Lakers vs. Nuggets Betting Predictions & BetMGM Bonus Code for $1,000

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Lakers vs. Nuggets Betting Predictions & BetMGM Bonus Code for $1,000
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Quick Overview of the NBA Playoffs Odds Favorites

The NBA Playoffs have been a thrilling spectacle, and tonight's games promise even more excitement as teams vie for a spot in the next round. According to BetMGM Sportsbook, the Boston Celtics lead as title favorites with odds of +110. They are followed by the Denver Nuggets (+240), Los Angeles Lakers (+3000), and Miami Heat (+12000).

Best Lakers vs. Nuggets Betting Predictions for May 16, 2023:

  • Date: Tuesday, May 16 | Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
  • Location: Ball Arena,  Denver, CO
  • TV channel: ESPN
  • Odds: Heat -4.5; O/U 206 (via BetMGM Sportsbook)
Betting MarketLA LakersDenver Nuggets
Spread+6.5 (-110)-6.5 (-110)
TotalsOver 222.5 (-110)Under 225.5 (-110)
Moneyline+170-208

Western Conference Finals series at Ball Arena. The tip-off for Game 1 is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET and will be televised on ESPN. We will now analyze the Lakers vs. Nuggets odds provided by BetMGM Sportsbook and offer our expert NBA picks and predictions.

During the regular season, the Lakers and Nuggets split their four matchups, with each team winning and covering the spread when playing at home. Additionally, the Under emerged as the winning bet in three out of the four games.

In the semifinals, the Lakers successfully dispatched the Golden State Warriors in six games, boasting a 4-2 record against the spread (ATS). Throughout the postseason, the Lakers have performed well, securing eight victories straight up (SU) and covering the spread in eight out of 12 games. As for the Over/Under, it has been evenly split at 6-6.

The Nuggets, on the other hand, also triumphed in six games during the semifinals against the Phoenix Suns, going 4-2 SU and ATS. In their 11 postseason games thus far, Denver has achieved an 8-3 SU record and a 7-4 ATS record. 

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Best Player Prop Bets for Lakers vs. Nuggets

Lakers vs. Nuggets Prop Bet #1: Jamal Murray over 2.5 Three Pointers Made (-115)

Jamal Murray has an enticing line of over 2.5 Three Pointers Made (-115) for his upcoming game. While he experienced a slight decline in three-point shooting during the Western Conference semifinals, he managed to surpass this line in Game 6 against the Suns. Considering the Lakers' struggles in defending against three-pointers, as evidenced by Stephen Curry's impressive performance against them, Murray has a favorable opportunity to excel. Although not on Curry's level, Murray is expected to make at least four three-pointers in this game, which would exceed the given line.

Lakers vs. Nuggets Prop Bet #2: Aaron Gordon - OVER 6 rebounds (+115)

With the potential for Davis to limit Jokic's rebounding opportunities by effectively neutralizing him on box-outs, Aaron Gordon could find himself with a significant role in securing rebounds on both ends of the floor. Despite averaging just 6.2 rebounds per game this postseason, Gordon's prop bet Over 6 rebounds at +115 is appropriately priced. However, considering the Lakers' frontcourt resembles that of the Nuggets' first-round opponent, the Timberwolves, rather than the Suns, we anticipate Gordon returning to his rebounding form from the opening round.

In the series against the Suns, Gordon surpassed six rebounds in only one out of six games. However, against the Timberwolves, he exceeded six rebounds in three out of five games, averaging seven rebounds per game in that series. Given that the Lakers' frontcourt is expected to do a better job containing Jokic as a rebounder compared to the Suns, we believe Gordon will secure seven or more rebounds in Game 1.

Lakers vs. Nuggets Prop Bet #3: Michael Porter Jr. over 14.5 Points (-120)

Michael Porter Jr., a valuable contributor to the Nuggets' postseason success, presents a compelling case for taking the over on his points at 14.5 (-120). Porter Jr. consistently demonstrates his scoring prowess and taking the over in this category often yields positive results. With the Lakers susceptible to allowing open looks from beyond the arc, similar to how Andrew Wiggins capitalized on their defense, Porter Jr., being a superior perimeter shooter, is likely to exploit this weakness and make LA pay.

Lakers vs. Nuggets Prop Bet #4: Nikola Jokic over 9.5 Assists (-135)

Nikola Jokic, recognized as one of the NBA's elite players, consistently showcases his skills on the court. Although he recently focused more on scoring during the last series, he still managed to contribute significantly in the assists category, recording double-digit assists in four consecutive games. In Game 1, the Lakers may intensify their efforts to contain Jokic, inadvertently creating additional passing opportunities for him. Therefore, it is advisable to bet on Jokic exceeding the line of 9.5 Assists (-135)), given his exceptional playmaking abilities.

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