Barguil?

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2023 Tour de France Stage 13 Picks & Predictions: Bastille Day Glory for Barguil?

2023 Tour de France 2023 Stage 13 Picks

 

 

Friday is Bastille Day and the legions of Tour de France fans watching the race on TV or from the roadside can expect fireworks as we enter stage 13 of this year's Tour.

We head back into the mountains, beginning with a summit finish atop the Hors Categorie Grand Colombier. and what a story it would be if local hero Warren Barguil took the stage on July 14th.

But he'll face stiff competition from favorites Tadej Pogacar (+150) and Jonas Vingegaard (+400), whose explosive approaches have been there for all to see in recent days.

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2023 Tour de France Stage 13 - Châtillon-Sur-Chalaronne to Grand Colombier (137.8km)

 

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Stage 13 is essentially 120km of not much followed by an ascent of the super-category Grand Colombier, a 17.4km climb with an average gradient of 7.1%.

Starting off from Châtillon-Sur-Chalaronne, a novice host for the Tour, we anticipate a speedy commencement. As soon as the flag is lowered, cyclists will likely launch their attacks, aiming to secure a spot in the day's major breakaway. 

Each French team is expected to push one or two of their members ahead. Although securing a stage victory is always significant for French competitors and teams, triumphing on Bastille Day would be something else.

The Grand Colombier was first introduced as a challenge in the Tour de France in 2012, and then revisited in 2017. 

However, it wasn't until 2020 that it was employed as the finish line for a stage, which was triumphantly claimed by Tadej Pogačar, something of a milestone in his journey to his first Tour de France victory.

2023 Tour de France Stage 13: The Favorites

There's been significant discussion around the contrasting climbing styles of  Tadej Pogacar (+150) and Jonas Vingegaard (+400). It is often suggested that Pogacar excels in abrupt, steep ascents, while Vingegaard favors extended, more subdued climbs, much like the one featured in today's stage finish. 

Pogacar's explosive capabilities have been witnessed in recent days, making this stage the first real opportunity to assess the validity of the Vingegaard aspect of this theory and if the race comes back together or the breakaway is caught by a small group of GC contenders on the lower slopes of the Grand Colombier, it’s hard to see anyone other than Vingegaard and Pogačar winning the stage.

2023 Tour de France Stage 13: The Contenders

Canada's Mike Woods (+1600), who clinched victory on Stage 9 with a brilliantly coordinated effort up the Puy de Dôme, can't be overlooked while Giulio Ciccone from Italy, part of the Lidl-Trek team, who has been pretty quiet of late, might just be conserving his energy for Stage 13.

2023 Tour de France Stage 13 Picks & Predictions: Warren Barguil to Win (+8000)

Frenchman Warren Barguil (+8000) epitomizes the French hero: a striking climber who loves to strike out and though he may not have the power to beat competitors such as Vingegaard and Pogačar within a group, a breakaway survival would provide the former King of the Mountains a chance of glory on Bastille Day.

 


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Tour de France 2023: Stage 12 Expert Predictions & Picks

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Matthew Crist

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