2023 Tour de France Stage 8 Picks & Predictions: Van der Poel can lead the charge
Last Updated: Jul 25
2023 Tour de France 2023 Stage 8 Picks
- ✅ FAVORITE: Jasper Philipsen (+350)
- ✅ CONTENDER: Mathieu Van der Poel (+600)
- ✅ LONGSHOT: Mark Cavendish (+3000)
The Tour has temporarily left the mountains, however stage 8 will be an interesting day, with long distances and a hilly finale making it suited to the classics riders.
Continuing his impressive form, Jasper Philipsen triumphed once more on Friday, surpassing the record-seeking Mark Cavendish in Bordeaux and securing his third victory in this Tour.
Saturday's stage offers a slightly more challenging terrain. Although the initial categorized climb, a category three ascent, only appears around 130km into the 200.7km route, the final 20km is characterized by two category four climbs, following a demanding section of continuous riding with minimal flat stretches.
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2023 Tour de France Stage 8 - Libourne to Limoges (200.7km)
Stretching over a distance of 201km, this stage features predominantly flat terrain, with a notable change as it reaches a plateau in the final 70km. Within this section, cyclists will encounter three categorized climbs, including two within the last 15km.
The finish in Limoges poses a challenge with its complex nature. In the last kilometer, riders must navigate two sharp left-hand turns on a road that inclines at an average gradient of 3.1%.
This stage presents a perplexing scenario that is difficult to predict. Sprinters, puncheurs, and those vying for a breakaway will all view it as an opportunity, indicating that it remains wide open. Therefore, a cautious approach is advised when approaching this stage.
2023 Tour de France Stage 8: The Favorites
Once again, Jasper Philipsen (+350) leads the early market exchanges, but it remains challenging to understand why his odds are so favorable. Given the peculiarities of this stage, there is a significant likelihood that the Alpecin sprint train will struggle to escort him to the finish line. Furthermore, even if they manage to do so, Philipsen is not guaranteed to secure a victory in a sprint on this ascending terrain.
A much more promising wager would be on Wout van Aert (+330), who experienced misfortune on Stage 3 but will thoroughly enjoy this type of course. Van Aert should be considered the frontrunner and is likely to perform exceptionally well.
2023 Tour de France Stage 8: The Contenders
It's probably wise to avoid Caleb Ewan (+850) for a number of reasons as he shares similar concerns with Philipsen. On the other hand, Biniam Girmay (+800) is a more favorable option compared to Mathieu van der Poel (+600). Van der Poel may find himself burdened with misplaced domestique duties for Philipsen, and his performance in critical moments of this Tour has been questionable.
Following the letdown of Stage 7, where Mark Cavendish suffered from gear malfunctions and faltered in the final stretches, fans are eager to witness his comeback. However, his odds of +3000 probably reflect his chances, as the finish proves to be too challenging for him in this particular stage.
2023 Tour de France Stage 8 Picks & Predictions: Mathieu Van der Poel to Win (+600)
Wout Van Aert was ominously reserved on Friday, hinting that he is targeting a big push for stage 8 on Saturday. However, Mathieu Van der Poel's form suggests he can strike for Alpecin–Deceuninck's fourth win of this year's Tour and he can be backed to take stage 8 of the 2023 Tour de France at +600.
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The 2023 Tour de France commences on Saturday, July 1 and runs until Sunday, July 23. There will be 21 stages, spanning a total of 3,404 kilometers (2,115 miles). The race gets underway this year in Bilbao, Spain and will finish up as usual in Paris. Jonas Vingegaard, a 26-year-old from Denmark, is the defending champion.
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