2021 Music City Bowl Betting

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2021 Music City Bowl Betting
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The Music City Bowl is a college football bowl game that takes place at Nissan Stadium in Nashville, Tennessee. Played in late December, it pits an SEC team against a Big Ten school. The 2021 Music City Bowl will see the Tennessee Volunteers (SEC) face the Purdue Boilermakers (Big Ten).

This contest should be quite entertaining when considering that Purdue (8–4) and Tennessee (7–5) are closely matched. Assuming you’d like to wager on this game, you can do so at the best betting sites in US. You can also pick up some betting advice through the following guide.

2021 TransPerfect Music City Bowl

📅 Date:Thursday, December 30, 2021
⏲️Time:3p.m. ET
🏟️Venue: Nissan Stadium, Nashville, Tennessee
📺 Watch:ESPN
🏈 Teams:Tennessee (SEC) vs. Purdue (Big Ten)

Betting on Tennessee at the Music City Bowl

2020 was, by all accounts, a bad season for the Tennessee Volunteers. The team struggled to a 3–7 finish, after which head coach Jeremy Pruitt was fired. The Volunteers scored just 21.5 points per game last season, which ranked 109th nationally out of 128 teams.

New head coach Josh Heupel has engineered a turnaround in 2021 that’s seen Tennessee score 38.8 points—good for 21st nationally. The Vols have also racked up 459.0 yards per game, including 212.0 rushing yards. On defense, they give up 27.5 points per game and 404.6 yards.

A big catalyst for the offensive turnaround was an early quarterback switch from Joe Milton to Hendon Hooker. The latter has thrown for 2,567 yards, 26 touchdowns, and just three interceptions. Hooker has also rushed for 561 yards and five TDs.

As for the regular season, Tennessee started with a mediocre 2–2 record. However, it hit its stride during conference play and went 5–3 the rest of the way. The team’s 7–5 overall record and 4–4 SEC mark secured a spot in the 2021 Music City Bowl. The Vols have now been to college football bowl games in two out of the last three seasons.

Betting on Purdue at the Music City Bowl

The Boilermakers have been highly successful with the passing game. QB Aidan O’Connell has passed for 3,178 yards, 23 touchdowns, and eight interceptions. His favorite target, WR David Bell, has caught 93 balls for 1,286 yards and six TDs. This duo helped Purdue score 27.5 points per game and tally 340.5 passing yards during the regular season.

Defensively, the Boilermakers allow just 20.5 points and 194.6 passing yards per game. Safety Cam Allen leads the secondary with four interceptions on the year. Defensive end Kydran Jenkins has tallied the most sacks with five.

Purdue earned their spot in this bowl game via an 8–4 regular-season record. They finished with a solid 6–3 record against Big Ten teams. Purdues’ most-notable victories were over then-No. 2 Iowa (24–7) and then-No. 3 Michigan State (40–29). Outside of a 59–31 loss to Ohio State, the Boilermakers played reasonably close in its four losses.

2021 Music City Bowl Odds

Many US online sportsbooks began offering Music City Bowl odds shortly after the participants were announced on Dec. 5th. The majority of betting sites favored Tennessee with their opening lines. As you’ll see in the following sections, though, the current Tennessee odds of winning aren’t overwhelming. On a side note, sportsbooks will be offering many in-play betting opportunities once this bowl game starts.

Music City Bowl Moneyline Odds

The moneyline is a simple bet on which team will win. In order to even out the action, though, a moneyline bet/betting handicaps the favorite and underdog. You can see the average moneyline for Tennessee vs Purdue below:

  • Tennessee -190
  • Purdue +160

As seen above, the Vols are the favorite here and 3–2 straight up (SU) in their last five games. However, the Boilermakers are 4–1 SU within the same span.

DraftKings is among the betting sites offering good value on Purdue at +160. BetMGM is currently featuring the best value on Tennessee at -182.

Music City Bowl Point Spread Odds

A point spread bet/betting takes points away from the favorite (minus sign) and gives them to the underdog (plus sign). The average 2021 Music City Bowl point spread is as follows:

  • Tennessee -4.5 (-115)
  • Purdue +4.5 (-105)

The Vols are only 2–4 against the spread (ATS) in their last six games. Purdue has fared better in this category, going 4–1 ATS in their last five contests.

Many sites, such as PointsBet, are taking -115 juice on the Vols and just -105 juice on Purdue. If you like Purdue at +4.5, then you’d definitely want to consider this deal. Another route involves going for the better odds while facing -110 juice. BetMGM is currently providing the best spread on Tennessee at -4 (-110).

Music City Bowl Over/Under Odds

Betting on the over/under (totals) involves deciding if the teams will go over or under the given point total. The majority of sports gambling sites are offering the following totals line right now:

  • Purdue vs Tennessee
  • Over 63.5 (-110)
  • Under 63.5 (-110)

At first glance, this line presents an easy case for the over because both teams average 66.3 points together. However, Purdue holds opponents to 20.5 points per game and Tennessee allows 27.5 points—good for 48.0 points total.

If you like the under here, then PointsBet is offering a good deal with a 64.5 over/under (-110). Other major US betting sites are sticking with the 63.5 over/under right now, which favors over bettors.

Music City Bowl Prop Bets

College Football Playoff (CFP) matchups aren’t the only bowl games that feature prop bets. The Music City Bowl will also give you plenty of chances to place these wagers. Here are some of the interesting prop bets that we’ve seen so far:

  • First-half winning margin
  • Race to 10 points
  • Race to 20 points
  • Will a special teams or defensive touchdown be scored
  • First team to call a timeout

Music City Bowl Past Results

The Vols have captured one Music City victory, while Purdue will be making their second appearance in this game. You can see the winners of the last 10 Music City Bowls below:

Year Winner (Score) Runner Up (Score)
2020 Cancelled due to COVID-19 Cancelled due to COVID-19
2019 Louisville 38 Mississippi State 28
2018 Auburn 63 Purdue 14
2017 Northwestern 24 Kentucky 23
2016 Tennessee 38 Nebraska 24
2015 Louisville 27 Texas A&M 21
2014 Notre Dame 31 LSU 28
2013 Mississippi 25 Georgia Tech 17
2012 Vanderbilt 38 NC State 24
2011 Mississippi State 23 Wake Forest 17
2010 North Carolina 30 Tennessee 27

Who won the most Music City Bowls?

The winners of this bowl game have been evenly dispersed so far. Louisville and Kentucky, however, have managed to win multiple Music City Bowls:

TeamNo. Of Birmingham Bowl Wins Years Won
Louisville22015,2019
Kentucky22006, 2007

Music City Bowl Betting Tips

Earlier, we discussed advice for choosing betting sites with favorable odds. Now, we’ll look at specific bets that you should target when wagering on this game.

History Favors the Underdog Purdue

For whatever reason, the Music City Bowl is a hotbed for upsets when compared to other bowl games. Here are a few examples:

  • 1999: Syracuse (+3) defeated Kentucky 20–13.
  • 2002: Minnesota (+7) beat Arkansas 29–14.
  • 2005: Virginia (+6) toppled Minnesota 34–31.
  • 2006: Kentucky (+10) beat Clemson 28–20.
  • 2008: Vanderbilt (+4) defeated Boston College 16–14.

These are just some instances of an underdog winning in Nashville. The history of this bowl game indicates that the Boilermakers may not be underdogs at all.

Purdue +4 Point Spread

When playing as the underdog, the Boilermakers are 11–4 ATS in their last 15 games. They also went 5–2 ATS in their last seven contests of the regular season. That said, we like Purdue’s spread (+4 at BetMGM) going into this matchup. Alternatively, you can currently take the -4.5 spread at PointsBet with just -105 juice.

Under 63.5

As highlighted earlier, Purdue and Tennessee combine for 66.3 points. Defensively, though, they’re collectively holding opponents to 48.5 points. If you split 66.3 and 48.5 down the middle, you’re looking at a 57.4 average point total. This number is nearly six points off the common totals line.

Tennessee -190

The Vols and Boilermakers are close on paper. That said, it feels difficult to take Tennessee at -190 (or -182 at BetMGM currently). But then again, this team has gone 5–0 straight up in their last five contests against Big Ten teams.

FAQ

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Updated by GDC - Icon - Black - Info

Jeremy Olson

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