NBA Best Bets - Get NBA Expert Picks and Unlock $1,000 BetMGM Bonus Today
The NBA Playoffs are currently underway, and several teams are battling for a spot in the Conference Finals. This Friday, we have two exciting matchups featuring teams on the brink of advancing to the next round. This presents an excellent opportunity for bettors to explore the best NBA bets and take advantage of the betting action this Friday!
The Los Angeles Lakers are leading 3-2 in their series against the Warriors. Meanwhile, the New York Knicks face a daunting task of overcoming a 2-3 deficit in their series against the Miami Heat.
In addition to the NBA best bets, you can also check out the best available betting bonuses, including the exclusive BetMGM bonus code GAMBLINGCOM that unlocks the first bet offer up to $1,000. These bonuses will unlock great deals and credits reflected in bonus bets that you can use when placing your bets. So, let's delve in and see what our team of experts has selected as the best NBA bets for today!
NBA Best Bets Today: New York Knicks at Miami Heat - Knicks ATS -3.5 (-110)
- Date: Friday, May 12th | Time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Kaseya Center, Miami, FL
- TV channel: ESPN
On Friday, the Miami Heat will take on the New York Knicks in a crucial game where the Knicks will be fighting to avoid elimination. Although New York managed to extend the series with a 112-103 win in the last game, they will need to win on the road to keep their season alive.
The Knicks have gone Over in 3 of their last 4 games and have scored over 100 points in 6 of their last 7 games, which is a positive sign for bettors as the Total points for the upcoming game is ultra-low.
Miami, on the other hand, has gone Over in 8 of their 10 playoff games and has scored at least 105 points in all but one of those games. They are expected to bounce back after shooting just 42% from the field in Game 5. Although the Total points for the game opened at 209.5, it has dropped to as low as 208.5 at some books.
It is worth noting that a Game 6, where the original series favorite has to play on the road to keep their season alive, can be as tight as a Game 7. Therefore, if both teams start to feel the pressure, it could turn into a low-scoring game. However, the Over has cashed in 10 of Miami's last eleven home games, which is a positive sign for bettors.
Therefore, despite the Total points being set at an ultra-low 208.5 at BetMGM Sportsbook, we recommend taking the Over at -110, given Miami's impressive playoff record and the Knicks' recent high-scoring performances.
NBA Player Prop Bets: Julius Randle Over 8.5 rebounds
Julius Randle had been meeting or exceeding the market number for three consecutive games in this series until Game 5.
Despite falling short in the last game, Randle is still the leading rebounder for his team, averaging 17.0 rebound chances per game, which is nearly four more opportunities per contest than Mitchell Robinson.
Since his return from injury in Game 2, Randle has played at least 36 minutes in each game against the Heat. In Game 5, only one player from the New York bench played more than 12 minutes.
It's likely that head coach Tom Thibodeau will rely heavily on his starters in this match, as the team tries to force a Game 7 back on their home court.
NBA Best Bets Today: Golden State Warriors at Los Angeles Lakers - UNDER 225.5 (-105)
- Date: Friday, May 12th | Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
- Location: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles, CA
- TV channel: ESPN
On Friday, the Golden State Warriors will take on the Los Angeles Lakers in Game 6 of the Western Conference semifinals. Despite LeBron James’ outstanding performance, the Warriors won Game 5 in San Francisco with an impressive 15-point lead.
However, the Lakers will enter this game with plenty of confidence, especially knowing that they have covered the spread in their last five home games, including the last two against the Warriors.
In this crucial game and their last chance to close out the series at home, expect James and co. to step up and lead the team to victory. While Curry and the Warriors will undoubtedly put up a fight, the Lakers' defense, led by Davis, will shut down the Warriors and help cover the spread at -2.5 (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook.
Closing out a series is never easy, especially against the four-time world-champion Golden State Warriors. However, the Lakers have their own championship pedigree to rely on, with James and Davis both being previous winners.
The Lakers know that they need to finish the job on Friday, as losing this game would force them to head back to San Francisco for a Game 7, which they want to avoid.
Take the Lakers to cover the spread and secure their spot in the next round.
NBA Player Prop Bets: Stephen Curry Over 6.5 Assists
Stephen Curry has been a solid playmaker for the Golden State Warriors in the series against the Los Angeles Lakers. In the last two games, Curry surpassed the line for assists, finishing with 8 assists on 12 potential assists in Game 5 and a whopping 14 assists on 19 potential assists in Game 4.
The Lakers have been heavily focused on stopping Golden State's pick-and-roll actions when Curry is handling the ball, but this hasn't stopped him from being a primary ball-handler for the team.
Despite the attention, Curry has still averaged 8.0 assists per game in the series and has hit the over in 6 of 8 games when playing more than 32 minutes against the Lakers since 2021.
In tonight's game, the Lakers are not likely to leave the screener's defender in drop coverage on Curry, and they may try blitzing, hedging, or doubling him when he's handling the ball.
However, Curry should still be able to find opportunities to get the ball to his teammates in positions to score throughout the game. With his impressive playmaking ability and the likelihood of a close game, it seems probable that Curry will dish out more assists in Game 6.
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