American Gaming Association Projects 17% of American Adults Will Bet on March Madness

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American Gaming Association Projects 17% of American Adults Will Bet on March Madness
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The American Gaming Association (AGA) projects more than 17% of American adults will bet at least $3.1 billion on this year’s Men’s NCAA Division I Basketball Tournament.

“Americans continue to make it clear: they want to wager with the protections of the legal, regulated market.” AGA President and CEO Bill Miller said. “There’s no doubt this year will generate the highest legal handle in March Madness history.”

According to an AGA survey, 45 million American adults plan to bet during the NCAA Tournament.

Around 20.9 million Americans are expected to wager on the tournament outside of the traditional bracket contests, such as at a retail sportsbook, online with a bookie, or casually with friends, while 36.5 million Americans will bet through a bracket contest or a similar pool.

More Access to Online Gambling

This will be the first tournament where Americans plan to place a greater share of their bets through non-bracket channels. Americans expect to place 76% of their wagers outside of brackets, an increase of 55% last year.

The statistic isn’t overly surprising when you consider that more states have legalized sports betting, giving more Americans access to non-bracket wagering.

“There’s nothing more thrilling in sports than the magic of March Madness,” Miller said. “If you’re getting in on the action, have your game plan to bet responsibly. That means setting a budget, keeping it fun, learning the odds and playing legally,” Miller added.

Bettors like Gonzaga to cut down the nets and claim the title this year, with 17% listing the Bulldogs as their favorite, followed by Duke (12%) and Kentucky (11%). Gonzaga, as the favorite, aligns with the sportsbooks' odds. The WCC champions are favored across every sportsbook, including +300 at FanDuel.

Arizona has the second-best odds at +600, while Kentucky (+850), Kansas (+1000), and Baylor (+1200) round out the top five. Duke (+1700), the people’s second-favorite, is behind Auburn (+1600), which has the sixth-best odds.

U.S. Market Continues to Grow

Since Baylor won the national title last year, 29 million more American adults have access to legal sports betting sites in their home state compared to 2021.

Arizona, Connecticut, Louisiana, Maryland, North Dakota, South Dakota, Washington, Wisconsin, and Wyoming are going live with their own sports wagering markets.

Currently, 30 states and Washington, D.C. offer legal, regulated sports betting. Eleven states have active or pre-filed legislation to legalize sports betting.

Survey Conducted Nationwide

Morning Consult conducted an online survey for AGA between Feb. 26 and 27, using a sample of 2,210 adults nationwide.

The data were weighted to approximate a target sample of adults based on age, race/ethnicity, gender, educational attainment, and region. The margin of error is +/-2% and greater among subgroups. Bettors include those who plan to place a bet online, with a casino sportsbook, a bookie, or casually with family or friends as part of a bracket contest.

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