Best MLB Prop Bets Today: Sign Up Bonus & FREE Player Props for 05/16
Best MLB Player Prop Bets Today:
- Shane McClanahan Prop: -155 at BetMGM Sportsbook
- Josiah Gray Over 4.5 Strikeouts: -112, FanDuel Sportsbook
- Clayton Kershaw OVER 7.5 strikeouts: -105 at DraftKings Sportsbook
The MLB regular season is underway, offering an array of exciting games on Tuesday night. This presents an excellent opportunity for fans to engage in betting and lay some money on the Best MLB Prop Bets today. Our team of MLB experts has thoroughly analyzed the best online betting sites and handpicked the most Best MLB prop bets for today, May 165, 2023.
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Shane McClanahan Prop (-135 at BetMGM Sportsbook)
The Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees will face off in a noon game today, with AL Cy Young contender Shane McClanahan starting on the mound for the Rays. While it's typically challenging to find an edge in player props for a dominant player like McClanahan, there's one prop that stands out: the Over 17.5 outs for McClanahan.
McClanahan usually pitches for six full innings before being relieved, staying for at least 18 outs in six of his eight games this season. Although he could get the hook early if he gets touched up or injured, that doesn't seem likely against the Yankees. They are currently ranked 23rd in the majors with a batting average of .234, and their performance drops to .225 against southpaws like McClanahan.
Although this is the first time McClanahan is facing the Yankees this season, he faced them three times last year and pitched to a 1.50 ERA with an opponent batting average of .212 over 18 innings. The Yankees lineup is even less threatening this year with Josh Donaldson and Giancarlo Stanton injured, and Aaron Judge taking a step back after a record-breaking campaign.
Josiah Gray Over 4.5 Strikeouts (-112¸at FanDuel Sportsbook)
There are strong reasons to believe that Gray will exceed the 4.5 strikeouts threshold in his upcoming performance. Although he only managed three strikeouts in his last outing against the Giants, it was still an impressive display as he pitched seven innings and secured his third win of the season, allowing just two runs on five hits.
While an alternative betting option could be Gray surpassing 17.5 outs recorded, I lean towards the better odds and greater potential for strikeouts. Despite maintaining the same hit rate in his starts (4-of-8), Gray has established himself as a strikeout pitcher throughout his young career, accumulating 270 strikeouts in 265 innings with an impressive 9.2 K/9 career average.
In his recent stretch, Gray has surpassed the 4.5 strikeouts mark in three of his last four starts. Notably, he achieved at least six strikeouts in each of those three outings, including a notable nine strikeouts against the Mets.
For tonight's game, Gray will face the Miami Marlins, a lineup that strikes out in 23.8% of their at-bats against right-handed pitchers, ranking 10th in the MLB in strikeout rate. Moreover, the Marlins have faced six of their last 10 starting pitchers and struck out at least five times in each of those matchups.
It is worth highlighting that Gray performed exceptionally well against the Marlins last season, surpassing the 4.5 strikeouts mark in four out of six starts. Furthermore, in each of those successful outings, he achieved at least six strikeouts, with one standout performance where he recorded 10 strikeouts.
Considering these factors, Gray only needs to accumulate five strikeouts to exceed the 4.5 strikeouts line tonight. Given his previous successes against the Marlins, their susceptibility to strikeouts, and Gray's established reputation as a strikeout pitcher, it is highly likely that he will achieve this feat.
Clayton Kershaw OVER 7.5 strikeouts (-105 at DraftKings Sportsbook)
Clayton Kershaw is poised to surpass the 7.5 strikeouts mark, and there are compelling reasons to believe he will achieve this feat. Despite a few quieter seasons, the future Hall-of-Fame Southpaw has been on an impressive tear recently, racking up an impressive tally of 39 strikeouts over his last 31 innings pitched.
In his previous outing, Kershaw showcased his dominance by overpowering the Brew Crew. Now, he finds himself in yet another favorable matchup for strikeouts as he takes on the Minnesota Twins in the comfort of his home stadium. The Twins have been struggling against left-handed pitchers this year, striking out a significant 27% of the time and mustering only a 76 wRC+ against them.
To meet the 8-strikeout threshold necessary for a successful bet, Kershaw will need to exhibit efficiency and pitch deep into the game. Fortunately, he has demonstrated his ability to go the distance in most of his starts this season, completing at least six innings in all but one outing. Moreover, he has been permitted to consistently reach pitch counts in the range of 90-100, which bodes well for his chances of accumulating strikeouts.
Considering Kershaw's recent form, the Twins' vulnerability against left-handed pitchers, and Kershaw's proficiency in pitching deep into games, it is highly likely that he will surpass the 7.5 strikeouts mark in this upcoming contest.
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