Patriots vs. Cowboys Odds, Predictions & NFL Player Props for Sunday

How to Watch Patrioys vs. Cowboys

• Where: AT&T Stadium, Dallas, TX
• When: Sunday, October 1, 2023 at 4:25pm EDT
• Where to Watch: Fox
• Spread: Patriots (+7) vs Cowboys (-7)
• Over/Under: 43.5

While the Cowboys decisively overcame the Giants and Jets, their season took something of a turn for the worse in the Week 3 loss to the Cardinals last weekend. 

Was this merely a one-off letdown, or does Trevon Diggs' absence significantly weaken the defense? 

It appears the situation is a combination of both factors, with the defeat to Arizona raising concerns for Mike McCarthy’s team.

In the first few weeks of the season, the Patriots closely contended with the Eagles and Dolphins, with each game's outcome hanging in the balance until the final drive. 

However, during a rainy victory against the Jets, the Patriots struggled, scoring only 13 points. Their lone touchdown resulted from a trick play to Pharoah Brown, marking his first target of the season.

With the home-field advantage this week, the Cowboys receive the edge in predictions, yet the gap between these two teams seems narrower than previously anticipated.

Check Out the Best NFL Betting Trends for Week 4! ⭐

The Patriots and Cowboys enter this clash in different mindsets. While Dallas, initially in excellent form and favored to triumph over the Cardinals, suffered a disheartening 16-28 home loss to Arizona. 

In contrast, the Patriots recently snapped a losing streak with a narrow 15-10 victory over the struggling New York Jets.

This win provides an opportunity for a momentum shift for the Patriots, who commenced the season with two consecutive losses.

Patriots vs.Cowboys Betting Trends

• The Cowboys’ record against the spread last year was 10-7-0.
• The Cowboys went 4-3 ATS as 7-point favorites or more last year.
• The Patriots won once ATS (1-1) as underdogs of 7 points or more last season.

Under 43.5 (-110) at BetMGM

Throughout the season, the Patriots haven’t exceeded 17 points in any game, with the initial three weeks showing no indication of offensive improvement, especially facing the robust Cowboys defense on the road.

Engaging in a speculative exercise, one could anticipate the Cowboys garnering around 25-26 points in this matchup. Despite their potent offense, the Cowboys might not find it easy scoring, considering the Patriots have successfully contained more powerful offenses and demonstrated dominance in their recent outing.

Prescott is likely to struggle in his attempt to tally more than 24 points against the formidable defense of New England.

Patriots +7 (-108) at Draftkings

Although history doesn't necessarily foretell the future, a noticeable trend solidifies this as the NFL bet of the day. With only three games under their belt this season, the Patriots have seen each contest decided by no more than seven points.

While New England might lack the firepower to post high scores, they possess arguably the greatest head coach of this generation, ensuring they're consistently competitive. The Patriots' defense recently exhibited its dominance by restricting the Eagles to a single offensive touchdown and holding the dynamic Dolphins to a mere 24 points.

Predicting whether the Patriots will score over 20 points remains uncertain, especially with Micah Parsons potentially disrupting their backfield consistently. However, New England’s defense is anticipated to constrain Dak Prescott, particularly if his performance mirrors last week's — completing 25 of 40 passes for 249 yards, securing one touchdown, and throwing one interception.

Patriots: Under 1.5 Touchdowns (+135) at FanDuel

It's fair to say that the Patriots’ offense have had their fair share of struggles this season. 

Although they've accumulated some yards and points—particularly when the Eagles and Dolphins eased their pressure to maintain substantial leads—the Patriots’ receivers have consistently failed to create separation. Furthermore, they lack an individual player who instills fear into the defenses of opposing teams.

Given the substantial uncertainties surrounding their offensive line, it's likely that Mac Jones will be pressed for time when attempting to execute throws in the upcoming game.

Check Out the Best NFL Player Props for Week 4! ⭐