MLB Betting Advice for Aug. 24
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Throughout the season, we will give you betting advice for a National League and American League game each day and throw in a few quick pitches for player prop bets, Over-Under bets, or moneyline bets on other games.
American League Best Bet
Los Angeles Angels +180 at Tampa Bay Rays +210
7:10 p.m. ET
The Rays’ longest winning streak this season has been five games, but they have won four consecutive games twice over their past nine. They are playing excellent fundamental baseball.
The Angels have lost four straight and seven of their last eight games amid a whirlwind of trade rumors involving Shohei Ohtani.
Situational Trends and Angles
The following situational trends and angles support a best bet on the Over in this matchup.
- On the Over-Under bets, the Angels are 12-2 on the Over following a stretch of three consecutive games, scoring no more than a single run in each game.
- On the Over-Under bets, the Angels are 12-1 on the Over following four consecutive games, scoring no more than three runs in any of the four games.
- On the Over-Under bets, the Rays are 12-4 on the Over following three or more consecutive wins this season.
- On the Over-Under bets, the Rays are 7-2 on the Over when taking on a losing record foe in games played over the last two seasons.
I am betting the Over seven runs -105 as offered at BetMGM.
National League Best Bet
Milwaukee Brewers +210 at Los Angeles Dodgers -250
9:10 p.m. ET
The Dodgers are an MLB-best 33-8 for an 81%-win rate, resulting in a 27% return on investment in the second half of the MLB season.
The Milwaukee Brewers are 19-22 for a 46%-win rate, resulting in a -23% ROI.
Situational Trends and Angles
The following situational betting trends and angles support a bet on the Dodgers in this matchup.
- The Dodgers are 12-3 in home games played in the second half of this season when favored by -200 or more on the moneyline.
- The Dodgers are 34-8 when facing a team whose hitters strike out an average of seven more times per game in the second half of this season.
- Dodgers skipper Davey Roberts is 102-34 in home games following a game in which they allowed no more than one run.
I am going to the window to bet the Dodgers on the -1.5 run line at -120 as offered at DraftKings.
Quick Pitches
Here are some player prop bets on today’s schedule to consider.
- Bet the Phillies’ Jean Segura to record an RBI +160 at FanDuel.
- Bet the Blue Jays’ Jose Berrios Under 2.5 earned runs allowed at Caesars.
- Bet the Blue Jays’ Santiago Espinal Under .5 total bases +160 at DraftKings.
- Bet the Dodgers’ Mookie Betts to hit a home run +470 at BetRivers.
- Bet the Astros’ Chas McCormick to hit a home run +470 at FanDuel.
In the past 43 prop bet picks, I have gone 24-19, making $282 per $20 pizza-money wager or $1,410 per $100 wager
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