NFL Picks and Parlays: Best NFL Parlay Picks for Week 12

⭐ C.J. Stroud Over 267.5 yards (-114)

Over his last three games, Stroud has averaged 387.3 passing yards and surpassed his Week 12 total in six of the last nine. 

With a strong receiving corps and tight end Dalton Schultz, Stroud is well-equipped to challenge the Jaguars' pass defense. 

Jacksonville struggles against competent passing teams, allowing 292.9 yards per game in such matchups. 

Despite playing zone defense frequently and being average in defensive success rate and yards per coverage snap, they falter in pressuring quarterbacks. 

Stroud excels when unpressured, ranking first in average depth of target, second in yards per attempt, and tenth in big-time throw percentage. 

Although Houston’s running game has improved recently, Jacksonville's strong rush defense may push Houston to rely heavily on Stroud's passing abilities.

⭐ NFL Parlay Picks: C.J. Stroud Over 267.5 yards (-114)

⭐ Michael Pittman Jr. OVER 69.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Pittman, fresh off a bye week, has consistently performed with at least eight catches in four of his last five games, averaging 76 yards per game in this period. 

As the Colts' leader in deep targets and aDOT, he's up against a Tampa secondary that's dealing with injuries, including their top cornerbacks and linebackers. 

The Buccaneers, who allow a high rate of explosive pass plays and use man-to-man coverage at a league-average rate, could be vulnerable to Pittman’s field-stretching ability. 

This is particularly likely if Pittman faces Tampa's backup corners in man coverage. Notably, Tampa has allowed the opposing team's most-targeted receiver to surpass 87 yards in three of their last four games. 

Projections put Pittman around 75-82 yards, offering a reasonable margin for his performance.

⭐ NFL Parlay Picks: Michael Pittman Jr. OVER 69.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

⭐ Dorian Thompson-Robinson UNDER 171.5 Passing Yards (-115)

The Denver pass defense deserves recognition for its recent performance. Throughout the season, they have been the worst in terms of opponent completion percentage. 

However, in their last three games, they've improved significantly, ranking eighth. In terms of passing yards allowed, Denver has moved up from 24th overall to 11th in their last three games. 

Despite this, Thompson-Robinson has not surpassed this threshold, averaging 143 yards per game in his two starts against the Steelers and Ravens. 

Given these stats and Cleveland's tendency to prioritize the run game, especially with their low road completion percentage, I'm going to bet on the under for Thompson-Robinson's performance.

⭐ NFL Parlay Picks: Dorian Thompson-Robinson UNDER 171.5 Passing Yards (-115)

⭐ James Cook UNDER 67.5 Rushing Yards (-115)

Cook's recent encounters with weaker run defenses will face a tough challenge this Sunday in Philadelphia. 

Since Week 5 against the Jaguars, Cook has faced six teams with an average rush defense DVOA of 19.33. 

Among these, only two, the Patriots and the Bucs, were ranked within the top 10, and Cook stayed under this number in both games, going 3-3 against it in all six matchups. 

Now, he faces the Eagles, who are fifth in rush defense DVOA and lead in rush yards allowed per game. 

With the Bills likely to face a challenging game script, expect Cook to have a modest performance this Sunday.

⭐ NFL Parlay Picks: James Cook UNDER 67.5 Rushing Yards (-115)