NFL Week 11 Player Props: Odds, Predictions & Best Player Props
NFL Player Props Week 11: NFL Predictions & Best NFL Picks
- ⭐ Jaylen Warren Over 36.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at FanDuel
- ⭐ Tua Tagovailoa Over 3.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at BetMGM
- ⭐ Josh Allen OVER 252.5 Yards (-115) at Draftkings
- ⭐ Joshua Dobbs Under 225.5 Passing Yards (-110) at BetMGM
- ⭐ Matthew Stafford OVER 259.5 Yards (-115) at Draftkings
- ⭐ Travis Kelce OVER 74.5 receiving yards (-110) at bet365
It is time for some Sunday afternoon NFL action!!!
This week's selections are a diverse mix, showcasing the excitement and variety that NFL player props bring to the table.
Whether it's capitalizing on players in prime positions due to favorable matchups or banking on a red-hot quarterback taking on a struggling defense, there's no shortage of intriguing options. While certain game sides and totals have caught my eye, it's the player props that truly stand out this week.
Let our insights lead you to the best online betting sites, where you can place your bets confidently. Don't forget to check out the various sign-up offers at our recommended sportsbooks and grab those bonus funds to enhance your NFL Week 11 betting experience!
Steelers vs. Browns Week 11 NFL Props
⭐ Week 11 NFL Props #1: Jaylen Warren Over 36.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at FanDuel
David Montgomery is poised for a comeback following his exit from the Oct. 15 victory against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers due to an injury. In the five games he played this season, Montgomery has been a standout for Detroit, amassing 385 yards and six touchdowns.
The prop bet on David Montgomery to exceed 55.5 rushing yards at FanDuel is quite appealing. Assuming Montgomery is fit to handle his usual workload, this prop offers significant value. In the four complete games he played, Montgomery consistently surpassed this yardage mark, recording 74, 67, 121, and 109 yards, aside from the Tampa Bay game where he had 14 yards before his departure.
This wager hinges largely on Montgomery's fitness. If he's in good shape and resumes his regular duties, surpassing this yardage seems likely. However, if Detroit opts for a cautious approach with his playtime, achieving this target would require a few substantial runs. Nevertheless, Montgomery's recent performance instills confidence in the potential value of this prop bet.
⭐ Best Betting Pick: Jaylen Warren Over 36.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at FanDuel
Raiders vs. Dolphins NFL Player Props
⭐ Week 11 NFL Props #2: Tua Tagovailoa Over 3.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at BetMGM
Tua Tagovailoa's rushing ability, often overshadowed by the Miami Dolphins' dynamic passing game, presents a valuable opportunity in NFL player props for Week 11. This insight complements the broader Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction.
The focus here is on Tagovailoa's Over 3.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at BetMGM. In recent games, Tagovailoa has consistently surpassed this modest rushing yardage. He's achieved at least six rushing yards in four of the Dolphins' last six games, with individual performances of 7, 6, 8, and 7 yards, comfortably exceeding the 3.5-yard threshold. Throughout this season, he's managed at least four rushing yards in five different games.
While his average of 1.4 yards per carry might seem low, it's important to note Tagovailoa's tendency to exploit opportunities to break from the pocket. This propensity suggests that even a single run could be sufficient to surpass the prop. Despite the risk of potential kneel-downs at game's end, the value in this prop is significant, given its relatively low set point.
⭐ Best Betting Pick: Tua Tagovailoa Over 3.5 Rushing Yards (-110) at BetMGM
Raiders vs. Dolphins NFL Player Props
⭐ Week 11 NFL Props #3: Josh Allen OVER 252.5 Yards (-115) at Draftkings
Josh Allen's prowess in the NFL is evident, making him a strong candidate for surpassing 252.5 passing yards, as per the odds at DraftKings. This aligns with the broader Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction and the focus on NFL player props for Week 11.
Allen's season average of 260.0 yards per game already surpasses the prop bet by a notable 7.5 yards. His performance this season has been remarkably consistent, as he's exceeded 252.5 yards in six out of ten games. While his current average is just slightly below his usual prop bet mark of 263.5 yards, the small margin of 3.5 yards underscores his capability for high yardage outputs.
Furthermore, Allen's record of meeting his passing yards prop in half of the games this season, combined with his consistent touchdown throws in every game, further bolsters the expectation that he will exceed the 252.5-yard mark. This consistency and track record make a compelling case for betting on Allen to hit the over in passing yards.
⭐ Best Betting Pick: Josh Allen OVER 252.5 Yards (-115) at Draftkings
Vikings vs. Broncos NFL Player Props
⭐ Week 11 NFL Props #4: Joshua Dobbs Under 225.5 Passing Yards (-110) at BetMGM
The narrative surrounding Joshua Dobbs has been captivating, especially considering his unexpected rise as the Vikings' quarterback. However, in the realm of NFL player props and Week 11 picks, a prudent strategy might be to bet on Dobbs recording under 225.5 passing yards, as per the odds at BetMGM. This prediction aligns with the broader Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction framework.
Dobbs' journey, stepping in for an injured Kirk Cousins and then replacing Jaren Hall, has been impressive, notably his 268-yard performance against the Saints. Yet, the upcoming matchup against Denver's formidable defense presents a different challenge. This defense recently contained elite quarterbacks Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen, limiting them to 240 and 177 yards, respectively.
Given this context, it's reasonable to anticipate a similar outcome for Dobbs. The Broncos' defense has demonstrated its capability against top-tier quarterbacks, and Dobbs, despite his commendable performances, might face a significant challenge on the road. This scenario suggests a potential downturn in his passing yards, making the under 225.5 yards bet a compelling option.
⭐ Best Betting Pick: Joshua Dobbs Under 225.5 Passing Yards (-110) at BetMGM
Seahawks vs. Rams NFL Player Props
⭐ Week 11 NFL Props #5: Matthew Stafford OVER 259.5 Yards (-115) at Draftkings
Matthew Stafford's return to the field for the Rams is a pivotal factor in this week's NFL player props, particularly in the context of NFL Week 11 picks. Despite a thumb injury sidelining him since Week 8, Stafford's track record this season suggests he's capable of exceeding 259.5 passing yards, a key aspect of the Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction.
Stafford's average of 258.8 passing yards per game is just shy of the projected mark for Sunday's game. Notably, he has already surpassed 258.5 yards in half of his games this season, indicating his potential to outperform his usual prop bet mark of 208.0 yards. While he has only exceeded his passing yards prop bet in one out of four opportunities, this shouldn't overshadow his capability. Given his history and the Rams' need for his leadership and skill, betting on Stafford to hit over 259.5 yards against Seattle seems a promising choice.
⭐ Best Betting Pick: Matthew Stafford OVER 259.5 Yards (-115) at Draftkings
Eagles vs. Chiefs NFL Player Props
⭐ Week 11 NFL Props #6: Travis Kelce OVER 74.5 receiving yards (-110) at bet365
Travis Kelce, the Kansas City Chiefs' tight end, is a strong bet to exceed 74.5 receiving yards in the upcoming Eagles vs. Chiefs game, a key aspect of NFL Week 11 picks. Kelce's performance this season has been nothing short of remarkable, averaging 74.6 yards per game. His statistics are impressive: 597 receiving yards and 57 catches in just eight games, with 72 targets and four touchdowns.
What sets Kelce apart is not just his stats but his drive, especially in high-stakes scenarios. The emotional factor of facing his brother on the Eagles' side could fuel his performance even further. Kelce's history of excelling in big moments, particularly in November home games against NFC teams where he's often the first to score, suggests he's primed for a big game. Considering these factors, it's reasonable to predict that Kelce will surpass the 74.5 receiving yards threshold in this pivotal matchup.
⭐ Best Betting Pick: Travis Kelce OVER 74.5 receiving yards (-110) at bet365
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