NFL Picks: Monday Night Football Betting Advice

Article By John Ryan

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John Ryan founded a cutting-edge sports technology company more than 25 years ago. John has utilized many of the machine learning tools that have applications in other industries to successfully build simulation models, neural networks, and many types of algorithms that have earned strong predictive results. To identify a betting opportunity the fundamental research must support the mathematical projections. John has a proven track record of success as shown in his season records and numerous Top-10 finishes in all Major Sports.

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Last Updated: Mar 14^th, 2024

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We got off to a good start with Week 1 picks, winning both top-rated best bets with the Tampa Bay beating Dallas 19-3 and easily covering the spread as a 2.5 road favorites and the New York Giants getting +5.5 points in their come-from-behind win over the Tennessee Titans.  

Let’s look to add another winner in tonight’s marquee matchup between the Seattle Seahawks and the Denver Broncos.

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Denver at Seattle

Today, 8:15 ET, ESPN

Line: Broncos -7 | Total: 44 points

Given a line favoring the Broncos by seven points and a total of 44 points implies a Broncos 25.5-18.5 win. 

My predictive model shows a high probability that the Broncos will score 20 or fewer points and have the same or more turnovers than the Seahawks.

• Since 1990, the Broncos are 20-11 Under for 64% wins when priced as a road favorite, scoring 20 or fewer points and having the same or more turnovers as the host.
• Since 1990, the Seahawks are 18-10 Under the total for 64% winning bets when priced as a home dog, allowing 20 or fewer points, and having the same or fewer turnovers than the guest.

I am betting the Under 44 points as offered at BetMGM Sportsbook.

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A Few Player Prop Considerations

• Broncos place kicker Brandon McManus Over 1.5 field goals made -120 at Caesars.
• Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson Under 22.5 completions -103 at Caesars.
• Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith Over 10.5 rushing yards -110 at DraftKings.

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John Ryan founded a cutting-edge sports technology company more than 25 years ago. John has utilized many of the machine learning tools that have applications in other industries to successfully build simulation models, neural networks, and many types of algorithms that have earned strong predictive results. To identify a betting opportunity the fundamental research must support the mathematical projections. John has a proven track record of success as shown in his season records and numerous Top-10 finishes in all Major Sports.

Read Full Bio

John Ryan

Last Updated:   Mar 14^th, 2024

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