NFL Predictions for Week 11: NFL Picks, Odds & Player Props

Date IconLast Updated: Nov 19th, 2023
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NFL Predictions for Week 11: NFL Picks, Odds & Player Props
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NFL Picks & NFL Best Bets for Week 11

The NFL betting action continues with Week 11 matchups, and we have a tricky card on our hands. Thursday Night Football brings the AFC North showdown between the Cincinnati Bengals and the Baltimore Ravens, Sunday action is full of intriguing games, and Monday Night Football will see a rematch of the Super Bowl LVII. 

Make sure to check out the best online betting sites available in the U.S. to get the freshest bonuses and free NFL bets along with the latest NFL odds update. Now, let’s take a closer look at the best NFL picks for all 14 games on the schedule.  


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Cincinnati Bengals vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Picks & Odds

We begin our NFL predictions for Week 11 with the Bengals vs. Ravens showdown on Thursday Night Football. Both teams have injury problems, though their superstars are ready to go. They meet for the second time this season, and Baltimore outlasted Cincinnati 27-24 in Week 2. 

This is a critical game for the Bengals (5-4; 4-4-1 ATS), who stopped their four-game winning streak last Sunday. They lost to the Houston Texans 30-27, and Joe Burrow was picked off twice while throwing for 347 yards and a couple of scores. 

The Ravens (7-3; 6-4 ATS) put an end to their four-game win streak in Week 10, too, losing to the Cleveland Browns 33-31. Lamar Jackson tossed for 223 yards, a touchdown, and two interceptions. We should see another tight battle between the Bengals and Ravens tonight, so let’s start the NFL picks for Week 11 with the Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 (-110) at BetMGM.  

⭐ Best Betting Pick: Cincinnati Bengals +3.5 (-110) at BetMGM


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Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cleveland Browns NFL Picks & Odds

Deshaun Watson will undergo season-ending shoulder injury, and the Browns head coach Kevin Stefanski stated that rookie Dorian Thompson-Robinson will start under center in Week 11. In his lone NFL start, Thompson-Robinson three for 121 yards and three interceptions in Cleveland’s 28-3 defeat at Baltimore in Week 4.  

This total sat at 37.0 points just two days ago. Everybody’s expecting a proper low-scoring affair, but we are going with the Pittsburgh Steelers +1.0 (-110) at Caesars to open our Sunday NFL predictions. The Steelers beat the Browns 26-22 in Week 2 and are 4-1 SU and ATS in their last five encounters with Cleveland. 

The Browns (6-3; 5-3-1 ATS) are sixth in the league in scoring defense (18.9 points per game), while the Steelers (6-3; 6-3 ATS) are 11th in this category (20.2). But Pittsburgh is tied for the most takeaways (18) and ranks fourth in red-zone defense (40.7%). Cleveland is 27th in red-zone defense (65.0%) and with a rookie under center, it’s hard to trust the Browns in a tough matchup against the Steelers. 

⭐ My Best Bet: Pittsburgh Steelers +1.0 (-110) at Caesars

Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions NFL Picks & Odds

Although Justin Fields is expected to return from a thumb injury after missing four straight games, the Bears (3-7; 3-6-1 ATS) will have a tall task to keep it close against the Lions (7-2; 7-2 ATS). Last week, the Bears barely outlasted the hapless Carolina Panthers 16-13 at home, while the Lions edged the Los Angeles Chargers 41-38 on the road. 

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The Bears have surrendered a staggering 20 touchdowns through the air and 248.2 passing yards per game so far this season. This should be a field day for Jared Goff and Detroit’s offense. Goff threw for 333 yards and two touchdowns last week, and Amon-Ra St. Brown had eight catches for 156 yards and a TD. 

Hereof, we continue the NFL predictions for Week 11 with the Detroit Lions -7.5 (-110) at bet365. The Lions are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall and 8-1 ATS in their previous nine outings at home. On the other side, the Bears are 4-13-1 ATS in their last 18 contests overall and 0-6 ATS in their previous six games against the divisional rivals. 

⭐ My Best Bet: Detroit Lions -7.5 (-110) at bet365

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Green Bay Packers NFL Picks & Odds

As I’ve just mentioned above, the Chargers (4-5; 4-5 ATS) suffered a tough 41-38 defeat to Detroit in Week 10. It was their third loss in five games, and the Chargers desperately need to get this one over the Packers (3-6; 4-5 ATS), who have only won one of their previous six games. 

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Green Bay is coming off a 23-19 defeat at Pittsburgh in Week 10. Cornerback Jaire Alexandar sat out the Steelers game and didn’t return to practice on Wednesday. His eventual absence would be a huge blow for the Packers in this matchup, as the Chargers heavily lean on their passing offense. On the flip side, the Chargers surrender the most passing yards per game in the league this season (291.2). 

My Week 11 NFL predictions says we are going to see a tight game at Lambeau Field in Green Bay. The Packers should have enough firepower to keep it close in front of the home fans, and we are taking Green Bay +3.0 (-110) at FanDuel for our next NFL pick. 

⭐ My Best Bet: Green Bay Packers +3.0 (-110) at FanDuel

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars NFL Picks & Odds

The next stop on our Week 11 NFL predictions is the AFC South showdown at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida. The Titans (3-6; 4-5 ATS) take on the Jaguars (6-3; 6-3 ATS) for the first time this season, and Jacksonville aims for its third consecutive victory over the Titans. Last week, the Titans lost at Tampa Bay 20-6, while the Jags were humiliated by San Francisco 34-3 at home.

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I think this is a bounce-back spot for the Jaguars, but I’m not sure they’ll be able to cover a 7-point spread. The Titans might get Ryan Tannehill back, as the veteran quarterback was a full participant in Wednesday’s practice. 

Jacksonville allows a staggering 266.8 passing yards per game (30th in the NFL). The Jags have surrendered 14 receiving touchdowns so far this term, and the Titans should hang around and cover even though their passing offense is pretty limited. It’s tough to lay seven points in a divisional matchup, so we are going with Tennessee +7.0 (-110) at BetMGM for our best Titans vs. Jaguars pick. The Titans are 4-1 ATS in their last five dates with the Jags. 

⭐ My Best Bet: Under 39.0 Points (-110) at BetMGM

Arizona Cardinals vs. Houston Texans NFL Picks & Odds

The Texans (5-4; 5-4 ATS) stunned the Bengals 30-27 in Week 10 to grab their second straight victory. Houston has scored 69 points over its last two outings, and rookie C.J. Stroud has thrown for 826 yards, six touchdowns, and an interception in that stretch. The Texans lack experience, but we still back them to stay on the right track and beat the Cardinals by at least five points. 

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The Cardinals (2-8; 5-5 ATS) stopped a six-game slide last Sunday, outlasting the Falcons 25-23 in Kyler Murray’s return from an ACL injury. Murray tossed for 249 yards and an interception and rushed six times for 33 yards and a touchdown. James Conner played his first game in more than a month, posting 73 yards on 16 carries, while tight end Trey McBride had eight catches for 131 yards. 

We are expecting the Texans’ offense to make a difference in this matchup. C.J. Stroud looks unstoppable, and the Cardinals rank 20th in the league in yards allowed per pass competition (11.0) and 27th in yards allowed per pass attempt (7.6). Add the Texans -5.0 (-110) at DraftKings to your NFL picks for Sunday.  

⭐ My Best Bet: Houston Texans -5.0 (-110) at DraftKings

Dallas Cowboys vs. Carolina Panthers NFL Picks & Odds

Dallas was among our winning NFL picks last week. The Cowboys (6-3; 6-3 ATS) trounced the injury-depleted New York Giants 49-17, covering a 17.5-point spread, the biggest in the league so far this season. Dak Prescott threw for 404 yards, four touchdowns, and an interception while scoring once on two carries, and CeeDee Lamb and Brandin Cooks combined for 20 catches, 298 yards from scrimmage, and three touchdowns. 

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The Cowboys enjoy smashing bad teams. They blanked the Giants 40-0 on the road in Week 1 and routed the New England Patriots 38-3 at home in Week 4. America’s Team own plenty of playmakers on both sides of the ball, and we can only look at the Dallas Cowboys -10.5 (-110) at bet365 Sportsbook for our next NFL pick. 

Dallas ranks second in the league in scoring offense (29.9) and fourth in scoring defense (18.3). On the other side, the Panthers (1-8; 2-6-1 ATS), who lost at the lowly Chicago Bears 16-13 in Week 10, are one of the worst teams in the NFL. They rank 30th in scoring defense (26.9) and 32nd in red-zone defense (73.3%). The Panthers tally 17.0 points per game (29th) and have only scored two rushing touchdowns this season.  

⭐ My Best Bet: Dallas Cowboys -10.5 (-110) at bet365

Las Vegas Raiders vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Picks & Odds

The Dolphins (6-3; 6-3 ATS) are coming off a bye, looking to bounce back from a 21-14 defeat to Kansas City in Week 9. They still miss the starting guards Robert Jones and Robert Hunt, while running back De’Von Achane will return from a four-game absence. 

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Miami is undoubtedly a better team than Las Vegas, but the Dolphins might struggle to beat a huge number against the resurrected Raiders (5-5; 5-5 ATS), who are looking for their third straight victory. Las Vegas have defeated the NY Giants 30-6 and the NY Jets 16-12 over the last two weeks, and the clash against Miami is a proper test for the Raiders interim head coach Antonio Pierce. 

The Raiders’ pass D has done a good job thus far. It ranks fourth in yards allowed per pass completion (9.9) and eighth in yards allowed per game (198.7). Hopefully, Las Vegas will find a way to score a couple of touchdowns and hang around against the Dolphins, as we’re adding the Raiders +13.5 (-110) at Caesars to our Week 11 NFL predictions.

⭐ My Best Bet: Las Vegas Raiders +13.5 (-110) at Caesars 

New York Giants vs. Washington Commanders NFL Picks & Odds

We can only look at Under 37.0 Points (-110) at FanDuel for our best Giants vs. Commanders pick. It’s tough to lay nine points with the Commanders (4-6; 5-4-1 ATS) even though the Giants (2-8; 2-7-1 ATS) start their third-string quarterback. 

Back in Week 7, the injury-depleted Giants beat the Commanders 14-7 at home. Four of New York’s last five contests have seen fewer than 37 points on the scoreboard, and the Giants have only scored 23 points over the last two weeks with Tommy DeVito under center. 

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On the other side, the Commanders have dropped three of their last four tilts. Two of those three losses have produced a ton of points, but it’s hard to expect a high-scoring affair when the Commanders host the Giants whose only hope is to play tough defense and put heavy pressure on Sam Howell. 

The betting trends are pretty much backing our NFL pick in this clash. The total has gone under in seven of the Giants’ last eight games overall and 14 of the Commanders’ previous 18 outings at home. 

⭐ My Best Bet: Under 37.0 Points (-110) at FanDuel

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Picks & Odds

We’re not going to overthink the Buccaneers vs. 49ers pick. San Francisco (6-3; 5-4 ATS) just snapped its three-game skid with a 34-3 thrashing of the Jaguars in Jacksonville, and the Niners’ offensive playmakers are finally healthy and ready to rumble. Trent Williams is back, too, so we are going with the San Francisco 49ers -11.5 (-110) at BetMGM for our next NFL pick on Sunday card. 

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Brock Purdy threw for 296 yards and three touchdowns last week. Deebo Samuel, George Kittle, and Brandon Aiyuk all found the end zone once, and we are expecting to see more of the same when the Buccaneers come to town. 

Tampa Bay (4-5; 6-3 ATS) put an end to its four-game losing streak last Sunday, beating the Tennessee Titans 20-6 at home. The Buccaneers rank 31st in the league in passing yards allowed (266.9 per game), and they’ll have a mountain to climb in San Francisco. Tampa Bay is 1-7-1 ATS in its last nine contests against the NFC West teams. 

⭐ My Best Bet: San Francisco 49ers -11.5 (-110) at BetMGM

New York Jets vs. Buffalo Bills NFL Picks & Odds

The Bills (5-5; 3-7 ATS) fired offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey following Week 10 home loss to the Denver Broncos 24-22 and named QB coach Joe Brady as his replacement. Buffalo has only won one of its last four contests, and Josh Allen has thrown an interception in six straight outings. 

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We are expecting the Bills to beat the New York Jets (4-5; 4-4-1 ATS), but going with the Under 40.0 Points (-110) at Caesars looks like the best NFL pick in this matchup. The Jets rank third in the league in passing yards allowed (169.3 per game) and seventh in scoring defense (19.1). They’ve logged nine interceptions so far this season (tied-9th). 

However, the Jets are scoring just 16.0 points per game (30th). Their offense continues to struggle with Zach Wilson under center, so add the under to your NFL picks. The under is 4-0 in New York’s last four outings and 5-1 in Buffalo’s previous six. Also, five of the last six meetings between the Jets and Bills have gone under the total. 

⭐ My Best Bet: Under 40.0 Points (-110) at Caesars

Seattle Seahawks vs. Los Angeles Rams NFL Picks & Odds

We continue the NFL predictions for Week 11 with the NFC West battle from SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. The Seahawks (6-3; 4-4-1 ATS) seek revenge for a heavy 30-13 defeat against the Rams (3-6; 4-4-1 ATS), and Seattle is a slight 1-point road fave at the moment. 

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Matthew Stafford is on track to return from a one-game absence caused by a thumb injury, as the Rams are coming fresh off a bye. Interestingly, Stafford completed 24 of his 38 passing attempts for 334 yards in that 17-point win in Seattle but didn’t throw for a touchdown. 

The Seahawks edged the Commanders 29-26 at home in Week 10. Geno Smith threw for 369 yards and two touchdowns, and the Seahawks allowed Sam Howell to toss for 312 yards and three scores. Seattle is allowing 238.3 passing yards per game (22nd) which indicates a strong display from Matthew Stafford. Hereof, Over 46.5 Points (-110) at FanDuel in the Seahawks vs. Rams showdown is one of our Week 11 NFL predictions.

⭐ My Best Bet: Over 46.5 Points (-110) at FanDuel

Minnesota Vikings vs. Denver Broncos NFL Picks & Odds

The Vikings (6-4; 6-3-1 ATS) head into Week 11 Sunday Night Football riding a five-game SU and ATS winning streak. Last Sunday, they beat the New Orleans Saints 27-19 as 2.5-point home underdogs, and tight end T.J. Hockenson had 11 catches for 134 yards and a touchdown. 

On the other side, the Broncos (4-5; 3-5-1 ATS) stunned the Buffalo Bills 24-22 last Monday. Denver has won three straight contests including a 24-9 home victory over the reigning Super Bowl champions, the Kansas City Chiefs. 

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It’s tough to make NFL predictions when a couple of red-hot teams take on each other. The Broncos have allowed just 48 points over their last three outings, and the Vikings have surrendered more than 19 points once during their winning streak. 

We lean toward the underdogs, expecting to see a tight battle down the stretch, but Under 42.5 Points (-110) at DraftKings seems the best NFL pick for Sunday Night Football. Minnesota is 5-0-1 ATS in its last six outings on the road, and the under has hit in six of its last eight games overall. Denver is 2-4 ATS in its previous six showings at home, and the under is 4-1 in the Broncos’ last five tilts overall. 

⭐ My Best Bet: Under 42.5 Points (-110) at DraftKings

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Kansas City Chiefs NFL Picks & Odds

It’s fair to say that Kansas City (7-2; 6-3 ATS) has an elite defensive unit for the first time in the Patrick Mahomes era. The Chiefs allow just 15.9 points per game (tied-2nd) on 176.0 passing yards (5th) and 112.2 rushing yards (17th). Their run D might be a lone flaw, and the Eagles (8-1; 5-2-2 ATS) certainly have weapons to exploit it.

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Philadelphia surrenders 21.7 points per game (tied-18th). The Eagles’ defense ranks first in rushing yards (66.3 per game) and 28th in passing yards (257.0). Although the Chiefs’ offense hasn’t been at its best all season (23.1 PPG, 13th), the reigning champs will know how to take advantage of the Eagles’ pass D. 

We’ll round up Week 11 NFL predictions with the Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 (-115) at FanDuel. There’s no easy money in a game like this one, and we are looking for Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce to make a difference in the crunch time. 

Both teams are coming off a bye. The Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall and 7-2-1 ATS in their previous ten outings on Monday. They’ve also covered the spread in four consecutive meetings with the Eagles. Kansas City beat Philadelphia 38-35 as a 1-point dog in the Super Bowl LVII. 

⭐ My Best Bet: Kansas City Chiefs -2.5 (-115) at FanDuel

Final Words on the NFL Week 11 Predictions & NFL Best Bets Today

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