NBA Best Bets - Free NBA Expert Picks and Player Props for Playoffs Today

Article By Admir Aljic

Last Updated: Mar 14^th, 2024

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The battle for the Conference Finals rounds in the NBA Playoffs continues on Thursday night with both the Philadelphia 76ers and the Miami Heat hoping to close the series against the Boston Celtics and the New York Knicks. 

In fact, all 4 matchups have an identical series score of 3-2 and it will be interesting to see how many matchups will go to game 7 before the winner of the series has been decided. Not to mention all the drama and excitement that keeps building up leading to tonight's games. That is why our team of experts has put together some FREE NBA best bets, analysis and expert predictions in case you would like to join the betting action. 

Before we dive into the analysis, it's worth mentioning that there are quite a few interesting betting bonuses available for grabs, so make sure to keep reading this article and find out how to claim the extra credits and which sportsbook has the best odds for the NBA Playoffs tonight!

• Date: Thursday, May 11th | Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
• Location: Wells Fargo Center, PHI
• TV channel: ESPN

The Philadelphia 76ers will take on the Boston Celtics in Game 6 of the Eastern Conference semifinal series, where the 76ers hold a 3-2 series lead. Despite the oddsmakers favoring the Celtics, the momentum is shifting in Philadelphias' favor, and the 76ers are expected to cover the +2.5 spread. The 76ers have won three consecutive games in the series and covered the spread in each outing, with a 27-17-1 record against the spread at home.

Joel Embiid has been a dominant force in the frontcourt, leading the team in points, rebounds, and blocks per game. He's had double-doubles in two of his last three games and finished with 34 points and 13 rebounds in Game 4. James Harden is also a key player for the 76ers, with excellent passing ability, shooting stroke, and leading the team in assists and steals.

The 3-point shooting will be a critical factor in this game, and the 76ers have been trending upwards in their percentage, while the Celtics have been trending downwards. Additionally, fatigue may play a slight role, as Boston has played 11 postseason games, while Philadelphia has played nine and had more rest in between rounds.

Overall, the 76ers are in a strong position to cover the spread and reach the conference finals for the first time since 2001. 

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NBA Player Prop Bets: Joel Embiid Over 30.5 Points (-120)

Joel Embiid has been on a scoring spree against the Celtics, with three consecutive 30+ point games. He finished the season with an average of 33.1 points per game, and in his last two games, he attempted at least 23 shots per game. 

Despite his suboptimal efficiency around the rim, Embiid is a highly aggressive player who can get to the foul line frequently to add more points to his tally. In Game 6, which is a crucial moment in his career, we expect him to continue his impressive form and score at least 31 points.

Although there are no guarantees of a 76ers victory, what makes this prop bet appealing is that Embiid has shot below 50% from the floor in all four games of this series. This suggests that there is plenty of room for improvement in his scoring, making this an attractive NBA bet of the day. 

With Embiid's scoring prowess and determination to rise to the challenge, he has a strong chance of achieving this milestone in Game 6 at home. CLICK HERE if you would like to place a bet on this appealing prop!

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• Date: Thursday, May 11 | Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
• Location: Footprint Center, Phoenix, AZ
• TV channel: ESPN

Although Game 5 saw the Under hit, I believe that Game 6 between the Phoenix Suns and the Denver Nuggets will go over in total points scored. The previous two games in Phoenix this series have had totals of at least 235 points, indicating that both teams are capable of putting up a high number of points.

Moreover, in all but one game in this series, the winner has scored at least 118 points. Four of the Suns' last five home games have had totals higher than tonight's projected total, and the total has gone over in nine of the Suns' last 13 games.

Furthermore, the total has gone over in six of the Nuggets' last nine games and in four of Phoenix's last six games against Denver. Three out of the five games in this series have already finished over, including both Game 3 and 4 in Phoenix.

I believe that the Suns, particularly Devin Booker and Kevin Durant, will lead their team to victory by finding the basket, as they have been averaging 125 points per game at home in this series. While Phoenix should win, I also expect the Nuggets to keep up and match the Suns in scoring to the best of their ability, resulting in a high-scoring game that goes over the total points scored projection.

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NBA Player Prop Bets: Nikola Jokic Over 9.5 Assists (-122 at FanDuel Sportsbook)

Throughout the season against the Suns, Nikola Jokic has maintained an impressive average of 12 assists per game. 

Moreover, he has been displaying his triple-double abilities consistently. In the last three games, Jokic has tallied at least 11 assists and maintained an average of 10 assists per game this series. 

Notably, Jokic's assist count surged when he played on the road, where he managed to earn 28 assists in two games against the Suns. 

Given his outstanding assist record, there's no doubt that he will continue to shine and dish out more than 10 assists in tonight's game. 

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Get the Best Picks & Predictions for NBA Playoffs at Gambling.com 

Looking for expert guidance on NBA picks? Look no further than Gambling.com! Our experienced team of experts is here to provide professional advice to help you make informed decisions. Whether you need help choosing your bets or want to stay up-to-date with the latest NBA news, we've got you covered. Take advantage of our NBA bonuses and start betting with confidence today!

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Updated by

Admir Aljic

Last Updated:   Mar 14^th, 2024

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