MLB Picks: Betting Advice and Picks for New York Mets at Atlanta Braves

Article By John Ryan

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John Ryan founded a cutting-edge sports technology company more than 25 years ago. John has utilized many of the machine learning tools that have applications in other industries to successfully build simulation models, neural networks, and many types of algorithms that have earned strong predictive results. To identify a betting opportunity the fundamental research must support the mathematical projections. John has a proven track record of success as shown in his season records and numerous Top-10 finishes in all Major Sports.

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Last Updated: Mar 14^th, 2024

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Here is our pick for today's big game between the Braves and Mets.

National League Best Bet

New York Mets -110 at Atlanta Braves +100

7:20 p.m. ET

The Braves defeated the Mets Friday to give us another winning MLB best bet, and we will turn to them again today at Truist Stadium. The betting markets have this game even, but I see significant value in backing the Braves.

With the win, the Braves are Mets are tied on top of the NL East standings with five games remaining to the regular season schedule of 162 games. The winner of the division gets a first-round bye and a chance to rest their starters.

We have a terrific pitching matchup tonight. Max Scherzer is starting for the Mets and the Braves counter with Kyle Wright. Mad Max is 13-9 in 29 career starts against the Braves with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.131. In six career starts against the Mets, Wright has an ERA of 6.35 and a whip of 1.730.

The Braves have a significant advantage with their bullpen. The Mets’ bullpen has floundered recently, posting a 6.00 ERA and a 1.458 WHIP over their last seven games spanning 24 innings. Atlanta's bullpen has a 1.09 ERA and a .77 WHIP over their previous seven games. 

Situational Trends and Angles

The following situational trends and angles support a best bet on the Braves using the moneyline in this matchup. Check out this two-minute video clip featuring a profitable betting system on the Twitter timeline.

• The Mets are 19-29, losing 18 units against the moneyline, in road games following two or more consecutive Over results in games played over the last three seasons.
• Wright is 23-6, making 16 units on the moneyline, in all games he has started this season.
• The Braves are 29-13, making 17 units on the moneyline, in home games when facing a National League starting pitcher with an ERA of 3.20 or lower in all games the last three seasons.

I am betting the Braves using the moneyline at +-110 as offered at BetMGM Sportsbook.

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John Ryan founded a cutting-edge sports technology company more than 25 years ago. John has utilized many of the machine learning tools that have applications in other industries to successfully build simulation models, neural networks, and many types of algorithms that have earned strong predictive results. To identify a betting opportunity the fundamental research must support the mathematical projections. John has a proven track record of success as shown in his season records and numerous Top-10 finishes in all Major Sports.

Read Full Bio

John Ryan

Last Updated:   Mar 14^th, 2024

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