Best NBA Prop Bets Today | BONUS Offers for NBA Finals Game 1

Article By Admir Aljic

Last Updated: Mar 14^th, 2024

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Best NBA Prop Bets Today, June 1, 2023:

• Jimmy Butler Over 34.5 Points + Rebounds (-115) at BetMGM Sportsbook
• Nikola Jokic to get a triple-double: YES (+105) at bet365 Sportsbook
• Michael Porter Jr. Over 7.5 Rebounds (-108) at DraftKings Sportsbook
• Bam Adebayo Under 8.5 Rebounds (-102) at FanDuel Sportsbook

• Date: June 1, 2023
• Game Time: 8:30 pm ET
• Where: Ball Arena, Denver, CO
• Where to Watch: ABC

The NBA season is reaching its climax as the stage is set for the final showdown for the Larry O'Brien Championship Trophy. This year's playoffs have been filled with surprising twists and turns, including the Denver Nuggets making history by winning the Western Conference for the first time ever. On the other side, the Miami Heat defied the odds and rallied from the play-in tournament to secure the Eastern Conference title.

Throughout the past six weeks, the NBA playoff odds have been in a constant state of flux, with the Heat's remarkable run of upsets playing a significant role in the unpredictability of the postseason. 

According to BetMGM Sportsbook, the Nuggets are favored by 8.5 points, and the projected total points for the game is set at 219.5. On the moneyline, the Nuggets are listed at -375, while the Heat are at +290.

Can this postseason get any crazier? Let's check in on our expert selection of the best NBA prop bets today and the latest NBA odds available at some of the best online betting sites for Thursday's Game 1.

Butler's recent performance in Game 7 of the ECF showcased his ability to excel when it matters most. Despite struggling in his previous two outings, with a 5-21 shooting record in Game 6 and a passive approach in Game 5, Butler came alive when the season was on the line at TD Garden. He recorded 28 points and seven rebounds, surpassing the threshold of 34.5 points and boards for the second consecutive game and the fifth time in the series.

Throughout the playoffs, Butler has maintained an average of 28.5 points and seven rebounds per game. In his two regular-season meetings against the Nuggets, he secured six and 10 rebounds, respectively, although his scoring was slightly lower in those games. It's worth noting that Butler's performance in the 2020 Finals was nothing short of legendary, averaging 26.2 points, 8.3 rebounds, and 9.3 assists. He even had a remarkable triple-double with 40 points, 11 rebounds, and 13 assists.

Considering Butler's past accomplishments and his potential impact in the upcoming Finals against the Denver Nuggets, it's reasonable to expect a similar level of performance. The odds for Butler recording over 34.5 points and rebounds at -115 with BetMGM Sportsbook are already available and set firm, indicating a strong likelihood of achieving this feat.

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Limiting Jokic should be a top priority for the Miami Heat, as he stands out as the Denver Nuggets' most dominant player. The Heat can rely on the defensive prowess of center Bam Adebayo, who is considered one of the best defenders in the NBA. Despite being undersized at 6-foot-9, Adebayo possesses the skills to challenge Jokic and make him more inclined to distribute the ball.

Jokic has been on an impressive triple-double streak, achieving this feat in five of his last six playoff games. In all but one game against the Suns, he recorded 12 or more points, rebounds, and assists. Jokic has consistently displayed his ability to notch triple-doubles in recent weeks, and there is every reason to believe he will continue this trend.

Considering Jokic's exceptional form and the impact he has had on the court, it is highly likely that  he will record another triple-double. The Heat will need to be vigilant in their defensive strategy to prevent Jokic from dominating the game in multiple statistical categories.

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Porter's rebounding prowess has been on full display during the playoffs, as he has been actively crashing the boards. He has significantly improved his rebounding average from 5.5 to an impressive eight rebounds per game. In the Western Conference Finals, Porter grabbed 10 rebounds in three out of four games, showcasing his ability to contribute on the glass. Throughout the postseason, he has recorded four additional games with double-digit rebounds.

Porter's rebounding efforts have played a crucial role in supporting Nikola Jokić, and as a team, the Nuggets have the second-best rebounding differential in the playoffs, with an impressive +5.8. On the other hand, the Heat have struggled in this area, ranking among the worst with a rebounding differential of -2.5.

Although Porter did not dominate the rebounding department in the regular season matchups against the Heat, grabbing six rebounds in each game, he has shown an increased willingness and ability to crash the glass in recent weeks. Additionally, the odds slightly favor the over on his rebounding line (-108) compared to the under (-118), providing a marginally better opportunity for bettors.

Considering Porter's active rebounding performances, the Nuggets' strong rebounding differentials, and the favorable odds, it is likely that  Porter will surpass the 7.5 rebound mark in this game.

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When it comes to defending Nikola Jokic, Bam Adebayo will be tasked with the challenging assignment. The goal is not to completely stop Jokic, as he is an offensive force to be reckoned with, but rather to make it difficult for him to score. Adebayo will need to step up to the challenge and limit Jokic's offensive impact.

In their previous matchups against the Nuggets, Adebayo averaged just 4.5 rebounds per game. Similar to how Anthony Davis guarded Jokic in Game 1, Adebayo will have to engage with him early in possessions, which may require him to stray away from the rim.

Sportsbooks have set the rebounding line for Adebayo at 8.5 with significant odds indicating that he is unlikely to record a double-double in rebounds. It's worth noting that Adebayo has averaged 9.1 rebounds per game on the road in the playoffs, but he has failed to surpass 11 rebounds in nine out of 10 road games. This presents a favorable hit rate for a parlay selection, suggesting that Adebayo will not exceed the 8.5 rebound mark.

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⭐More Nuggets vs. Heat Articles: ⭐ 

•  NBA Finals Picks: Betting Advice and Analysis for Denver vs. Miami 
•  NBA Finals Betting Preview: Who Will Win MVP?

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As the NBA Finals Game 1 approaches, there's more exciting news for sports fans in Kentucky. This September, sports betting will officially launch in the state. This will allow you to place your bets on all your favorite NBA teams and players. Be sure to keep an eye out for the best Kentucky betting promos to make the most of your betting experience.

Updated by

Admir Aljic

Last Updated:   Mar 14^th, 2024

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