Vuelta a Espana 2023 Odds, Picks & Stage 12 Predictions for 09/07

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Vuelta a Espana Odds & Stage 12 Best Bets for 09/07:

The unexpected did happen in Stage 11 of the Vuelta a Espana as Geraint Thomas and Filippo Ganna were among a breakaway that sprang Jesus Herrada to glory.. Stage 12 does not have a summit top finish. It is mostly flat for the sprinters. A total of 160 riders and 22 teams will embark on this 151 km stage. Vuelta a Espana Stage 12 odds try to see which sprinters could contend for the stage win.

Stage 12 of the 2023 Vuelta a Espana odds and predictions know that this stage is rather short. No breakaway will get away this time. This stage may be one of the fastest in this grand tour. The best online betting sites recommend pouncing on Stage 12 as quickly as possible. BetMGM, FanDuel, and Caesars sportsbooks stare down a few potential wagers for Thursday.

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Vuelta a Espana 2023 Odds, Details & Best Bets

Vuelta a Espana’s twelfth stage goes from Olvega to Zaragoza on Thursday. The weather should not be too much of an issue. Can Kaden Groves get revenge after Stage 7, where Geoffrey Soupe surprised everyone?

📍 Location:	Olvega to Zaragoza in Spain
📅 Date & Time:	Thursday 9/7/23 - 7:10 am EDT
🔥 Top Favorite:	Kaden Groves (-110) at Caesars Sportsbook
📊 Stage 1:	151 km flat stage with level, sprinters’ finish
💸 Prize Money:	$12,000 USD to the Stage 12 winner
📺 TV:	Streamed on Peacock and GCN+ starting at 8:50 am EDT

The climbers and the General Classification thought they had a chance with Stage 11. Then, Geraint Thomas helped orchestrate a breakaway 50 kilometers in. It was that move that disrupted the field. The breakaway got around seven minutes on the peloton and set up the Jesus Herrada win.

Naturally, Stage 12 is kind of similar to Stage 11, except there is a sprinter’s finish. It will likely be the last stage for the “men of speed” this week. Yes, there are two inclines, but they are nothing drastic. Vuelta a Espana odds appear to have a few favorites in mind. Again, do not expect anyone from the General Classification to try and sprint on Thursday.

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Vuelta a Espana 2023 Betting Preview, Best Bets & Odds

⭐ Top Favorite Bet: Kaden Groves (-110) at BetMGM

Let us play the percentages and come up with a few best picks for Stage 12 on Thursday as the riders head out to Zaragoza before the Tourlamet stage beckons on Friday.

2023 Vuelta a Espana odds and predictions count on a motivated Kaden Groves Thursday. He appeared well-rested after Stage 11 and still had Stage 7 on his mind. The Australian cyclist knows the seventh stage was one that got away. Groves never got into a good slipstream and never had a chance to challenge for a third win at Vuelta a Espana.

Stage 12 features a familiar layout for Groves, who had taken a few reconnaissance runs through the final kilometer. Arguably, Groves has the best lead-out riders. The only foil to his plan is strategy. Does the rider overthink what is in front of him? That happened last week. Groves used brute speed to win Stage 4 and smarts to reel in Filippo Ganna of all riders. He is the brightest of the Best Bets Today. Groves to only -110 at Caesars, as FanDuel and BetMGM were inching into the -125 to -150 range.

The biggest concern for Groves may be the experience around him. At just 24, the Alpecin-Deceuninck rider knows he has the speed and acceleration. However, there are times to pick one’s spot. Groves and Orluis Aular (+5000 at Caesars) have done the most extensive homework on this spring.

Groves has the greatest chance of winning a third stage. It may not be until next week when the Australian has another opportunity.

⭐ Best Vuelta Stage 12 Pick: Kaden Groves (-110) at BetMGM

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⭐ Best Contender Bet: Filippo Ganna (+950) at Caesars

2023 Vuelta a Espana odds and predictions have become quite the fun challenge. It was nice to see Ineos Grenadiers get in the breakaway. The best part was that Filippo Ganna did not have to overexert himself late on Stage 11. Consider that Ganna turned in a time trial for the ages on Tuesday. Now, it is abundantly clear that the Italian cyclist can sprint with or without any rider leading him out. Ganna excels at finding areas to draft on his own.

The time-trial specialist can actually climb a little and obviously sprint with the best of them. As Remco Evenepoel found out, Ganna can be a force when completely unleashed. Ineos realized that with little or no General Classification hopes, stages were the next best plan. This allows Ganna to run free when there is a chance to do so.

Hence, Ganna remains in the Best Bets Today for his number alone. We know what the rider is capable of. Caesars gives us a nice +950 for Filippo Ganna on Stage 12.

⭐ Best Vuelta Stage 12 Contending Pick: Filippo Ganna (+950) at Caesars

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⭐ Best Longshot Bet: Milan Menten (+4500) at FanDuel

Milan Menten has been close a few times on the three sprinter stages in this edition of La Vuelta. He has shown a solid kick. Among Best Bets Today, Menten is a considerable risk but again most longer shots are.

2023 Vuelta a Espana Stage 12 predictions remain intrigued by Milan Merten at +4500 via FanDuel. His ability to up his wattage on longer sprints could prove to be a winning move on Thursday afternoon.

⭐ Best Vuelta Stage 12 Longshot Pick: Milan Menten (+4500) at FanDuel

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Final Thoughts on the Vuelta a Espana 2023 Stage 12

The breakaway win snuck up on most bettors in the Vuelta a Espana odds yesterday. Sometimes, luck is not on our side and Wednesday was one of those tip your hat and move on moments. Stage 12 renews hope and gives us an opportunity for redemption.

2023 Vuelta a Espana predictions confound most anyone. Looking at predictions among the commentators was almost amusing because so many got it wrong. To err is human. Maybe Kaden Groves learned his lesson too. We shall see on Thursday as La Vuelta sprints to a weekend rendezvous with the high mountains.

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