Who Will Win ‘Love Island USA’? Keenan, Kay Kay On The Rocks As Casa Amor Looms

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Who Will Win ‘Love Island USA’? Keenan, Kay Kay On The Rocks As Casa Amor Looms
© USA Today

"Love Island USA" stars Keenan and Kay Kay remain the only original pair still coupled up in the villa, but their relationship looks to be on the rocks.

'Ultimate Relationship Test'

Keenan has confessed to Kay Kay they are in a "complicated space,” and the pair have now been replaced as favorites to win the fifth season of the reality show.

While Keenan has been keen to get to know others lately, that could ultimately be his undoing as he is one of four male islanders who were left vulnerable in Sunday night's episode following a public vote.

Among Harrison, Keenan, Kenzo and Leonardo one could go, while Carmen, Destiny, Emily and Kassy are also vulnerable.

Despite being single after the Day 11 recoupling, Bergie was voted safe by the public, while the two new bombshells, Mike and Imani, were immune from the vote after just jetting into Fiji.

On Sunday night, the islanders were given a big reality check when "Love Island UK" star Maura Higgins, who is the social ambassador for "Love Island USA,” entered the villa to play a game with them.

The stars had to fill in the blanks in sentences which revealed what America thinks of the islanders, which caused some drama, and there is much more to come when Casa Amor arrives later this week. 

Dubbed the "ultimate relationship test,” it sees one set of Islanders move to another villa, Casa Amor, where they are joined by a group of new bombshells of the opposite sex.  

Back at the main villa, another group of new bombshells will arrive and try to tempt some of the islanders away from their partners. 

After a few days, all of the islanders will then come together in main villa and viewers will see who has stayed faithful to their partner, and who has strayed. 

With these hypothetical odds provided by industry sports betting experts, we've looked into who has what it takes to couple up, form a strong bond, and land the "Love Island USA" Season 5’s $100,000 prize.

Top Couple

Contestant Odds Implied Probability
Hannah and Marco +300 25%
Kay Kay and Keenan +400 20%
Destiny and Jonah +600 14.3%
Kassy and Leonardo +700 12.5%
Carmen and Kenzo +800 11.1%
Emily and Harrison +1000 9.1%

New Favorites Hannah, Marco 

Ahead of the inevitable Casa Amor chaos, Hannah and Marco are the new Top Couple favorites in the villa. 

The pair, who coupled up on Day 3 following Hannah's Day 2 bombshell arrival, were +550 to win Season 5 last week, but their price has been cut to +300 after Marco admitted he is edging closer and closer to being in love with Hannah. 

When Maura appeared in the villa, she asked if anyone was "in love at the moment,” and Marco replied: "I think I'm falling there. I'm close, you know. I'm getting close."

Hannah had a huge grin on her face after Marco's revelation, and the pair seem to be in a much better place than new second favorites Kay Kay and Keenan. 

Despite being the villa's only couple still together since Day 1, Kay Kay and Keenan are now out to +400 to win "Love Island USA,” from +250. 

Things have been uncertain for the pair since Keenan grew close to Kassy, and they worsened when Emily got to know him last week. 

While Emily eventually chose to couple up with Harrison, some damage had been done after Keenan had admitted being attracted to her, while Kay Kay had remained loyal to him.

The situation resulted in Keenan encouraging Kay Kay to get to know some of the other Islanders. Mike took her on a date, which went well, but Keenan wasn't too impressed. 

With Keenan now one of the four guys who could go, things could even be completely over for the pair before Casa Amor kicks off.  

Top Woman

Contestant Odds Implied Probability
Hannah +200 33.3%
Kay Kay +300 25%
Imani +400 20%
Destiny +500 16.7%
Kassy +700 12.5%
Carmen +700 12.5%
Emily +800 11.1%

Destiny's Sneaky Smooch 

Destiny was coupled up with Harrison last week, but she is now in a pairing with Jonah. 

However, it might not last long if Destiny's lights out antics are anything to go by. 

On Sunday night's episode, Destiny sneaked out of bed to kiss new bombshell Mike, after Jonah and Imani had smooched several times during a game. 

Destiny was left so furious about Jonah and Imani's kissing that she slept diagonally so he couldn't get into the bed, yet when the lights were out Mike called her over and she pulled up his eye mask before planting a smooch on him. 

During a chat with Mike earlier in the day, Destiny told him she would've been prepared to walk from the villa until he strolled in, but her destiny is not in her own hands. 

She is one of the four ladies who have been left vulnerable, but for now Destiny and Jonah are at +600 to win Season 5. 

Leonardo is also vulnerable, and he and Kassy are +700 in the "Love Island USA" futures betting, while Carmen and Kenzo are +800, and Emily and Harrison are propping up the market at +1000. 

All four face being dumped from the Fijian island, while those who survive look set to have a chance to couple up with some Casa Amor bombshells. 

Top Man

Contestant Odds Implied Probability
Marco +200 33.3%
Keenan +300 25%
Leonardo +400 20%
Jonah +500 16.7%
Bergie +600 14.3%
Mike +600 14.3%
Kenzo +700 12.5%
Harrison +800 11.1%

 Bergie Hangs In There 

Leonardo was previously coupled up with Anna, who made the shock decision to quit the show on her 11th day in the villa.

Bergie was also coupled up with her early in the season, but he is now single, and he was surprisingly saved by America in the public vote, despite being without a partner since Day 11.

With the nation clearly on his side, Bergie is now +600 to be "Love Island USA" Season 5's Top Man, from +700, and he could get his chance at love during the upcoming Casa Amor. 

Following his near-declaration of love, Marco has surged up the Top Man futures betting market and is now +200, from +400, for victory. 

He replaces Keenan at the head of the market, after he went from +200 to +300 to be the last man standing, while Leonardo is in to +400 from +500.

Elsewhere, Jonah is +500 after growing closer to Imani, and her fellow new bombshell Mike is level in price with Bergie at +600. 

With a vulnerable tag on his head, Kenzo has drifted to +700, while Harrison is out at the bottom of the Top Man market at +800, from +300 last week. 

Like Harrison, his partner Emily is propping up the Top Woman market at +800, from +500 last week, just below +700 chances Carmen and Kassy. 

With things going well between her and Marco, Hannah is the new +200 Top Woman favorite, followed by Kay Kay (+300), who might see Casa as the perfect place to get her "Love Island USA" journey back on track. 

Bombshell Imani is straight in at +400, followed by her love rival Destiny, who has slipped to +500, from +300 second favorite just days ago. Let the Casa chaos begin! 

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James Leyfield

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